Imagine the biggest upset in college football history. Whatever you think it was, it would pale in comparison if the New Mexico State Aggies was able to go to No. 2 Alabama on Saturday and upset the powerful Tide as more than 50-point underdogs on the NCAA Football Lines. I think it’s safe to say the Crimson Tide will win…but will they cover?
How to Bet New Mexico State vs Alabama College Football Week 2 Spread & Game Info
- When: Saturday, 4 PM ET
- Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium
- TV: SEC Network
- Live Stream: SEC Network+
- Radio: SiriusXM
- College Football Week 2 Spread: Alabama -55 (Total 64.5)
- Sunny: 37°C/99°F
- Humidity: 50%
- Precipitation: 10%
- Cloud Cover: 6%
- Wind: 8 mph NW
- Stadium Type: Open
Why Bet on New Mexico State?
NMSU opened the season at No. 23 Washington State and was routed 58-7. Cougars QB Anthony Gordon, in his first NCAA start, completed his first 15 passes, threw for 330 yards and four touchdowns in the first half alone. Gordon finished 29 of 35 for 420 yards and five TD passes before checking out late in the third quarter.
New Mexico State quarterback Josh Adkins scored on a 3-yard touchdown run in the first quarter when he recovered a fumble and took the loose ball into the end zone to tie the game at 7-7. That was the highlight of the night for the Aggies, who were limited to 317 total yards. Adkins was 28 of 42 for 221 yards and two interceptions. Adkins’ rushing touchdown was the first by an NM State quarterback since QB Matt Romero’s two-yard touchdown run in the first quarter against New Mexico last season (9/15).
Senior running back Jason Huntley finished the night with 54 rushing yards on nine carries, breaking free for a 27-yard run to set up the Aggies’ first-quarter touchdown. Wideouts OJ Clark and Tony Nicholson each recorded seven receptions on 11 targets.
The loss at Washington State moved Doug Martin’s record to 20-54 as head coach of the Aggies. NM State has lost three consecutive games dating back to last season. The Aggies dropped the final two games of the 2018 campaign – vs. BYU (11/17), at Liberty (11/24).
NM State returns 17 starters from last year’s squad. The defense brings back nine starters from a year ago, paced by redshirt senior linebacker Javahn Fergurson, the nation’s reigning leader in tackles per game. Fergurson started all ten games he played in last year, leading the entire country in tackles per game (13.2). He finished the year with 132 total tackles (42 solo, 90 assisted), recording double-figure tackles in eight of the ten games he played in.
Saturday’s game is the first meeting between the Aggies and Crimson Tide.
- Passing Yards: 221.00
- Rushing Yards: 96.00
- Points For: 7.00
- Points Against: 58.00
Why Bet on Alabama?
The Tide opened with a 42-3 win over Duke at a neutral site. Heisman Trophy candidate Tua Tagovailoa ended the game with a career high in completions after going 26-of-31 for 336 yards and four touchdowns. The All-American QB finished with a near-perfect 217.5 quarterback rating. It was Tua’s seventh career 300+ passing performance at Alabama, the most in school history. He has now accounted for seven of the 36 300 or more passing games by a UA quarterback in school history.
Star receiver Jerry Jeudy also had a career day with the most receptions in his time at UA after tallying 10 catches for 137 yards and a score.
For the game, Alabama outgained Duke 512-204 including 367-97 through the air. UA finished with 30 first downs compared to Duke’s 11. The Tide dominated the time of possession, controlling the ball for 36:37 of the game. Alabama holds the second longest active win streak in season openers in the FBS with 18 consecutive wins, dating back to the 2002 season. Ohio State leads the season opener win streak at 20.
Under head coach Nick Saban, the Crimson Tide are 130-7 (.950) when leading at the half. Alabama has held the lead in 47 of its last 60 games dating back to the start of the 2015 season. Alabama is also 114-4 (.966) when leading by seven or more points at the break during the Saban era.
This is Bama’s home opener. The Crimson Tide own a 78-11-2 (.857) all-time record across 91 total home-opening games. Currently, UA is riding a 17-game winning streak in the team’s first game at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Under Saban, the Tide sport a perfect 12-0 record in home openers. Saban is 21-2 (.913) all-time in home openers across his four stops as a head coach. He is currently riding an 18-game winning streak in the first game at his home stadium.
Alabama has won 26 straight and 41 of the last 42 games at its home stadium following the Crimson Tide’s dominant 52-21 performance against Auburn on Nov. 24 to close out the 2018 regular season home slate.
- Passing Yards: 367.00
- Rushing Yards: 145.00
- Points For: 42.00
- Points Against: 3.00
New Mexico State vs Alabama 2019 College Football Week 2 Betting Trends
- Aggies are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played on a Saturday
- Aggies are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 13 of New Mexico State’s last 18 games played in September
- Crimson Tide are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Independent conference
- Crimson Tide are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Alabama’s last 8 games played in week 2
Expert Final Score Prediction for New Mexico State vs Alabama
New Mexico State 7 – Alabama 55