Notre Dame vs Duke 2019 College Football Week 11 Lines & Prediction

Notre Dame vs Duke 2019 College Football Week 11 Lines & Prediction

Written by on November 7, 2019

The 15th-ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish will be looking to give their New Year’s Day bowl hopes a boost when they hit the road to take on the Duke Blue Devils in Week 11. With the Irish completely desperate and Duke looking to snap out of their recent doldrums, let’s find out if Notre Dame can cover the spread as a slightly more than touchdown road favorite.

Notre Dame vs Duke 2019 College Football Week 11 Lines & Prediction

Why Bet On Notre Dame?

There are several good reasons to back Notre dame in this matchup. While the Irish have two losses and are out of the College Football Playoff Picture, Brian Kelly’s team still would like to reach a New year’s Day bowl game and that means winning out from this point forward. Then, there’s the fact that Notre Dame averages 4.3 points per game more than Duke while allowing 5.1 fewer points per game defensively. Then, there’s the fact that Notre Dame picked up a huge 21-20 comeback win over Virginia Tech last weekend. Last but not least, the Irish will want some payback for their upset loss at home against the Blue Devils two years ago.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 35.57
  • Total Yards: 414.86
  • Pass Yards: 243.57
  • Rush Yards: 171.29
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 20.86
  • Total Yards: 359.14
  • Pass Yards: 186.43
  • Rush Yards: 172.71

Why Bet On Duke?

While Duke has dropped two straight and three of four, including a narrow 20-17 road loss to North Carolina last weekend, there are still a couple of good reasons to back the Blue devils in this matchup. Duke is playing on their home field where they’ve won two of three this season. Then, there’s the fact that the Blue Devils are getting just over a touchdown as home underdogs. Duke will also be desperate to reach the six-win mark to become bowl game eligible. Last but not least, Notre Dame clearly isn’t playing its best football, having gotten blown out by Michigan two weeks ago before narrowly escaping a loss against Virginia Tech last weekend.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 29.50
  • Total Yards: 362.88
  • Pass Yards: 196.75
  • Rush Yards: 166.13
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 25.88
  • Total Yards: 351.76
  • Pass Yards: 206.63
  • Rush Yards: 145.13

College Football Week 11 Betting Trends for Notre Dame vs Duke

  • Notre Dame is 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 games played in November
  • Notre Dame is 17-3 SU in the last 20 games
  • The total went UNDER in 8 of Notre Dame’s last 11 games
  • Duke is 4-2 ATS in the last 6 games played in November
  • Duke is 8-4 SU in the last 12 games when playing as the underdog
  • The total went OVER in 6 of Duke’s last 7 games

Notre Dame vs Duke Expert Analysis and Prediction

Notre Dame might not be playing their best football right now, but the Fighting Irish have gone a perfect 3-0 against teams from the ACC this season while recording wins over Louisville, Virginia, and Virginia Tech. The Irish are the better statistical team on both sides of the ball in this one and they’re highly motivated to finish their season with a flourish. While Duke has gone an impressive 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, Notre Dame has gone 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. More importantly, the eight-point spread here looks seriously manageable for Notre Dame and that makes the Irish the easy pick in this Week 11 pairing.

Pick: Notre Dame 31 Duke 21

 

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