Notre Dame vs Michigan 2019 College Football Week 9 Odds, Preview & Pick.

Notre Dame vs Michigan 2019 College Football Week 9 Odds, Preview & Pick

Written by on October 25, 2019

Notre Dame vs Michigan is one of the better rivalries in college football but because of politics and money, basically, the rivals aren’t scheduled to play again after Saturday anytime soon. The No. 19 Wolverines are slight NCAA football betting favorites over the No. 8 Irish.

How to Bet Notre Dame vs Michigan College Football Week 9 Odds & Game Info

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Last Meeting

The teams opened last season against one another in South Bend and the Irish won 24-17 when they were ranked No. 12 and Michigan No. 14. Brandon Wimbush connected on a long touchdown pass to help Notre Dame jump out to a big first-half lead, Te’von Coney and the defense made it stand with a late takeaway. Wimbush is now with Central Florida. Michigan’s only offensive touchdown came with 2:18 left in the fourth quarter, when Karan Higdon rushed in from 3 yards to cut the lead to seven. Shea Patterson was 20-for-30 for 227 yards and a pick.

Michigan holds a 24-18-1 advantage in the all-time series with Notre Dame. More than half of the games in the series have been decided by seven points or less (22 of 43).

Why Bet on Notre Dame?

Advantage Irish here because they come off a bye week. They beat USC 30-27 last time out. Running back Tony Jones led the Irish rushing attack with a career-high 176 rushing yards on 25 carries. Jones recorded his third-straight 100-yard rushing game and had 120 rushing yards in the first half alone. The Irish had their best rushing performance of the season with 311 yards on 45 carries.

Ian Book became the first Notre Dame QB to start and win consecutive matchups vs. Southern Cal since Rick Mirer (played 1989-92). Book boasts a 70.7 percent completion rate in the fourth quarter since the start of 2018, which leads Power 5 quarterbacks. The Irish have won 15 straight home games, which is the third-longest streak in school history.

Notre Dame remains perfect in red-zone scoring percentage, converting on 22-of-22 visits inside the 20. Nineteen of those scores were touchdowns (11 rushing, eight passing). Just two other teams boast perfection in the red-zone (Iowa and LSU), and, of those teams, only LSU (31) has totaled more red-zone touchdowns than the Irish.

Defensive Numbers

Notre Dame’s defense led the FBS after Week 7 in opponent passing completions per touchdown, holding squads to 25.8 completions per touchdown. Notre Dame has held its opponents to 30 points or less in 20 consecutive games, the longest streak in FBS after Washington surrendered 35 points to Oregon last week. The streak spans defensive coordinator Clark Lea’s entire tenure with the Irish.

Notre Dame (5-1) needs plenty of help in their quest for consecutive playoff appearances. Although they performed admirably at Georgia, they weren’t helped by the Bulldogs’ loss to South Carolina, or a schedule that lacks signature win opportunities. To likely reach the playoff, the Irish must win out and need Oklahoma to lose at least once, Oregon to lose again, chaos in the SEC and Big 12, and for some of its opponents, past and future, to impress the selection committee.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Points per Game: 39.17
  • Passing Yards: 262.00
  • Rushing Yards: 192.00
  • Yards per Play: 6.95
Defense
  • Points per Game: 16.83
  • Passing Yards: 195.17
  • Rushing Yards: 151.00
  • Yards per Play: 4.95

Why Bet on Michigan?

Michigan probably deserved to win at No. 7 Penn State last week but Jim Harbaugh remained winless as a betting underdog in a 28-21 loss. UM was down 21-7 at the half but was the better team after the break. Late in the game, Ronnie Bell was wide open in the end zone to tie but he dropped a pass from Shea Patterson. On the next possession, Penn State gained a first down and ran out the clock to secure the win.

Patterson finished 24-for-41 passing for 276 yards and ran for 34 yards and one touchdown. The Michigan offense racked up 417 total yards, well above Penn State’s average of 259.7 per game, while the defense held Penn State to 283 total yards.Michigan was the first team to score more than 13 points on Penn State this season. PSU had been the first team since 2013 Louisville to hold each of its first six opponents to 13 points or fewer. U-M had three touchdown drives of 65 yards or longer: one on eight plays for 75 yards in 4:27; one on eight plays for 65 yards in 3:10; and one on nine plays for 75 yards in 4:26.

Notre Dame vs Michigan is going to be a close one.

This will be the 17th game played between the Irish and Wolverines at Michigan Stadium. The Wolverines have compiled a 10-6 record against the Irish at the Big House, which includes a current four-game winning streak (2007, 2009, 2011 and 2013) and an 8-2 mark in the last 10 match-ups at the venue. This will be the ninth night game played between the two schools and third at Michigan Stadium (U-M is 2-0). Harbaugh will face Notre Dame at Michigan Stadium for the first time as head coach. He had a 2-0 record against the Irish as a Michigan player.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Points per Game: 30.33
  • Passing Yards: 231.17
  • Rushing Yards: 156.17
  • Yards per Play: 5.64
Defense
  • Points per Game: 17.50
  • Passing Yards: 160.50
  • Rushing Yards: 122.83
  • Yards per Play: 4.20

Notre Dame vs Michigan College Football Week 9 Betting Trends

  • Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings
  • Underdog is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 meetings
  • Fighting Irish are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road
  • Fighting Irish are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games played in October
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Notre Dame’s last 6 games against an opponent in the Big 10 conference
  • Wolverines are 11-0 SU in their last 11 games at home
  • Wolverines are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played in week 9
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan’s last 6 games against Notre Dame

Expert Final Score Prediction for Notre Dame vs Michigan

Notre Dame 24 – Michigan 23

 

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