Ohio State vs Penn State NCAA Football Week 5 Odds & Preview

Ohio State vs Penn State NCAA Football Week 5 Odds & Preview

Written by on September 28, 2018


The biggest game in the Big Ten this season takes place on Saturday when #4 Ohio State travels to battle #9 Penn State. Can Ohio State not only win but also cover the spread? Will Penn State show that it’s the best team in the Big Ten? Check out NCAAF odds, analysis, and a free pick for Buckeyes at Nittany Lions!

Ohio State vs Penn State NCAA Football Week 5 Odds & Preview

When: Saturday, Sep. 29 at 7:30 pm ETWhere: Beaver Stadium, University Park, PATV: ABCRadio: Ohio State / Penn StateLive Stream: WatchESPNATS Odds: Ohio State -3.5 (-110)Over/Under Total Odds: 70.5 (-110)

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 15°C/59°F
  • Humidity: 67%
  • Precipitation: 3%
  • Wind: 3 mph WNW
  • Cloud Cover: 3%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why #4 Ohio State is a good bet at -3.5?


Ohio State’s looked close to unbeatable in 3 straight games. One of the victories, a 40-28 win over TCU in Arlington, Texas, solidified the Buckeyes’ status as one of the top teams in the nation.

Ohio State coach Urban Meyer will be on the sidelines for only the second time this season after serving a 3 game suspension. Meyer should provide plenty of motivation to the Buckeyes. Also, Ohio State is 3-1 ATS this season, meaning that when they win they almost always cover.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 54.5
  • Total Yards: 599.5
  • Pass Yards: 365.8
  • Rush Yards: 233.8
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 17
  • Total Yards: 325
  • Pass Yards: 181.2
  • Rush Yards: 143.8

Why #9 Penn State is a good bet at +3.5?

Is Penn State a safe bet for NCAA Football Week 5?
After only beating Appalachian State 45-38 in Week 1, the Nittany Lions have rebounded with 3 solid efforts: 51-6 over Pitt, 63-10 over Kent, 63-24 at Illinois.

No doubt, Ohio State is a much better football team than any of those squads, but the Nittany Lions shouldn’t have much trouble scoring against an Ohio State defense missing DE Nick Bosa. Once Penn State gets the offense going, the emphasis will be on the Buckeyes to keep up.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 55.5
  • Total Yards: 514.5
  • Pass Yards: 239.8
  • Rush Yards: 274.8
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 19.5
  • Total Yards: 345.8
  • Pass Yards: 173.2
  • Rush Yards: 172.5

Ohio State at Penn State NCAA Football Week 5 Betting Trends

  • Ohio State is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Ohio State is 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went OVER in 10 of Ohio State’s last 15 games
  • Penn State is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Penn State is 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went OVER in 5 of Penn State’s last 5 games

Ohio State at Penn State Final Betting Analysis


Ohio State and Penn State are Top 10 teams for a reason. The Buckeyes and Nittany Lions have great offenses and decent defenses. There are a couple of differences between the two teams, though.

First, Penn State quarterback Trace McSorley, has a ton of experience. Second, Penn State’s defense is relatively healthy while Ohio State must stop McSorley and the Nittany Lions’ offense without Nick Bosa. The other thing that matters? Penn State battles rival Ohio State at home.

The Nittany Lions shouldn’t just cover the spread, they should beat Ohio State straight up.

NCAA Football Week 4 Pick: Penn State money line
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