Oklahoma vs Baylor 2019 College Football Week 12 Odds, Preview & Pick

Oklahoma vs Baylor 2019 College Football Week 12 Odds, Preview & Pick

Written by on November 15, 2019

The unbeaten Baylor Bears will look to take care of business at home while giving their once improbable hopes of reaching the College Football Playoff a big shot in the arm when they host the Oklahoma Sooners in what will be the biggest conference clash in the Big 12 this season. Now, with Baylor looking to stay hot and Oklahoma also looking to give their own slim playoff hopes a big boost, let’s find out which team is offering the best value against their college football odds in this one!

Oklahoma vs Baylor 2019 College Football Week 12 Odds, Preview & Pick

Why Bet On Oklahoma?

While Oklahoma suffered a seriously damaging 48-41 road loss against K-State to cap off October a couple of weeks ago, there are a bunch of great reasons to back the Sooners in this contest. While the Sooners didn’t look all that good in their harrowing 42-41 win over mediocre Iowa State last weekend, Oklahoma has answered the bell in every other game this season.

The Sooners also average 13.4 points per game more than Baylor in putting up a whopping 48.4 points per game to rank a stupendous second in scoring nationally. Oklahoma also has a Heisman trophy-contending quarterback in Jalen Hurts and they’ve beaten the bears four consecutive times including their emphatic 66-33 win last season as a 21.5-point home favorite.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 48.44
  • Total Yards: 582.22
  • Pass Yards: 337.89
  • Rush Yards: 244.33
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 25
  • Total Yards: 355.11
  • Pass Yards: 209.44
  • Rush Yards: 145.67

Why Bet On Baylor?

Baylor might have the lower national ranking in this matchup, but there are a ton of good reasons to back the Bears in this huge matchup. Baylor is unbeaten after nine games this season and that’s a big testament to the outstanding coaching they’re getting from the talented, but underrated Matt Rhule.

The Bears have an elite defense that limits the opposition to just 19.0 points per game (17t), which is six points better than Oklahoma’s defense (25.0 ppg allowed). Baylor also has a very good offense that averages 35.3 points per game to rank an encouraging 27th nationally in scoring.

Then, the Bears have a very good, if nearly, unknown, signal-caller in Charlie Brewer. The Junior has thrown for 2,338 yards with 16 TD passes and a modest four interceptions. Last but not least, Baylor can make a big statement that they really belong in the playoff conversation by beating the Sooners in this contest.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 35.33
  • Total Yards: 459.55
  • Pass Yards: 271.33
  • Rush Yards: 188.22
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 19
  • Total Yards: 337.44
  • Pass Yards: 210.33
  • Rush Yards: 127.11

College Football Week 12 Betting Trends for Oklahoma vs Baylor

  • Oklahoma is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Oklahoma is 8-1 SU in their last 9 games
  • The total went OVER in 13 of Oklahoma’s last 19 games
  • Baylor is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Baylor is 10-0 SU in their last 10 games
  • The total went OVER in 8 of Baylor’s last 12 games against Oklahoma

Oklahoma vs Baylor Expert Analysis and Prediction

Oklahoma might have the higher national ranking and they might be favored to win this contest, but I believe Baylor is going to show up in a big way to not only cover the spread as surprising double-digit home underdogs, but do so by winning outright! The Bears completely man-handled the same K-State team that took down Oklahoma this season and I believe their stingy defense is going to cause Jalen Hurst and the Sooners more problems than they’ve faced all season. Not only that, but I’m expecting Charlie Brewer to virtually have his way against an Oklahoma defense that has allowed at least 41 points in each of their last two games.

The Sooners have gone a discouraging 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 road games and1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games while Baylor has gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. While the road team in this Big 12 rivalry has gone 16-7 ATS in the last 23 meetings, but I’m going with Baylor to take care of business at home to get the huge upset!

Pick: Baylor 38 Oklahoma 35

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