Oklahoma @ Kansas State NCAA Football Betting Preview

Posted by Alex Murphy on October 16, 2015 in

The Oklahoma Sooners and Kansas State Wildcats will both be looking to bounce back from heartbreaking losses in Week 6, but only one team is going to bring home the bacon for College Football Odds fans… and I know which one! Now, let’s find out who!

How To Bet the Sooners @ Wildcats NCAA Football Odds, TV & Game Info

When: Saturday, October 17, 3:30 PM ET
Where: Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium, Manhattan, Kansas
NCAAF Odds: Oklahoma -4.5
Total: 56

Why Bet on the Oklahoma Sooners (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS)

Oklahoma was on the wrong end of a stunning 24-17 road loss against unranked Texas a week ago as quarterback Baker Mayfield struggled immensely in the loss. Mayfield completed an impressive 20 of 28 passes for 211 yards with one touchdown, but was limited to -5 yards rushing on a whopping 18 attempts. Prior to their loss to Texas, Mayfield had averaged a stellar 345.5 passing yards while tossing at least three TD passes in each game. “It’s simple,” Stoops said. “Like I said a year ago, we won this game (against Texas) and didn’t end up having a great year. Two years ago, we lost this game and ended up going on and winning the Sugar Bowl. So we’ll see. All you can do is get ready to play this week and be the best we can and make improvement and take it game by game.”

Making matters worse is the fact that Oklahoma allowed the unranked Longhorns to roll up a whopping 313 rushing yards in the loss, including 117 yards by running back D’Onta Foreman on just nine carries and 115 yards from quarterback Jerrod Heard. “If you look at it, not many teams at all go undefeated,” Mayfield said. “Last year, Ohio State won the national championship and they lost to a Virginia Tech team at home. They got it going, and they fought back. You can’t harp on the losses. It can either make you better or make you worse.”

Why Bet on the Kansas State Wildcats (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS)

Kansas State looked fantastic I the first half against No.2 TCU last week, but couldn’t hold on after taking a huge 25-17 lead into the half. Second-ranked TCU stormed back from an 18-point halftime deficit to notch a 52-45 victory over Kansas State on Saturday in front of 53,671 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, the third largest crowd in school history. K-State got outscored 35-10 after the intermission to lose a heartbreaker 52-45 despite covering the spread as an 8.5-point home underdog.

The Wildcats saw their 49-game winning streak while leading at the half emphatically snapped as Heisman Trophy candidate Trevone Boykin passed for 301 yards and two scores while rushing for an additional 124 yards and two more scores. “We’re having some serious dialogue about that,” K-State head coach Bill Snyder said. “It’s pretty hard to put your finger on. I don’t think it’s a conditioning problem.”

Even in defeat, the Wildcats had plenty of positives as quarterback Joe Hubener rushed for career highs of 111 yards and four touchdowns against the Horned Frogs, despite being limited to just 13 of 33 passing for 157 yards and had two critical second-half turnovers. The Wildcats have since lost five straight games against ranked teams, but the two losses were both extremely close and came in the last two weeks, giving K-State plenty of motivation coming into this contest.

My Expert Game Analysis, Prediction & Pick

56 percent of the betting public likes Kansas State to cover the spread and I do too. However, I’m going on record right now to say that I like the Wildcats to do so by getting the outright win at home. Sure, Oklahoma has gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games against a team with a winning home record and an impressive 24-10 ATS in their last 34 games following an SU loss, but the Sooners are also just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games and 2-5 ATS in their L/7 games against a team with a winning record.

Conversely, Kansas State has gone 5-1 ATS in their last six home games versus a team with a winning road record, 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games and a bankroll-boosting 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games following an SU loss.

Last but certainly not least, the underdog in this Big-12 rivalry is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, making the K-State Wildcats the easy pick for me.
My Pick: Kansas State +4.5