Oklahoma vs TCU NCAA Football Betting Analysis

Posted by Daniel Strum on November 21, 2015 in

Baker Mayfield and the seventh-ranked Oklahoma Sooners are on a red-hot roll as they seek to reach the second-ever four-team college football playoffs.Taking the next step in their championship quest means the Sooners will have to avoid an upset loss against the explosive TCU Horned Frogs when the two Big 12 rivals square off on Saturday in an intriguing college football odds matchup that has the potential to be the best game on the entire Week 12 docket – if Horned Frogs quarterback Trevone Boykin plays that is! Now, let’s find out who’s going to bring home the bacon!

How To Bet the Horned Frogs @ Sooners NCAA Football Lines & Game Info

When: Saturday, November 21, 8:00 PM ET
Where: Gaylord Family – Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma
Over/Under: OFF

TCU Horned Frogs (9-1 SU, 4-6 ATS)

The Horned Frogs bounced back from their Week 10 loss against Oklahoma State to beat lowly Kansas 23-17 last Saturday, but the Horned Frogs struggled after their starting quarterback went down with an ankle injury in the first half. Backup Bram Kohlhausen completed 13 of 19 passes in relief but tossed one pick before being relieved by redshirt freshman Foster Sawyer. The young signal-caller threw a 42-yard touchdown to Shaun Nixon, although that was his only completion n seven pass attempts. Head coach Gary Patterson updated reporters on the status of Boykin and injured wide receiver Josh Doctson. “We’re going to find out Saturday if they play,” Patterson said. “I told you they’re questionable and I’ll know by Thursday.”

On the season, Boykin has completed 65.8 percent of his passes for 3,427 yards with 29 touchdowns and nine interceptions. However, if Boykin can’t go in this contest, the Horned Frogs have no chance, which is why there is no lie for this matchup as of yet. “He’s better right now than he was Sunday,” Patterson said of Boykin, the Big 12 leader with 402 total yards per game.

The Horned Frogs are ranked fourth in scoring (44.3 ppg) and 61st in points allowed (26.2 ppg) but Doctson has now been ruled out for the remainder of the season.

Oklahoma Sooners (9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS)

The Oklahoma Sooners have won five consecutive games including their 44-34 win over Baylor as a 1.5-point road dog at Baylor in Week 11. Heisman Trophy-contending quarterback Baker Mayfield completed 24 of 34 passes for 270 yards with three touchdowns and one interception while running back Samaje Perine rushed for 166 yards and two touchdowns on 28 carries.

Sooners head coach Bob Stoops said his team will prepare for TCU as if Trevone Boykin will play in this meaningful matchup. “Trevone Boykin is another exceptional player,” Stoops said. “[I have] such great respect for him. Whether he’s able to play or not, we’ll operate under the assumption that he will. With him, compared to the other guys, you get the obvious more quarterback run game and the ability of the quarterback to have designed runs, which they’re so good at. He has that kind of skill running the ball to go with the great arm. The rest of the offense we don’t feel is really that different. They’re not going to change their offensive schemes really outside some of the run game. We’ll proceed as though he’s going to be there.”

For the season, Boykin has completed a blistering 70.2 percent of his passes for 3,082 yards with 31 touchdowns and just five interceptions. Mayfield has thrown an impressive 10 touchdown passes in his last three games. Oklahoma is ranked a stellar third in scoring (46.1 ppg) and an almost equally impressive 24th in points allowed (19.7 ppg).

TCU @ Oklahoma NCAAF Lines Game Analysis:

If Trevone Boykin plays in this contest, I expect Oklahoma to be favored by somewhere in the neighborhood of 3-7 points, If he doesn’t get the green light, then there likely won’t be a line released. Having said that, let me also say that I just don’t see Oklahoma losing this contest – or failing to cover the potential spread. The Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and have a defense that has been completely decimated by injuries.

The Sooners are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. Oklahoma will win this contest by a touchdown at the very least, even if Trevone Boykin is a go for the Horned Frogs.

My Pick: Oklahoma 45 TCU 28