Oklahoma vs UCLA 2019 College Football Week 3 Lines, Analysis & Prediction

Oklahoma vs UCLA 2019 College Football Week 3 Lines, Analysis & Prediction

Written by on September 12, 2019

The fourth-ranked Oklahoma Sooners will look to avoid the upset when they hit the road to take on a UCLA Bruins team that is already in all-out desperation mode after dropping their first two games of the 2019 season. With the championship-hopeful Sooners looking to give their CFP hopes a boost and the Bruins looking for nothing less that the outright upset, let’s find out which team is offering the best value against their NCAAF odds in this Week 3 matchup.

Oklahoma vs UCLA 2019 College Football Week 3 Lines, Analysis & Prediction

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Why Bet On Oklahoma at -23.5?

The Sooners look like a good bet in Week 3 because of the way they’ve gotten out of the gate and the play we’ve seen from quarterback Jalen Hurts through two games. After getting past Houston 49-31 in their opener two weeks ago, the Sooners ‘opened up a can’ against South Dakota to win 70-14 as Hurts passed for 239 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for an additional 47 yards in the win. Oklahoma got two TD passes from backup Tanner Mordecai and another from third-stringer Spencer Rattler. For the season, Hurts has thrown for 591 yards and 6 touchdowns while completing an incendiary 82.9 percent of his passes.

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Why Bet On UCLA at +23.5?

The Bruins look like a decent bet in this contest because they’re getting a ton of points, playing at home and now, completely desperate. After falling to Cincinnati 24-14 in their opener, the Bruins were on the wrong end of a 23-14 home loss against San Diego State as quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson passed for 199 yards and one touchdown. UCLA was held to just 62 rushing yards in the loss while losing two of four fumbles and getting shut out in the second and fourth quarters.

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Oklahoma vs UCLA College Football Week 3 Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 games overall
  • Oklahoma is 9-1 SU in the last 10 games
  • The total went OVER in 13 of Oklahoma’s last 17 games
  • UCLA is 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 games overall
  • UCLA is 1-6 SU in the last 7 games
  • The total went OVER in 12 of UCLA’s last 17 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Oklahoma vs UCLA

While UCLA head coach Chip Kelly built Oregon into a perennial powerhouse, his second sting in college isn’t going very well following his failed run in the NFL. Having said that, Oklahoma is by far, the more explosive and dangerous team in this contest and the only one with legitimate national championship hopes.

While UCLA has gone 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record, an awful 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games, Oklahoma has gone 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

The 23.5-point spread in this contest might look daunting, but Oklahoma possesses one of the very best offense in the nation, not to mention the fact that UCLA has shown no signs of life whatsoever under Chip Kelly. I’m going with Jalen Hurts and the Sooners to get it done in this one!

Pick: Oklahoma -23.5

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