Ole Miss at LSU Free Pick & Betting Odds

Posted by Jordan Walters on Friday,October 21, 2016 5:54, EDT in

A lot of people wrote off LSU after it lost two early games. But the No. 25 Tigers are far from done in the SEC West race as they are just a game behind co-leaders Alabama and Texas A&M in the loss column and still play both. First things first: a matchup with No. 23 Ole Miss on Saturday with LSU a favorite in online college football betting.

Take a Look at the Ole Miss at LSU Free Pick, Betting Odds & TV Info

When: Saturday, Oct. 22, 9 PM ET
Where: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge
TV: ESPN
Stream: WatchESPN
Radio: Ole Miss / LSU
Opening NCAA Football Lines: LSU -6.5 (60.5)

Why Bet on Ole Miss?

The Rebels (3-3, 1-2 SEC) come off a tough 34-30 overtime loss at No. 22 Arkansas. The Hogs took the lead for good on a late scoring drive in the fourth quarter. Using 10 plays, the Razorbacks found the end zone as Cornelius scampered six yards for the game-winning touchdown with 2:20 to go. Ole Miss QB Chad Kelly and the Rebels tried to rally but Kelly was stopped just short of the first down marker on fourth-and- long.

Kelly accounted for 334 total yards (253 passing, 89 rushing) and three touchdowns (one passing, two rushing) in the Southeastern Conference setback. Tight end Evan Engram hauled in seven passes for 111 yards and 1 touchdown, all team highs. Engram recorded his third 100-yard game of the season while finding the end zone for the 12th time in his career. He might be the nation’s best tight end. With three total TDs (1 pass, 2 rush), Kelly moved past Archie Manning on the Rebel list for third-most TDs responsible for in a career (58).

Ole Miss has now scored 30+ points in each of its last 10 games, dating back to last year. Ole Miss’ record vs. top-25 opponents fell to 69-152- 2 all-time and 11-15 under Hugh Freeze. The Rebels are now 1-3 vs. ranked teams this season.

Ole Miss is the only nationally ranked team without a winning record. Since 2014, the Rebels are 7-1 coming off a loss (2-0 this season). Ole Miss is third in the SEC in scoring (39.7 ppg) and first in passing (320.0 ypg).

Why Bet on LSU?

The Tigers (4-2, 2-1 SEC) will welcome back star running back Leonard Fournette. Fournette has missed three games this season, including the last two, because of a nagging ankle injury he initially suffered in an August scrimmage. Fournette ran for 100-plus yards in all three games in which he played this season, but he was still visibly struggling to overcome the ankle injury. He has not played since the Sept. 24 loss at Auburn. In three starts while Fournette was sidelined, Derrius Guice ran for six touchdowns and averaged 160 rushing yards per game and 9.2 yards per carry. The Tigers will now use both backs to keep them fresh.

LSU went out of conference last week and beat Southern Miss 45-10. LSU quarterback Danny Etling connected on touchdown passes of 80 and 63 yards, while running back Derrius Guice had touchdown runs of 61 and 20 yards in a 28-point third-quarter outburst that ended the Eagles’ upset bid. The Tigers extended a non-conference winning streak to 47 games in Tiger Stadium. Etling completed 11-of- 18 passes for a season-high 276 yards with three touchdowns and his first interception in 104 pass attempts.

LSU brings one of the top rated defenses in the SEC into the Ole Miss game as the Tigers are No. 2 in the league in scoring defense (14.0 points per game) and rush defense (103.7 yards per game), No. 3 in total defense (312.0 yards per game), and No. 5 in pass defense (208.3 yards per game). LSU is also limiting opponents to just 30.9 percent (30-of- 97) on third-down conversions.

LSU and Ole Miss have split its last four games with the home team winning each time. A year ago, Ole Miss beat LSU, 38-17, in Oxford. In the previous meeting in Tiger Stadium in 2014, LSU beat then-No. 3 Ole Miss, 10-7. LSU has won three straight and six of its last seven games against Ole Miss in Tiger Stadium.

My Free Pick

Rebels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Rebels are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Go LSU in online NCAA football betting and the under.