Ole Miss vs Alabama 2019 College Football Week 5 Lines & Analysis.

Ole Miss vs Alabama 2019 College Football Week 5 Lines & Analysis

Written by on September 26, 2019

Fans of college football seem to be spit into two different factions when talking about the current state of the sport. There are some who enjoy watching the same teams dominate each season, marveling at how they are able to constantly reload despite losing a lot of talent to the NFL every single year. But there are some who would like to see some other teams get a shot at glory, which might be more possible if the current playoff system was expanded. There have been some murmurs about making that change, but given the success of the current format, we are not likely to see a change anytime soon.

With that in mind, all eyes have been on the Alabama Crimson Tide, as fans and bettors look to see how they will respond to losing in the National Championship Game last season. It’s all going well so far, although Alabama have yet to face a decent opponent. It might be a little tougher this week, as they head into SEC Conference play with a home date against Ole Miss. Alabama are favored by 37 1/2, with the point total set at 61 ½.

Ole Miss vs Alabama 2019 College Football Week 5 Lines & Analysis

Why bet on the Ole Miss Rebels?

It looked as though the Ole Miss Rebels might be in for a season where the offense was going to struggle after losing 15-10 in the opening game of the year against Memphis. They put things right back at home, winning back to back games and scoring an average of slightly over 35 PPG in their next two outings. Last weekend was particularly disappointing, though, falling 28-20 at home to the California Golden Bears in a game that Ole Miss started as a 3-point favorite.

Things are not going to get any easier this weekend, as they will be up against an Alabama team that has owned them in recent seasons. In fact, the rebels have won just twice in their last 15 meetings with the Crimson Tide. They are also just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Points per Game: 27.00
  • Passing Yards: 192.67
  • Rushing Yards: 179.00
  • Yards per Play: 5.33

Defense

  • Points per Game: 20.33
  • Passing Yards: 260.33
  • Rushing Yards: 106.33
  • Yards per Play: 5.05

Why bet on the Alabama Crimson Tide?

It may be a little too early in the year to start talking about the Heisman, but if we do go that route, then we need to add Crimson Tide QB Tua Tagovailoa to the conversation. He has already passed for 1,300 yards and 17 TD’s and has also yet to throw a single pick. Sure, the meat of the Crimson Tide schedule is still to come, but you need to be impressed by those numbers.

Ole Miss vs Alabama should be an easy one for the Crimson Tide.

Alabama has yet to score less than 42 points in a single game this season, so there is every reason to believe that they might light it up again this weekend. Alabama are now 19-1 SU in their last 20 games, as well as having won 11 of their last 12 home meetings with the Rebels. Despite all that offense, they are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Points per Game: 50.33
  • Passing Yards: 382.33
  • Rushing Yards: 179.67
  • Yards per Play: 8.14

Defense

  • Points per Game: 12.00
  • Passing Yards: 194.00
  • Rushing Yards: 114.33
  • Yards per Play: 4.43

Ole Miss vs Alabama College Football Week 5 Betting Trends

  • Rebels are 2-13 SU in their last 15 games against Alabama
  • Rebels are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Mississippi’s last 9 games played in September
  • Crimson Tide are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home
  • Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Southeast conference
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Alabama’s last 9 games

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Ole Miss vs Alabama

The chances of an upset here would appear to be slim to none, which means that we need to be looking at the spread and the point total. I think we get the OVER, plus I also believe that Alabama will do enough to cover.

Score: Ole Miss Rebels 17 – Alabama Crimson Tide 55

 

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