Two of the highest scoring teams in college football tackle each other on the gridiron this Friday night at Maryland Stadium when the Terps host the Nittany Lions. Penn State will enter the fray a road favorite. Can the Nittany Lions pull off the win and cover? Or, will Maryland make life hard for Penn State? Check out the college football odds, analysis and a free pick for Penn State vs Maryland!
Penn State vs Maryland 2019 College Football Week 4 Lines & Game Prediction
- When: Friday, Sep. 27 at 8:00pm ET
- Where: Maryland Stadium, College Park, MD
- TV: FS1
- Radio: Penn State / Maryland
- Live Stream: Fox Sports Go
- ATS Odds: Penn State -6 ½
- Moneyline Odds: Penn State -230 / Maryland +195
- Over/Under Odds: 59 ½
- Mostly Clear: 16°C/60°F
- Humidity: 73%
- Precipitation: 10%
- Wind: 4 mph SSE
- Cloud Cover: 26%
- Type of Stadium: Open
Why the Penn State Nittany Lions are a good bet -6 ½?
Undefeated Penn State got a week off to prepare for this matchup. The Nittany Lions last battled on Sep 14. They faced a rousing ACC squad in the Pitt Panthers. The Panthers made life difficult for the Lions, but Penn State ended up beating the Panthers 17-10.
Penn State averages 47 points per while only allowing 10 per. If the defense and offense are working, they can dominate Maryland on Friday night for the win and cover.
- Total Yards: 473
- Passing Yards: 281
- Rushing Yards: 192
- Points Scored: 47
- Total Yards: 323.3
- Passing Yards: 252.7
- Rushing Yards: 70.7
- Points Allowed: 10
Why the Maryland Terrapins are a good bet +6 ½?
Much was expected of Maryland in their last matchup. The Terps headed to Temple off an unreal 63-20 victory over ranked Syracuse. Maryland lost 17-20 to the Owls as a -5 road favorite. Although the Terps did lose, they played well against a top defensive squad on the road.
Now back at home, Maryland’s offense, which averages 53 points per, should be much more effective. Penn State hasn’t faced a team with as good of an offense as Maryland’s. If this turns into a shootout, the home team has an edge.
- Total Yards: 537.7
- Passing Yards: 260.3
- Rushing Yards: 277.3
- Points Scored: 53
- Total Yards: 298.3
- Passing Yards: 224.7
- Rushing Yards: 73.7
- Points Allowed: 13.3
College Football Week 5 Betting Trends for Penn State vs Maryland
- Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss
- Nittany Lions are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous games
- Over is 7-1 in Nittany Lions last 8 road games
- Terrapins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games
- Terrapins are 6-15 ATS versus a team with a winning record
- Over is 4-1 in Terrapins last 5 home games
Penn State vs Maryland NCAAF Final Betting Analysis
Penn State should be favored based on their ability to shut down opposing offenses. However, the betting line asserts that the Nittany Lions are close to 10 points better than the Terrapins since they’re the favored road team.
Is that true? Maryland lost to Temple. Temple is a better team than many believe. Not only that, but the loss happened a week after the Terps dropped 63 points onto Syracuse. Maryland had a right to “bounce” after such a stunning offensive performance.
The Nittany Lions are the better team. They should win, but Maryland figures to keep this closer than the spread. Expect the Terps to battle hard and to lose by 3 to 6 points.
College Football Free Pick: Maryland Terrapins +6 ½