Minnesota @ Purdue NCAA Football Lines Preview

Posted by Alex Murphy on Friday,October 9, 2015 9:38, EST in

As the weekend’s NCAAF lines and odds action approaches, the 1-4 Purdue Boilermakers are preparing to launch operation save-the-season when they go against the 3-2 Minnesota Golden Gophers in a Week 6 college football matchup. Minnesota will not be coming into this to play minions, as they are also hoping to bounce back to winning ways after losing their last game. With the into out of the way, let’s delve into the game preview and find out what value this game holds for college football betting enthusiasts.

How To Bet the Golden Gophers @ Boilermakers NCAA Football Odds, TV & Game Info

Venue: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, Indiana
Date: Saturday, October 10, 2015
Time: 3:30 PM ET
TV: ESPN
NCAAF Odds: TBA

Statistically speaking, this game is a faceoff between the Boilers offense ranked 70th with an average of 28.4 PPG against a Goffers defense that ranks 36th, allowing 20.2 PPG. Meanwhile, Purdue’s aerial game is averaging 233 yards per game scoring, compared to Gophers 154.6 YPG per game. But on further analysis, there are other similarities and differences that could swing the game either way, as detailed below.

Betting on the Purdue Boilermakers

Since getting crashed 51-25 at home by Virginia Tech, the Boilermakers have been unable to halt their slide, maintaining the losing trend in their last two games. Their most recent game Michigan State over the weekend ended in a 24-21 loss. The narrow loss to the Spartans meant they have now lost three in a row. The biggest concern was that Boilermakers were boiled in their own boiler, and by the time the clock hit 17 minutes, the visitors were already 21-0 up. But in the end, it was the Spartans who were hanging on for their dear lives, as the Boilermakers turned up the heat in the kitchen, making life unbearable. However, they couldn’t complete the turnaround, losing the game by a whisker after missing failing to record a last-minute touchdown.

That said, the hosts can take a lot of positives from that performance against to ranked Spartans. To fuel their ambitions this weekend, Purdue will be looking up to QB David Blough, who is completing 60.3 percent of his passes for 487 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions, to lead in moving the chains.

DeAngelo Yancey and Danny Anthrop are also not bad statistically, as they have combined for 484 receiving yards and four touchdowns. The team also has Cameron Posey who has nine receptions so far. And to take care of things on the other end, they are likely to continue playing the freshmen trio of Markell Jones, David Blough and Joe Schopper, who’ve combined for some solid game-time this season.

Betting on the Minnesota Golden Gophers

The Golden Gophers will need a full overhaul of their mentality on both ends of the field after being whitewashed 27-0 by the Northwestern Wildcats in Week 5. Minnesota will be banking on Mitch Leidner, whose season’s stats are at four touchdowns and three interceptions, to lead the recovery. Leidner has a touchdown pass in five of the last 10 games he has played in, and will direly need to get his groove back after failing to lead his offense to any scoring drive last week.

In addition, the Gopher have KJ Maye and Drew Wolitarsky, who have a combined 477 receiving yards and four touchdowns, to help out in the offense, along with serviceable runners to help in moving the ball. Defensively, Eric Carter will come in handy for the team, given his team-leading defensive prowess. The fact that the Gophers will go into this match without DB Briean Boddy-Calhoun (knee injury) means that the rest of the defense will need to come up big and fill in for their missing star.

Key Minnesota @ Purdue Betting Trends

•    Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
•    Purdue is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
•    Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
•    Purdue is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
•    Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
•    Purdue is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
•    Minnesota is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 road games against Purdue
•    Purdue is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Minnesota
•    Minnesota is 1-7 SU in its last 8 road games against Purdue
•    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Purdue’s last 6 games
•    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games
•    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue’s last 5 games when playing Minnesota
•    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 road games against Purdue

My Expert Gophers @ Boilermakers Game Analysis & Prediction

After the white washing of Minnesota last weekend, most bettors seem to be rushing on Purdue. However, considering squad depth, Minnesota looks more talented than their hosts. Besides, they are better coached than their hosts and had a good run of results before the Wildcats setback. Surprises can happen in sports, but this game looks to be in solid favor of Minnesota who will be all out to avoid another defeat. With that, we believe the Gophers will stop Purdue’s dominance in this series by claiming a narrow road win plus the point, probably with an UNDER in the game-total.