San Jose State at Fresno NCAA Football Week 13 Spread & Pick.

San Jose State at Fresno State NCAA Football Week 13 Spread & Pick

Written by on November 23, 2018

With this being rivalry week in college football, not to mention the final week of the regular season, all eyes will be on the conference battles in the Power 5. It doesn’t really matter what week we are playing in, most fans focus their attention on the bigger games, simply because they feature the teams that are fighting it out for the 4 playoff spots available each year. While it’s understandable that we would place our attention there, it also means that we miss out on betting opportunities elsewhere.

 

I always like to look outside the Power 5 to see what else is going on, and with that in mind, I am looking at the Mountain West Conference this weekend. The combatants of the Title Game will be decided this weekend, with the Fresno State Bulldogs looking very much like the team that will be representing the West Division. They will come into their game versus the San Jose Spartans as a 31.5-point favorite, with the point total set at 49 ½.

 

San Jose State at Fresno NCAA Football Week 13 Spread & Pick

 

 

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Weather Forecast

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Why bet on the San Jose State Spartans?

The Spartans are having themselves an absolutely brutal year, going just 1-10 on the season, with that lone win coming against UNLV a few weeks ago. The biggest problem for this team has been generating any sort of meaningful offense. They are averaging just 22 PPG this season and have had 3 games where they were held under 10 points.

 

The one positive thing that you can say about this team is that they have been a good ATS bet in recent weeks, covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. They have also covered as the underdog on 5 separate occasions this season, and with the point spread set as high as it is for this game, there is a definite possibility that they might be able to do just enough to cover.

 

Team Stats

Offense
  • Average Score For: 22.00
  • Total Yards: 318.37
  • Rush Yards: 61.64
  • Passing Yards: 256.73
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 37.09
  • Total Yards: 493.27
  • Rush Yards: 212.36
  • Passing Yards: 280.91

 

Why bet on the Fresno State Bulldogs?

There is a little bit of pressure on the Bulldogs heading into this one given that they will be aware that a win here will put them in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game. The Bulldogs have gone 6-1 in conference play on their way to a solid 9-2 record overall, and they are coming into this one with a perfect 5-0 record at home. They have been a fantastic ATS bet, going 13-3 ATS in their last 6 games, although they did fail to cover the spread in each of their last 2 games.

 

San Jose State vs Fresno State should be a blowout.

 

The Bulldogs should be able to get some points on the board here, as they are averaging close to 37 PPG this season, a full 15 PPG more than what their opponents are bringing to the table. 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two in Fresno have gone the way of the UNDER.

 

Team Stats

Offense
  • Average Score For: 36.73
  • Total Yards: 423.82
  • Rush Yards: 144.09
  • Passing Yards: 279.73
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 13.55
  • Total Yards: 318.90
  • Rush Yards: 127.45
  • Passing Yards: 191.45

 

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San Jose State at Fresno State NCAA Football Week 13 Betting Trends

  • San Jose State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • San Jose State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose State’s last 6 games on the road
  • Fresno State is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games
  • Fresno State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Fresno State’s last 7 games

 

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for San Jose State vs Fresno State

I don’t think there is any doubt that the Fresno State Bulldogs are going to come away with the win here, but can they cover that big spread. I think they can and will, and I also like this one to go UNDER.

 

Score: San Jose State Spartans 7 – Fresno State Bulldogs 42
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