SMU vs Florida Atlantic 2019 Boca Raton Bowl Odds, Preview & Pick

SMU vs Florida Atlantic 2019 Boca Raton Bowl Odds, Preview & Pick

Written by on December 17, 2019

AAC team SMU heads to FAU Stadium to battle Florida Atlantic in the 2019 Boca Raton Bowl. Although the favorite, the Mustangs must beat the Owls on FAU’s home field. Will Southern Methodist win and cover? Or, will the Owls protect their turf? See below for the 2019 Boca Raton Bowl odds, analysis and a free pick!

SMU vs Florida Atlantic 2019 Boca Raton Bowl Odds, Preview & Pick

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 21 at 3:30 pm ET
  • Where: FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, FL
  • TV: ABC
  • ATS Odds: SMU -3 ½
  • Over/Under Odds: 70 ½

Why the SMU Mustangs are a good bet  -3 ½?

The Mustangs lost only twice this season. Because the American Athletic Conference was one of the deeper this season, SMU’s 10-2 record is even more impressive. Not only did SMU only lose twice, they had a winning 7-5 record against the spread. The Mustangs should handle Florida Atlantic on Saturday.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Total Yards: 495.3
  • Passing Yards: 309.3
  • Rushing Yards: 185.9
  • Points Scored: 43.0
Defense:
  • Total Yards: 438.6
  • Passing Yards: 284.9
  • Rushing Yards: 153.7
  • Points Allowed: 31.8

Why the Florida Atlantic Owls are a good bet +3 ½?

This is a home game for Florida Atlantic. The Owls had a great season when going 10-3. 2-of-3 losses came versus top teams Ohio State and Central Florida. FAU’s lone other loss was against Marshall. The Owls can play with teams like SMU. They should keep up with the Mustangs on the scoreboard. If it’s close, the home team can steal the Boca Raton Bowl on the moneyline.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Total Yards: 438.6
  • Passing Yards: 284.9
  • Rushing Yards: 153.7
  • Points Allowed: 31.8
Defense:
  • Total Yards: 371.3
  • Passing Yards: 233.6
  • Rushing Yards: 137.7
  • Points Allowed: 22.3

2019 Boca Raton Bowl Betting Trends for SMU Mustangs vs Florida Atlantic Owls

  • SMU is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conf games
  • Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 overall
  • The Over is 7-1 in the Mustangs last 8 games after an ATS win
  • Under is 6-1 in Mustangs last 7 games in December
  • Florida Atlantic is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall
  • Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games
  • The Under is 8-3 in Florida Atlantic’s last 11 games on grass
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Owls last 7 games as an underdog

SMU vs Florida Atlantic 2019 Boca Raton Bowl Final Betting Analysis

Although SMU played against and beat better teams, we can’t discount FAU’s home field advantage in this. The Owls are as solid as it gets. Sure, Ohio State dominated them 45-21, but who hasn’t the Buckeyes dominated this season?

Almost as important? The Owls went 5-1 ATS in their final 6 games. They finished a Conference USA Championship season with a 49-6 beat down of Alabama-Birmingham. Few teams enter Bowl Season as hot as the FAU Owls. Back the Owls on the moneyline.

Boca Raton Bowl Free Pick: FAU moneyline

 

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