Southern Miss vs Alabama 2019 College Football Week 4 Spread & Betting Prediction

Southern Miss vs Alabama 2019 College Football Week 4 Spread & Betting Prediction

Written by on September 18, 2019

While the second-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide certainly won’t have any trouble dispatching the Southern Miss Golden Eagles, college football bettors everywhere need to know whether the Tide can cover the chalk as nearly six-touchdown home favorites in Week 4.

Southern Miss vs Alabama 2019 College Football Week 4 Spread & Betting Prediction

Weather Forecast

  • Mostly Sunny: 32°C/90°F
  • Humidity: 53%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Wind: 6 mph SE
  • Cloud Cover: 26%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On Southern Miss at +39?

The only reasons to back the Golden Eagles is because they’re getting a ton of points. Southern Miss took out Troy 47-42 last weekend to improve to 2-1 on the season as quarterback Jack Abraham passed for a whopping 463 yards and two touchdowns to lead the way to victory. For the season, Abraham has thrown for 990 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions. They are averaging a healthy 33.0 points per game, but the Golden Eagles are also allowing a generous 30.0 points per game defensively.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 26.50
  • Total Yards: 366.50
  • Pass Yards: 263.50
  • Rush Yards: 103
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 24
  • Total Yards: 302.50
  • Pass Yards: 160
  • Rush Yards: 142.50

Why Bet On No. 2 Alabama at -39?

The Crimson Tide are averaging a stupendous 50.3 points per contest while limiting the opposition to just 12.0 points per game defensively. Alabama took out South Carolina 47-23 last weekend as quarterback Tua Tagovailoa passed for 444 yards with five touchdowns and no interceptions. For the season, Alabama’s gifted signal-caller has thrown for 1,007 yards and 12 touchdowns while completing a blistering 76.9 percent of his passes.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 52
  • Total Yards: 557.50
  • Pass Yards: 326
  • Rush Yards: 231.50
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 6.50
  • Total Yards: 233
  • Pass Yards: 129
  • Rush Yards: 104

Southern Miss vs Alabama College Football Week 4 Betting Trends

  • Southern Miss are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Southern Miss are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
  • The total went OVER in 5 of Southern Miss’ last 7 games
  • Alabama are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Alabama are 19-1 SU in their last 20 games
  • The total went OVER in 6 of Alabama’s last 8 games

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Southern Miss vs Alabama

While I have absolutely no doubt that Alabama is going to win this game, I’m going to go with Southern Miss to cover the huge spread because of their ability to put points on the board this season and the fact that I believe the Crimson Tide will take their foot off the gas pedal sometime shortly after the hal.

Southern Miss is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 non-conference games while Alabama has gone an uninspiring 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and winless 0-5 ATS in their last five games following an SU win.I like the Golden Eagles for the backdoor cover as nearly six touchdown road dogs and you should too!

Pick: Southern Miss +39

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