If you’re fired up about the quickly approaching 2018 college football championship game but you’re looking to take the guesswork out of making what could be a difficult against-the-spread (ATS) pick, then you need a simple, expert pick on the straight-up (SU) winner!
No worries! I’ve got you covered with a pick on just which team is going to bag this year’s championship trophy this coming Monday night, January 8, live from the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Now, let’s get down to business MyBookie college football betting buffs!
Alabama vs. Georgia 2018 College Football Championship Game SU Betting Preview
The Crimson Tide coaches recognized seven players of the week following Monday’s win over top-ranked Clemson
— Alabama Football (@AlabamaFTBL) 3 de enero de 2018
- When: Monday, January 8, 2017, 8:00 PM ET
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
- TV: ESPN
- Radio: 95.3 FM (Alabama) / 92.5 FM (Georgia)
- Live Stream: Watch ESPN
- College Football Championship Game Lines: Alabama Crimson Tide -4 (Over/Under at 45 points)
- Overcast: 9°C/48°F
- Humidity: 91%
- Precipitation: 4%
- Cloud Cover: 91%
- Wind: 7 mph WSW
- Stadium Type: Retractable
Latest Betting Trends
- Alabama is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
- Georgia is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
- Alabama is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games after a loss
- Georgia is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games in January
Why Consider betting on Alabama?
Look, there are a number of reasons why you should consider betting on No. 4 Alabama to get the outright win and record their fifth championship win in the last nine seasons.
First, if you saw them shut down top-seeded Clemson in their overpowering 24-6 win in the Allstate Sugar Bowl semifinal on Monday night, then you know they’re capable of shutting down any offense in the country.
I mean, damn, the Tide rank first in the nation in total defense (253.5 ypg), third against the pass (160.6 ypg), first against the run (92.8 ypg) and first in points allowed (11.1 ppg). Their strength, their defense, goes directly against Georgia’s strength…the Bulldogs’ rushing attack.
Then, there’s Alabama’s own offense. The Tide are ranked a stellar 10th in rushing (255.8 ypg) and can generally overpower almost any team with their rushing attack. Alabama also ranks an equally impressive 12th in scoring by putting up 37.9 points per contest and that’s better than Georgia’s offense.
Last but not least, I could point to the fact that Alabama has a phenomenal head coach in Nick Saban that is going to go down as arguably the greatest head coach in college football history whether you love him or loathe him. Saban led LSU to the 2003 national championship and has won four more championships at Alabama since taking over in 2007 (2009, 2011, 2012 and 2015).
Let’s not forget that Alabama is actually playing in their third straight national championship game and narrowly lost last season to Clemson. Saban is 4-1 in five title game appearances, so there’s a high probability that his Crimson Tide are going to win just based on statistics and his history.
Why Consider Betting on Georgia?
There are also some good reasons why you should consider betting on Georgia to get the outright win in the national championship game as well.
While no team generally runs the ball very well against Nick Saban-led teams, if anyone can pull it off, it looks like it would be this year’s Georgia team. The Bulldogs ranked eighth in the country in rushing (267.4 ypg) and have three running backs that are all elite, although two of them get the vast majority of the carries and lion’s share of media attention in Sonny Michel and Nick Chubb.
The latter rushed for a team-high 1,320 yards and 15 touchdowns while averaging 6.4 yards per carry while the former added 1,129 yards and 16 scores on the ground.
The pair set a record for combined rushing yards from two running backs in their 54-48 double-overtime win over Oklahoma in the semifinals as Michel rushed for 181 yards and three touchdowns on just 11 carries while Chubb added 145 yards and two scores on 14 carries.
Another reason to back the Bulldogs is that Georgia can score the ball pretty efficiently as they ranked 17th in scoring (36.3 ppg).
Of course, the best reason to consider betting on Georgia to win the 2018 college football championship game is that Georgia has a phenomenal defense that is eerily reminiscent of Alabama’s. The Bulldogs ranked sixth in total defense (289.5 ypg), eighth against the pass (167.6 ypg) and 20th against the run (121.9 ypg) while finishing fifth in points allowed (15.7 ppg).
They’ve also got a phenomenal leader in All-American Roquan Smith, the SEC Defensive Player of the Year and winner of this year’s Butkus Award as the nation’s top linebacker.
Expert Analysis and Prediction
Alabama will be playing in their third straight title game and sixth in nine seasons, so they’ve got a huge edge in big-game experience. Not only that, but the Crimson Tide have also gone 4-1 in its five most recent championship games, so there’s apparently an 80 percent statistical probability that Alabama will win outright.
For this contest, I’m going to urge you to back Alabama to beat Georgia simply because the Crimson Tide are just a bit better in everything that Georgia does outside of rushing the ball – and they’re just a tad behind the Bulldogs in that area as well.
I’m fully expecting Alabama to shut down Georgia’s rushing attack like they used to do to former LSU running back Leonard Fournette and almost every other elite rushing attack they’ve faced during the Nick Saban era.
In order for someone to beat the Tide, I believe their opponent has to have a really good dual-threat quarterback and that’s not the case with Georgia’s Jake Fromm. Conversely, Georgia could struggle to stop Alabama’s Jalen Hurts when he chooses to run the ball.
Last but not least, Nick Saban is a perfect 11-0 all-time against his former assistants with all 11 wins coming by at least 14 points. That stat clearly doesn’t bode well for Kirby and his Georgia Bulldogs. Bet on the Alabama Crimson tide to win the 2018 College Football Championship game!
Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide
Last 10 National Champions
- 2016: Clemson Tigers
- 2015: Alabama Crimson Tide
- 2014: Ohio State Buckeyes
- 2013: Florida State Seminoles
- 2012: Alabama Crimson Tide
- 2011: Alabama Crimson Tide
- 2010: Auburn Tigers
- 2009: Alabama Crimson Tide
- 2008: Florida Gators
- 2007: LSU Tigers