Unranked Texas is having a decent season as first-year head coach Tom Herman rebuilds the program in his image. The Longhorns will look to take another step in their evolution when they try to get the outright road win and ATS cover against a TCU Horned Frogs squad that is looking to rebound from its first loss of the season and comes in as the College Football odds favorite for Week 10.
Now, let’s find out if Texas has what it takes to do just that! The 7 point favorite Horned Frogs will host the Longhorns at Amon G. Carter Stadium on Saturday night at 7:15 PM ET with this matchup airing live on ESPN.
Texas (4-4) at TCU (7-1) College Football Odds & Betting Preview
“We’re headed in the right direction.”
— ESPN CollegeFootball (@ESPNCFB) 1 de noviembre de 2017
- When: Saturday, November 4, 2017, 7:15 PM ET
- Where: Amon Carter Stadium
- TV: ESPN
- Radio: 104.9 FM (Texas) / 96.7 FM (TCU)
- Live Stream: Big 12 Sports
- College Football Odds: TCU Horned Frogs -7 (Over/Under at 46)
- Total Meetings: 87
- First Meeting: 11/3/1897 – TCU 10 / Texas 18
- Last Meeting: 11/25/2016 – TCU 31 / Texas 9
- All-Time Series: Texas lead 62-1-24
- Largest Margin of Victory: Texas 72-0 (1915)
- Longest Win Streak: Texas 24 wins (1968-1991)
- Current Win Streak: TCU 3 wins ((2014-2016))
- Clear: 27°C/80°F
- Humidity: 60%
- Precipitation: 1%
- Cloud Cover: 23%
- Wind: 11 mph S
- Stadium Type: Open
Why Bet the Texas Longhorns Odds at +7?
The best reason to consider the Texas College Football Odds in this contest is that they’ve played hard all season long for Herman and now have a quarterback they can believe in!
Texas beat the hell out of Baylor in their commanding 38-7 Week 9 win last weekend. The Longhorns were without their star freshman quarterback Sam Ehlinger after he suffered a concussion in Texas’ heartbreaking 13-10 Week 8 overtime loss against Oklahoma State. The Longhorns have lost at USC, vs, Oklahoma and against the Cowboys last weekend, by a combined 11 points.
“Our guys are very confident with where we’re at,” coach Tom Herman said Monday at his weekly media availability. “They’re very confident in the lessons we’ve learned in even the close ones against the teams from Oklahoma.”
Texas got the win last weekend by pounding the Bears with their rushing attack. The Longhorns rushed for 171 yards as a team and got three rushing scores from a trio of players including backup quarterback Shane Buechele who also passed for 256 yards with one touchdown and one interception in the win. Defensively, Texas held winless Baylor to just 31 rushing yards while forcing three turnovers. Now, Herman won’t announce who his starting quarterback will be this coming weekend, although most everyone expects it to be Ehlinger.
“Probably the only silver lining to having those guys banged up and both of them having played very well at times is that we don’t have to name a starting quarterback,” Herman said. “Unless college football has gone to the NFL, we don’t have to say anything about our depth chart. By Wednesday or Thursday, we probably should know internally, but that’s for (TCU) to figure out.”
- Average Score For: 31.25
- Total Yards: 432.26
- Rush Yards: 153.88
- Passing Yards: 278.38
- Average Score Against: 21.00
- Total Yards: 370.74
- Rush Yards: 109.62
- Passing Yards: 261.12
Why Bet the TCU Horned Frogs Odds at -7?
TCU fell from No. 4 last week to No. 1o this week after losing to streaking Iowa State 14-7 last weekend. Quarterback Kenny Hill finally had a bad game this season by passing for just 135 yards while tossing two interceptions and no touchdowns in the loss.
“We’ve got goals that we’re climbing to get,” TCU cornerback Jeff Gladney said. “We’re just looking up, never looking down. Everything we need to get it up.”
The Horned Frogs’ defense kept Iowa State off the scoreboard in the second half and limited the Cyclones to just 40 yards.
“The guys did a better job of tackling, and we defended the pass,” coach Gary Patterson said. “We started doing what we said we had to do. We contested shots.”
Still, heading into their Week 10 matchup against Texas, Hill is completing a stellar 67.8 percent of his passes for 1,863 yards with 15 touchdowns and just five interceptions. The Horned Frogs actually outgained Iowa State 307-255yards in total offense, but couldn’t overcome Hill’s two picks and one lost fumble in the red zone.
“Everybody’s struggled to throw the football against Iowa State,” Patterson said Monday during the Big 12 coaches conference call with reporters. “Bottom line to it, we need to put Kenny in better situations. We didn’t find ways to win. It wasn’t so much Kenny’s deal as everybody’s. I think you can put the load on everybody.”
- Average Score For: 37.25
- Total Yards: 446.38
- Rush Yards: 195.00
- Passing Yards: 251.38
- Average Score Against: 14.75
- Total Yards: 286.75
- Rush Yards: 77.25
- Passing Yards: 209.50
Expert Analysis and Prediction
I’m going to get right to the point by saying that I fully agree with the 61 percent of public bettors that like the Horned Frogs in Week 10 against Texas.
The bottom line for me is that the Horned Frogs are simply the better team on both sides of the ball. TCU (37.3 ppg) averages exactly six points per game more than Texas. Defensively, TCU is totally elite in limiting the opposition to just 14.8 points per game this season to rank an impressive eighth nationally. The Longhorns have been solid in giving up just 21.0 points per game but just aren’t in the same caliber of teams as TCU defensively.
The Longhorns are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and a near-perfect 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, but TCU has gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of November and is the better team in all three phases of this contest. I like the Horned Frogs to back the College Football odds by double digits to cover the chalk!
Pick: TCU -7