Every team in college football faces some level of adversity over the course of any given season. Sometimes it’s needing to find a way to dig out in a win in a game that was supposed to be easy, while other times, it’s trying to find a way forward after losing a key player through injury. There are very few teams who get through the season totally unscathed, and when all is said and done, it’s usually the teams who rose above that adversity who land in the final four and the college football playoffs.
This SEC rivalry game features a pair of teams who are unlikely to play any part in the playoffs, but who have already been asked to overcome some serious issues. The Volunteers stumbled badly out of the gate, dropping games to teams they should be beating, while the Gators will now need to navigate the rest of the season without their starting QB. Both of these teams need to find a way to rise up this weekend. Florida is in as a 14-point favorite, with the point total set at 48 ½.
Tennessee vs Florida 2019 College Football Week 4 Odds & Analysis
- When: Saturday, September 21, 12 PM EST
- Where: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville
- TV: ESPN
- Radio: SiriusXM
- Live Stream: WatchESPN
- College Football Week 4 Odds: Florida -14 (Total 48.5)
- Mostly Sunny: 31°C/87°F
- Humidity: 61%
- Precipitation: 10%
- Cloud Cover: 26%
- Wind: 12 mph ENE
- Stadium Type: Open
Why bet on the Tennessee Volunteers?
If any team needed a big win in Week 3 of the season, it was the Tennessee Volunteers. Their first couple of weeks were nothing short of brutal, with a loss to Georgia State followed up by a home OT loss to BYU. The natives were getting very restless in Tennessee, but they did finally get something to cheer about, with the Vols taking down Chattanooga 45-0 last weekend.
This is a much stiffer challenge, though, with the Volunteers going on the road to start their SEC schedule. They have had very little joy against the Gators in recent years, going just 1-9 SU in their last 10 meetings. To make matters even worse, they are just 1-10 in their last 11 road games and are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 meetings with SEC opposition. Not very much to like there at all.
Team Stats (Last 10 Games)
- Score: 20.50
- Rush Yards: 108.60
- Pass Attempts: 33.10
- Completion Percentage: 53.47
- Passing Yards: 220.70
- Total Yards: 329.3
- Turnovers: 3.00
Why bet on the Florida Gators?
While the Florida Gators have jumped out to a 3-0 start this season, they have not looked particularly good in getting there. Things got even uglier last weekend when starting QB Feleipe Franks went down with a horrible injury that will more than likely sideline him for the rest of the season. With conference play about to get rolling in the SEC, this was not the best time for the Gators to be bringing in a back-up QB.
The good news is that the Gators are on a streak where they have beaten the Volunteers in 7 straight games at home. Overall, they have won 5 of their last 6 at home, but again, those wins all came with their starting QB under center. You really need to keep that injury in mind when wagering on this one.
Team Stats (Last 10 Games)
- Score: 29.40
- Rush Yards: 178.30
- Pass Attempts: 26.10
- Completion Percentage: 59.00
- Passing Yards: 193.40
- Total Yards: 371.7
- Turnovers: 1.80
Tennessee vs Florida 2019 College Football Week 4 Betting Trends
- Volunteers are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Florida
- Volunteers are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games against an opponent in the Southeast conference
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tennessee’s last 9 games played in September
- Gators are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home
- Gators are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games played in week 4
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida’s last 6 games against an opponent in the Southeast conference
Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction for Tennessee vs Florida
I think we could be in for a very sloppy game here, with errors and turnovers likely to play a role in who wins. The UNDER looks to be the pick of the bunch here, but I also like the Volunteers to cover.
Score: Tennessee Volunteers 17 – Florida Gators 27