The Citadel vs Alabama NCAA Football Week 12 Spread & Prediction

The Citadel vs Alabama NCAA Football Week 12 Spread & Prediction

Written by on November 15, 2018

While quarterbacks Tua Tagovailoa and Jalen Hurts are both banged-up, the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide won’t need either to get past an overmatched Citadel Bulldogs team that doesn’t come close to comparing to the mighty, defending national champions in flat-out overall talent.

Having said that, while the outcome of the Week 12 matchup between the two schools is not in doubt, it remains to be seen just how many points the Tide will beat The Citadel by. Wit no odds for this matchup on the board right now, let’s get to my expert analysis and prediction on this contest.

The Citadel vs Alabama NCAA Football Week 12 Spread & Prediction

  • When: Saturday, November 17, 2018 at 12:00 PM ET
  • Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium
  • TV: SEC
  • Radio: TuneIn
  • Live Stream: WatchESPN
  • NCAA Football Week 12 Odds: OFF / Total: OFF

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 17°C/62°F
  • Humidity: 53%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Wind: 4 mph WSW
  • Cloud Cover: 14%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On The Citadel Bulldogs?

Why should you consider back the Bulldogs if a spread becomes available for this matchup? Well, the most obvious reason is that they’re going to be getting a bunch of points no matter who’s under center for the Crimson Tide. The Citadel will also come into this contest feeling good after winning two straight and three of their last four including their emphatic 42-27 win over Samford last weekend.

Running back Lorenzo Ward rushed for 18 times for 88 yards and four touchdowns while quarterback Brandon Rainey ran for 206 yards and another score while tossing one TD pass as well as The Citadel scored 21 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to down Samford 42-27 on Saturday. Last but not least, The Citadel could cover a big number if starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa isn’t fully healthy and the Tide are forced to turn to their third string quarterback.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For:
  • Total Yards:
  • Pass Yards:
  • Rush Yards:
Defense:
  • Average Score Against:
  • Total Yards:
  • Pass Yards:
  • Rush Yards:

Why Bet On The Alabama Crimson Tide?

Is Alabama a safe bet for NCAA Football Week 12?

Why should you consider backing Alabama if a line becomes available for this contest? Seriously? There are a bunch of good reasons. Alabama has the far better offense. The Crimson Tide lead the nation in fewest points allowed (12.7 ppg). Alabama’s third stringers would all be starting at The Citadel. Alabama can’t afford a loss in this contest. I could go on, but I think you get the idea.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 48.60
  • Total Yards: 539.50
  • Pass Yards: 323.70
  • Rush Yards: 215.80
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 12.70
  • Total Yards: 282.80
  • Pass Yards: 186.50
  • Rush Yards: 96.30

The Citadel vs Alabama NCAA Football Week 12 Betting Trends

  • The Citadel is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
  • The Citadel is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games
  • Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama’s last 6 games at home

Expert Analysis and Prediction for The Citadel vs Alabama

Alabama (48.6 ppg) averages almost 19 points per game more than the Citadel (29.8 ppg) while simultaneously giving up 17.2 fewer points per game than the Bulldogs for a roughly 36-point scoring differential. While The Citadel was limited to a field goal in their season-opening loss against Clemson, I think they get in the end zone at least once against the Tide – en route to a huge loss.

NCAA Football Week 12 Pick: Alabama 56 The Citadel 7
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