In Depth Analysis On The Top College Football Trio Of Week 8 Expert Parlay Picks!
Illinois Fighting Illini (2-4) at No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (6-0)When: Saturday, October 22, 2016 at 3:30 PM ET
Where: Michigan Stadium
NCAAF Odds: Michigan Wolverines -35
Not only are the Michigan Wolverines (6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS) the far better team in this matchup, but they’re well-rested after getting a bye in Week 7. Illinois (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS) enters this Big Ten battle coming off a convincing 24-7 win over Rutgers on Saturday as 4.5-point favorites, but the Fighting Illini are overmatched in all three phases of the game against Jim Harbaugh’s title-contending team.
Not only that, but the Fighting Illini have not beaten a ranked team since their 2011 and could be without starting quarterback Wes Lunt for the second straight game. Michigan has scored 45 points or more in every game this season including their emphatic 78-0 win over Rutgers two weeks ago and they are my pick to get it done in this contest after beating Central Florid by 37 points and Penn State by 39 points.
I fully expect Michigan’s No. 1 ranked scoring defense (10.3 ppg) to pressure Illinois backup Chayce Crouch – or Lunt if he plays – into at least two and possibly three costly turnovers en route to the emphatic Week 8 win. The Wolverines have won 12 straight games against unranked teams and simply has too much talent to lose this game or fail to cover the spread.
The Fighting Illini are 3-6 ATS in its last nine games and 1-5 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record. Conversely, Michigan has won nine of their last 11 meetings against Illinois while going 4-0 ATS in their last four games against a team with a losing record. I don’t like the high point spread, but Jim Harbaugh has no compassion whatsoever and will likely try to run up the score on another overmatched opponent.
My Pick: Michigan 49 Illinois 10
Purdue at No. 8 NebraskaWhen: Saturday, October 22, 2016 at 3:30 PM ET
Where: Memorial Stadium
TV: ABC, ESPN2
NCAAF Odds: Nebraska Cornhuskers -24
The Purdue Boilermakers have alternated SU wins and losses all season long but were on the wrong end of a humbling 49-35 loss against Iowa on Saturday while failing to cover the spread as a 12-point underdog. The Nebraska Cornhuskers remained unbeaten by beating Indiana 27-22 in Week 7 while narrowly covering the spread as a 3-point favorite.
For me, I like Nebraska to bounce back with a better performance to pound a Purdue team that just fired head coach Darrell Hazell after their most recent loss. The Boilermakers have a pitiful run defense and inconsistent offense and will enter this contest with former wide receivers coach Gerald Parker taking over as a first-time head coach.
Defensively, Purdue is allowing a whopping 34.3 points per game, meaning Nebraska signal-caller Tommie Armstrong Jr. should be able to build on his impressive start. The Cornhuskers have a slew of athletically-gifted players at the skill positions and are playing at home. Not only do the Cornhuskers have the big edge offensively, but they’re also limiting the opposition to just 18.3 points per game and should have a field day against the reeling Boilermakers.
My Pick: Nebraska 42 Purdue 17
No. 22 North Carolina at VirginiaWhen: Saturday, October 22, 2016 at 3:00 PM ET
Where: Scott Stadium
NCAAF Odds: North Carolina -7.5
The North Carolina Tar Heels (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) bounced back from their humbling Week 6 loss against Virginia Tech to get past No. 16 Miami 20-13 on Saturday as a 6-point underdog no less. The Virginia Cavaliers (2-4 SU, 4-2 ATS) had their two-game winning streak snapped in their uninspiring 45-31 Week 7 loss to Pittsburgh while never coming close to covering the spread as a 6-point underdog.
For me, North Carolina is the pick to win and cover the college football betting line seeing as how the Cavs average four points per game more than the Cavaliers and give up four fewer points per contest. More importantly, the Tar Heels have a gifted signal-caller in Mitch Trubisky and a pair of skill position players in running back T.J. Logan and wide receiver Bug Howard that Virginia won’t be able to stop in this affair.
North Carolina has won six straight meetings against their longtime ACC rivals, including last season’s 26-13 home win and I expect this year’s meeting to be nearly identical. The Tar Heels have won seven of their last nine road games and have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five road dates while Virginia has gone 1-5 ATS in their last half-dozen games against Carolina. The Tar Heels win and narrowly cash in!
North Carolina 35 Virginia 24