Penn State vs. Washington 2017 Fiesta Bowl Betting Analysis

Top College Football Week 11 Picks to Bet Against the Spread

Written by on November 6, 2017

Can the Washington Huskies and their pair of Heisman trophy caliber stars get the road win and ATS cover at Stanford to keep their playoff hopes alive and cash in for betting backers that include them in their College Football Week 11 picks?What’s going to go down when the Iowa State Cyclones host the Oklahoma State Cowboys in what looks like a thrilling Big 12 battle just waiting to happen?Last but not least, can No. 17 Virginia Tech get the much-needed road win over dangerous Georgia tech to keep their ACC title hopes alive?After a wild and wacky Week 10 that saw a bunch of upsets take place all over the country, college football bettors like you need some expert betting advice more than ever as we steamroll toward a fast and furious finish to the 2017 regular season. So let’s check the latest NCAAF Odds and which teams offer a great ATS value.

Top College Football Week 11 Picks to Bet Against the Spread

No. 9 Washington (8-1) at Stanford (6-3)

  • When: Friday, November 10, 10:30 PM ET
  • Where: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, California
  • NCAAF Week 11 Odds: Washington -7
Washington laid an emphatic 38-3 smackdown on Oregon this past weekend to cover the chalk as a 17.5-point home favorite while Stanford lost on the road at Washington State while failing to cover the spread as a 1.5-point road fave. Now, heading into their Week 11 PAC-12 pairing, I want to advise you to roll with the 60 percent of public bettors that like the one-loss red-hot Huskies to get the win at ATS cover as a touchdown-plus road favorite.As previously stated, Washington has two legitimate Heisman trophy-caliber players in quarterback Jake Browning and running back Myles Gaskin and they’ve been putting points on the board like crazy. The Huskies have 37 points or more in seven of their last eight games. That clearly hasn’t been the case for Stanford as the Cardinal have struggled in scoring 23 points or less in three of their last four games.Washington is a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning record, a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings against Stanford people. Conversely, Stanford has gone just 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games against a team with a winning record and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.I like Washington to be on your College Football Week 11 picks list!Pick: Washington -7

No. 12 Oklahoma State (7-2) at No. 24 Iowa State (6-3)

  • When: Saturday, November 11, 12:00 PM ET
  • Where: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, Iowa
  • NCAAF Week 11 Odds: Oklahoma State -6.5
Both nationally-ranked teams in this Week 11 Big 12 battle had their respective four-game winning streaks snapped this past weekend. Oklahoma State lost a phenomenal shootout against in-state rival Oklahoma in their Bedlam Series matchup 62-52 while failing to cover the spread as a 1-point home favorite. Streaking Iowa State ended up on the wrong end of a narrow 20-16 road loss against West Virginia while finishing the contest in a Push as 4-point underdogs.Now, the Cowboys are a touchdown road faves against the Cyclones, but I don’t see it happening for Oklahoma State and neither do the 64 percent of public bettors that like Iowa State to at least, cover the chalk in this one. I know the Cowboys average almost 15 points per game more than the Cyclones (45.3 ppg-30.6 ppg) but Iowa State limits their opponents to just 18.9 points per contest while Oklahoma State gives up a more generous 28.6 points per game.The Cowboys shouldn't be one of your College Football Week 11 Picks.The home team in this rivalry has also gone 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings and the Cyclones have gone 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and a blistering 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games. With Oklahoma State going just 2-5 ATS in their last seven conference games and an identical 2-5 ATS in their last seven games in the month of November, I’m thinking Mason Rudolph and company are in danger of not only failing to cover the chalk but losing this game outright, that’s why they are not going to be one of my College Football Week 11 picks.Pick: Iowa State +6.5

No. 17 Virginia Tech (7-2) at Georgia Tech (4-4)

  • When: Saturday, November 11, 12:20 PM ET
  • Where: Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
  • NCAAF Week 11 Odds: Virginia Tech -3
I know No. 17 Virginia Tech got humbled in their 28-10 loss to No. 7 Miami on Saturday to snap their three-game winning streak, but Georgia Tech has dropped two straight and three of their last four, including their 40-36 loss at Virginia this past weekend.With that said, I’m thinking the Hokies are absolute locks to beat the Yellow Jackets and cover a 2.5-point spread that will be too easy for them in this Week 11 ACC clash. While less than a full point separates these two longtime rivals offensively, Virginia Tech is the far better defensive team in this contest and one of the best in the country really as they limit the opposition to just 13.3 points per game to rank a stellar fourth nationally.While the Yellow Jackets upset the Hokies 30-20 on the road last year and have split the last four meetings evenly, this time around, I’m Virginia Tech’s stout defense to lead them to victory by keeping Georgia Tech’s triple option rushing attack largely in check. The Hokies have held three of their last four opponents to 10 points or less and have only lost to two teams that are actually better than they are and higher ranked in the AP national poll falling to Clemson in Week 5 and Miami this past weekend.Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an SU loss while the road team in this long series has gone a nearly unblemished 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Virginia Tech is just too good defensively to lose, so be sure to include them in your College Football Week 11 picks.Pick: Virginia Tech -3