Updated College Football Championship Odds & Predictions – October 4th Edition
New AP top 10 …1. Alabama 2. Clemson 3. Oklahoma 4. Penn State 5. Georgia 6. Washington 7. Michigan 8. TCU 9. Wisconsin 10. Ohio State — SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) 1 de octubre de 2017
Alabama Crimson TideCollege Football Championship Odds: 7/5 The Crimson Tide (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) are ranked eighth in scoring (46.2 ppg) and have the best quarterback of the Nick Saban era in my mind in Jalen Hurts, not to mention the fact that they lead the nation in points allowed by limiting the opposition to a mind-boggling 8.6 points per game. I guess the best way I can describe betting on Alabama like playing the Powerball lottery knowing you’ve already got five of the six numbers you need to win it all.
Clemson TigersCollege Football Championship Odds: 7/2 The Tigers (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) haven’t missed a beat even though superstar quarterback Deshaun Watson has taken his act to the NFL, where’s he proving he should have been the No. 1 overall pick as I kept saying since he graduated. Clemson has a phenomenal defense that ranks fourth in points allowed nationally (10.4 ppg) and an offense that is putting up a stellar 36.4 points per game to rank 34th nationally.
Oklahoma SoonersCollege Football Championship Odds: 7/1 The Sooners have actually looked better than ever in head coach Lincoln Riley’s first season than they have under former head coach Bob Stoops in quite some time. Not only does Oklahoma has one of the most explosive offenses in the country by putting up a stunning 48.0 points per game (fourth), but they’re actually playing solid defense in limiting the opposition to a respectable 19.5 points per game (32nd). Last but not least, I find it kind of amazing that no one is really talking about Baker Mayfield being the best quarterback in all college football seeing as how he’s throwing a completely mind-boggling 89 TD passes and just 15 interceptions over the last two-plus seasons including 13 TD passes and no picks this year.
Penn State Nittany LionsCollege Football Championship Odds: 12/1 I’m going to get right to the point by saying I’ve got the Nittany Lions (5-0 SU, 3-1-1 ATS) reaching the four-team playoff this season behind their pair of Heisman Trophy candidates in quarterback Trace McSorley and superstar running back Saquon Barkley, a player that, dare I say, reminds me of a cross between the legendary Barry Sanders and Walter Payton. Penn State has been phenomenal on both sides of the ball in averaging 41.4 points per game offensively (16th) while limiting the opposition to just 9.4 points per contest defensively (third).
Georgia BulldogsCollege Football Championship Odds: 12/1 Clearly, the Bulldogs (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) are very real this season as they rank second nationally to Alabama in points allowed defensively (9.2 ppg) while also putting up a healthy 33.0 points per game offensively (53rd). The Bulldogs are getting solid play out of freshman quarterback Jake Fromm and still talented running back Nick Chubb eve after the former phenom suffered a gruesome knee injury two years ago. Still, I’ve got this nagging feeling that if someone forces new quarterback Kelly Bryant to beat them by throwing the ball – it’s not gonna’ happen!
Washington HuskiesCollege Football Championship Odds: 20/1 After ‘hating’ on the Huskies (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) last season, I picked Washington to both, win the Pac-12 this season and reach the four-team playoff for the second straight year and so far, they haven’t disappointed. After ranking a phenomenal eighth in scoring and points allowed last season, the Huskies are now ranked 10th in scoring (44.0 ppg) and fifth in points allowed (10.8 ppg). More importantly, Washington has a pair of legitimate Heisman Trophy candidates in quarterback Jake Browning and running back Myles Gaskin, not to mention one of the best coaches in all college football in Chris Petersen.
Wisconsin BadgersCollege Football Championship Odds: 33/1 I have no idea why the Badgers (4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS) aren’t getting the love I feel like they should be getting, but I’m thinking Wisconsin has an excellent chance to both, win the Big Ten this season and reach the College Football Playoff, seeing as how they’re averaging a stellar 40.8 points per game (22nd) while playing their usual lockdown defense in limiting the opposition to just 13.5 points per game (ninth).
Contenders that Are Really Pretenders
Ohio State Buckeyes
College Football Championship Odds: 12/1I’m disgusted that the Buckeyes (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) are still a 12/1 pick to win it all after seeing the way Oklahoma smacked them around in their completely humbling 31-16 Week 2 home loss against Baker Mayfield and the Oklahoma Sooners. While the Buckeyes are ranked 11th in scoring (42.6 ppg) and 16th in points allowed (16.0 ppg) and have a great head coach in Urban Meyer, I don’t see them reaching the four-team College Football Playoff after they got ‘gifted’ an entrance into last season’s playoffs despite failing to win the Big Ten title.
Oklahoma State Cowboys
College Football Championship Odds: 14/1Honestly, I have no idea why the Cowboys are still a 14/1 pick to win it all after seeing the way they got man-handled by TCU in their humbling 44-31 home loss in Week 4 despite being a 9-point home fave in that contest. Yes, quarterback Mason Rudolph is seriously talented and the Cowboys can put points on the board (46.8 ppg, 6th), but they’ve also got a defense that is giving up 26.0 points per game and that just won’t cut it against the more elite teams in the country. Save your money here.
USC TrojansCollege Football Championship Odds: 16/1 While USC (4-1 SU, 1-4 ATS) enters the season as the prohibitive favorite to win the Pac-12 and ‘golden boy’ quarterback Sam Darnold enters the season as the prohibitive favorite to win the Heisman Trophy, I was very skeptical on both fronts and rightfully so, seeing as how the Trojans are ranked a modest 40th in scoring (35.0 ppg) and uninspiring 68th in points allowed (25.8 ppg). Also, USC has looked mediocre at best in getting past a rebuilding Texas team 27-24 in overtime in Week 3 while also playing poorly in their 30-20 win over Cal in Week 4, not to mention their 30-27 road loss to Washington State in Week 5. Stick a fork in the Trojans, their championship hopes are done, seeing as how Washington and Washington State are both better than they are this season.
Michigan WolverinesCollege Football Championship Odds: 16/1 Let me start by saying that Jim Harbaugh can certainly coach defense. Michigan (4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS) is ranked eighth nationally in points allowed (13.5 ppg), but the Wolverines have been mediocre at best offensively even in putting up 31.5 points per contest (58th). Making matters worse is the fact that Harbaugh has some pretty average quarterbacks on his roster, even though I do believe the Wolverines are going to be better off now that John O’Korn has replaced the injured and ineffective Wilton Speight.
Auburn TigersCollege Football Championship Odds: 25/1 Auburn has been pretty solid in ranking 49th in scoring (34.2 ppg) and a stellar sixth in points allowed 911.0 ppg), but I’d personally save my money betting on the Tigers (4-1 SU, 2-2-1 ATS), seeing as how they suffered a 14-6 loss to Clemson already and have looming losses coming against Georgia in Week 10 and Alabama in their Week 12 regular season finale.
TCU Horned FrogsCollege Football Championship Odds: 28/1 The Horned Frogs (4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS) are putting up a jaw-dropping 47.8 points per game to rank fifth nationally in scoring while limiting the opposition to just 18.5 points per game defensively (26th), but I’ve got to keep it real by saying that I still don’t trust often erratic quarterback Kenny Hill one iota and I’m expecting him to have a bad performance at some point in the near future this season.
Rest of the Teams College Football Championship Odds
- Oregon Ducks: 40/1
- Louisville Cardinals: 50/1
- Florida Gators: 50/1
- Miami Hurricanes: 50/1
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 50/1
- Texas A&M Aggies: 50/1
- South Florida Bulls: 66/1
- Texas Longhorns: 80/1
- Florida State Seminoles: 100/1
- Stanford Cardinal: 100/1
- Michigan State Spartans: 100/1
- North Carolina State Wolfpack: 100/1
- LSU Tigers: 125/1
- UCLA Bruins: 125/1
- Kansas State Wildcats: 125/1
- Tennessee Volunteers: 125/1
- West Virginia Mountaineers: 125/1
- Utah Utes: 125/1
- Virginia Tech Hokies: 150/1
- Minnesota Golden Gophers: 200/1
- Nebraska Cornhuskers: 250/1