USC vs Washington 2019 College Football Week 5 Spread & Betting Analysis

USC vs Washington 2019 College Football Week 5 Spread & Betting Analysis

Written by on September 26, 2019

The 25th-ranked USC Trojans and the 17th-ranked Washington Huskies will both be looking to give their conference championship hopes a boost when they square off in their Week 5 Pac-12 pairing on Saturday. With the Trojans looking to build on their upset win over Utah and the Huskies looking to record their third straight win, let’s find out which team is offering the best value against their college football odds in this intriguing pairing.

USC vs Washington 2019 College Football Week 5 Spread & Betting Analysis

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 16°C/60°F
  • Humidity: 64%
  • Precipitation: 20%
  • Wind: 8 mph N
  • Cloud Cover: 58%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On USC at +10?

The Trojans are looking like a team that could very well cover the spread after they pulled off a huge, 30-23 upset win over now, No. 19 Utah last weekend. Quarterback Matt Fink came up big by passing for 351 yards with three touchdowns and one interception after replacing injured starter Keldon Slovis. USC is averaging a solid 33.2 points per game (51st) while allowing 24.0 points per contest defensively (57th). Safety Taianoa Hufanga has been all over the field this season and lead the Trojans with 42 tackles, including 26 solo tackles.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 33.25
  • Total Yards: 443
  • Pass Yards: 324.50
  • Rush Yards: 118.50
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 24
  • Total Yards: 421
  • Pass Yards: 250.50
  • Rush Yards: 170.50

Why Bet On Washington at -10?

The Huskies are looking good after exploding on Hawaii and BYU the last two weeks following their Week 2 upset loss at home against Cal. Washington spanked BYU 45-19 last weekend as quarterback Jacob Eason passed for 290 yards with three touchdowns and one interception and running back Sean McGrew added 110 rushing yards on 18 carries. Washington has scored a whopping 97 points over their last two games and comes into this contest averaging a healthy 40.8 points per game (21st) while limiting the opposition to just 18.2 points per contest defensively (32nd). Defensively, cornerback Myles Bryant leads the Huskies with 24 total tackles, including a team-high 17 solo tackles.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 39.33
  • Total Yards: 456
  • Pass Yards: 264
  • Rush Yards: 192
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 18
  • Total Yards: 324
  • Pass Yards: 192
  • Rush Yards: 132

College Football Week 5 Betting Trends for USC vs Washington

  • Southern California are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games
  • Southern California are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games against Washington
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern California’s last 5 games played in week 5
  • Washington are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Washington are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Washington’s last 18 games

USC vs Washington Expert Analysis and Prediction

While USC has won two of the last three meetings and the road team has won three straight in this Pac-12 rivalry, I’m going to say that Washington is the pick to take care of business in this year’s Week 5 matchup. However, I do like USC to cover the chalk as a 10-point road dog., seeing as how each of their last three losses to Washington have come by five points or less. I know the Trojans are an awful 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 road games and 8-19-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall, but Washington is just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 conference games while the underdog in this series has gone 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Again, I like the Huskies to get the win, but I’m expecting this one to be a knock-down, drag-out affair that ends up being a lot closer than the double-digit spread.

Pick: Washington 28 USC 23

 

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