Wake Forest vs NC State NCAA Football Week 11 Spread & Prediction

Wake Forest vs NC State NCAA Football Week 11 Spread & Prediction

Written by on November 7, 2018

Not only will the NC State Wolfpack be looking to record consecutive victories when they host the visiting Wake Forest Demon Deacons on Thursday night, but they’ll also be looking to cover the chalk as a huge home favorite in their Week 11 ACC battle. If you’re looking to find out if the Wolfpack can hold it down at home or whether the Demon Deacons are the pick to either win outright or cover the spread, let’s get to my expert college football betting pick right now.

Wake Forest vs NC State NCAA Football Week 11 Spread & Prediction

Weather Forecast

  • Overcast: 12°C/53°F
  • Humidity: 82%
  • Precipitation: 24%
  • Wind: 7 mph NE
  • Cloud Cover: 100%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On The Wake Forest Demon Deacons?

Why should you bet on Wake Forest in this contest? Well, there are some good reasons. First, the Demon Deacons average 32.3 points per game which is virtually identical to NC State’s 32.5 points per contest. Another good reason is because Wake is getting a whopping 17 points and that’s a bunch, seeing as how NC State clearly isn’t without flaws. Last but not least, the Demon Deacons have fared well against NC State, winning four of the last nine meetings outright, including last season’s 30-24 home win over their longtime ACC rivals. Last weekend, Wake suffered a humbling 41-24 home loss to Syracuse while never coming close to covering the spread as a 6-point underdog. Quarterback Sam Hartman passed for 275 yards with two touchdowns and one interception in the loss but the Demon Deacons gave up 264 rushing yards and five rushing scores in the loss.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 32.33
  • Total Yards: 455.22
  • Pass Yards: 229
  • Rush Yards: 226.22
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 37.22
  • Total Yards: 493.56
  • Pass Yards: 272.78
  • Rush Yards: 220.78

Why Bet On The NC State Wolfpack?

Why should you bet on the Wolfpack in Week 11? There are a handful of great reasons. First, the Wolfpack are playing at home where they’ve gone 5-0 this year. Then, there’s the fact that NC State wants some revenge for their loss against the Demon Deacons last season. Then, there’s the fact that the Wolfpack give up 12.3 fewer points per game than Wake Forest. Last but not least, NC State is ‘semi-desperate’ after snapping a two-game skid last weekend by beating beleaguered Florida State 47-28 last weekend. Quarterback Ryan Finley passed for 240 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions while running back Ricky Person Jr. added two rushing scores in the win.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 32.50
  • Total Yards: 457
  • Pass Yards: 322.88
  • Rush Yards: 134.12
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 25.50
  • Total Yards: 398
  • Pass Yards: 306.38
  • Rush Yards: 91.62

Expert Analysis and Prediction for 

With both of these teams averaging a nearly identical amount of points offensively and NC State giving up 12 fewer points per game than the Demon Deacons, I’m a bit stunned as to why the Wolfpack are such huge favorites in this contest.

I know the Demon Deacons are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss and 1-5 ATS in their last six conference games while NC State has gone 5-0 ATS in their last five games against Wake, but I genuinely believe this spread is way too high for the Wolfpack to cover. Besides, Wake Forest has gone 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 170 passing yards in their previous game. NC State wins but Wake covers.

NCAA Football Week 11 Pick: NC State 35 Wake 24
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