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Week 10 College Football Lines: Florida State At NC State

Written by on November 4, 2016

The 19th-ranked Florida State Seminoles will look to bounce back from their crushing Week 9 loss when they hit the road to face a North Carolina State Wolfpack team that has dropped three straight games coming into this ACC clash. Now, let’s find out if the Seminoles can cover the college football betting lines as a nearly touchdown road favorite.

Analyzing The Week 10 College Football Lines: Seminoles At Wolfpack

When: Saturday, November 5, 2016 at 7:00 PM ET Where: Carter-Finley Stadium TV: ESPNU Live Stream: Watch ESPN NCAAF Odds: NC State Wolfpack +6.5  
 

Florida State

Florida State (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) was on the wrong end of a heartbreaking 37-34 loss against Clemson last weekend that snapped their modest two-game winning streak. Quarterback Deondre Francois completed 17-of-35 passes for 286 yards and one touchdown while running back Dalvin Cook rushed for 169 yards and four touchdowns on 19 carries. Wide receiver Nyqwan Murray caught six passes for 96 yards and one score. Unfortunately, the Florida State Seminoles gave up a whopping 430 yards of total offense to Clemson Heisman Trophy contending quarterback Deshaun Watson to ruin their comeback attempt. For the season, Francois has passed for 2,162 yards with 11 touchdowns and four interceptions while Cook has rushed for 1,069 yards and 11 touchdowns on 178 carries.

North Carolina State

NC State (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS) has dropped three straight games including their 21-14 Week 9 loss to Boston College last weekend. Quarterback Ryan Finley completed 23-of-41 passes for 307 yards and two touchdowns, but tossed two costly interceptions in the loss. Running back Matthew Dayes rushed 19 times but was limited to just 45 yards while wide receiver Bra’Lon Cherry caught three passes for 105 yards and one score. For the season, Finley has passed for 1,815 yards with 13 touchdowns and six interceptions while Dayes leads has rushed for a team-high 727 yards and four touchdowns.

Expert Prediction and Pick

I’m going to get right to the point by saying that I fully expect Florida State to roll all over the beleaguered Wolfpack to cover the college football betting line with room to spare. While NC State has the better statistical defense, Florida State is by far, the more explosive offensive team. Not only that, but the Wolfpack have been limited to 17 points or less in four straight games while not scoring more than 14 points over their last two games. The Seminoles are 4-0 ATS in their last four games in the month of November, 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and a bankroll-boosting 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. While North Carolina State has gone 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, the Wolfpack are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in the month of November and 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an SU or ATS loss. Florida State has too much talent, starting with Dalvin Cook and Deondre Francois and will win this Week 10 ACC clash going away!

Pick: Florida State 35 NC State 20