NCAAF Week 11 Betting Lines & Expert Pick for TCU at Oklahoma.

NCAAF Week 11 Betting Lines & Expert Pick for TCU at Oklahoma

Written by on November 9, 2017

When you reach the late stages of the season, you end up seeing a bunch of games that are essentially elimination games, and we have a big one on Saturday, with the NCAAF Week 11 betting lines underdog TCU Horned Frogs going on the road to face the Oklahoma Sooners. Both of these teams are sitting at 8-1 on the year, and while they are both within reach of the top 4, they know that the loser of this one will be eliminated from playoff contention.College Football is perhaps the toughest sport to become a champion in, as there is just very little room for error. Going undefeated during the regular season will have you in the top 4, assuming of course that the undefeated team is in one of the 5 power conferences. A loss in the regular season is not a playoff dream killer, but it makes the path to the top a little tougher. A second loss is an almost instant death for teams, as it generally means that any chances of making the top 4 go up in smoke.Oklahoma is a 6 ½ point favorite at home, and the O/U for this one is set at a rather lofty 62 points.

NCAAF Week 11 Betting Lines & Expert Pick for TCU at Oklahoma

  • When: Saturday, November 11 at 8 PM EST
  • Where: Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Oklahoma
  • TV: CBS
  • Radio: 96.7 FM (TCU) / 107.7 FM (Oklahoma)
  • Live Stream: Big 12 Sports
  • NCAAF Week 11 Betting Lines: Oklahoma Sooners -6.5 (Over/Under at 62)

Team Records

  • All: TCU 8-1 / Oklahoma 8-1
  • Home: TCU 5-0 / Oklahoma 3-1
  • Away: TCU 3-1 / Oklahoma 5-0
  • ATS: TCU 6-3 / Oklahoma 5-4
  • Over/Under: TCU 2-6 / Oklahoma 5-3-1

NCAAF Week 11 Odds & Betting Pick: Georgia vs. Auburn

Recent Head to Head (Last 9 Games)

  • Record: Oklahoma leads 6-3
  • Score: TCU 22.44 / Oklahoma 24.56
  • Rush Yards: TCU 108.67 / Oklahoma 168.78
  • Pass Attempts: TCU 32.00 / Oklahoma 32.78
  • Completion Percentage: TCU 51.04 / Oklahoma 48.14
  • Passing Yards: TCU 227.33 / Oklahoma 216.22
  • Total Yards: TCU 336 / Oklahoma 385
  • Turnovers: TCU 1.89 / Oklahoma 2.00

Why bet on the TCU Horned Frogs

The Horned Frogs fell at the final hurdle, losing their first game of the season to Iowa State in the weekend before the very first rankings from the Playoff Committee, TCU had been sitting in the #4 spot prior to that, and while the loss hurt their chances of making the playoffs, they have righted the ship with a win over Texas last weekend. They are still very much in the playoff picture, and a win over the Sooners would certainly help their cause, although they are still going to rely on some of the teams above them losing a game prior to the end of the season.The concern for the Horned Frogs right now is that their offensive output appears to have dried up, with just 31 points scored in their last two games. They are going to need a return to their earlier season form to get past the Sooners. TCU is 5-1 SU and ATS in their last 5 road games, although they are just 1-5 SU in their last 6 meetings with the Sooners. They are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games versus Oklahoma.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Average Score For: 35.78
  • Total Yards: 434.89
  • Rush Yards: 193.00
  • Passing Yards: 241.89
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 13.89
  • Total Yards: 284.11
  • Rush Yards: 69.67
  • Passing Yards: 214.44

Why bet on the Oklahoma Sooners?

Oklahoma has something in common with the Horned Frogs this season, which is that their lone loss of the year came at the hands of the Iowa State Cyclones. That defeat came as a huge surprise, and not just because of how Oklahoma has played this season. After all, this is a team that is now 18-1 SU in their last 19 games, which is why they are the NCAAF Week 11 betting lines favorite.According to the NCAAF Week 11 Betting Lines, Oklahoma comes in as the favorite against TCUOklahoma bounced back from the loss to the Cyclones to win 4 in a row, but they looked a little susceptible on the defensive side of the football, with the poorest performance coming against Oklahoma State last weekend when they surrendered 52 points. That they were still able to win that games show you how good they are at offense. The Sooners are 8-1 SU and ATS in their last 9 home games but are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against TCU at home.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Average Score For:
  • Total Yards:
  • Rush Yards:
  • Passing Yards:
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 45.00
  • Total Yards: 609.22
  • Rush Yards: 214.22
  • Passing Yards: 395.00

Latest NCAAF Week 11 Betting Trends

  • Horned Frogs are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Horned Frogs are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas Christian’s last 5 games
  • Sooners are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Sooners are 18-1 SU in their last 19 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma’s last 7 games

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

Given that both of these teams know how to score, I believe that the total will go OVER the 61 points. The Sooners are just too tough to beat at home, which is why I think they will back the NCAAF Week 11 betting lines, although I like TCU to cover the spread.Score: TCU Horned Frogs 30 – Oklahoma Sooners 36
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