Week 12 College Football Lock Picks

Posted by Eric Williams on Tuesday,November 15, 2016 8:39, EST in

If you’re looking for some Week 12 college football ‘locks’ then you’ve come to the right place gridiron gaming enthusiasts!

Thanks to the trio of expert Week 12 picks that you’re about to get, you’re going to have a great chance of cashing in not once or twice, but a whopping three times. Okay with that said, let’s get started.

In Depth Analysis On The Week 12 College Football Lock Picks

 

 

Maryland at No. 19 Nebraska

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 19, 2016
Where: Memorial Stadium, Lincoln, Nebraska
TV: ESPNews
Odds: Nebraska -14.5

Analysis: The Maryland Terrapins (5-5 SU, 3-7 ATS) have dropped three in a row and got completely and utterly embarrassed in their emphatic 62-3 beat-down loss against Oho State last weekend. The Nebraska Cornhuskers (8-2 SU, 6-3-1 ATS) got a hard-fought 24-17 win over Minnesota on Saturday after losing consecutive road dates against Ohio State and Wisconsin the previous two weeks.

Now, while I certainly wouldn’t put Nebraska in the same class as some other elite title contenders this season, the Cornhuskers are the easy pick to take down a Maryland team that has been outscored 121-6 over their last two games! Nebraska quarterback Tommy Armstrong Jr. should be better as he moves another week away from suffering a concussion and the Cornhuskers have plenty to play for as they try to get back in the conversation for a Big Ten conference title.

With the Terps going 1-5 ATS in their last six games and 0-4 ATS in their last four road dates, I say Nebraska is a ‘lock’ pick in this one!

Pick: Nebraska -14 Points

Iowa at Illinois

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 19, 2016
Where: Memorial Stadium, Champaign, Illinois
TV: BTN
Odds: Iowa -10.5

Analysis: The Illinois Fighting Illini (3-7 SU, 5-5 ATS) have lost three of their last four games and got spanked badly in their stunning 48-3 loss to Wisconsin this past weekend. Conversely, the Iowa Hawkeyes (6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS) snapped their modest two-game losing streak while handing unbeaten Michigan their first loss of the season in their stunning 14-13 conference win on Saturday.

While I’m  a big Lovie Smith fan ad believe the former NFL head coach will eventually turn this around at Illinois, I don’t see any way the Fighting Illini’ are going to pull off either, the ATS cover – or outright win. Iowa both, averages more points per game than Illinois while also limiting the opposition to fewer points per game defensively.

Not only that, but Illinois is also a nearly winless 1-4 ATS in their last five games at home while Iowa has gone 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games. The Hawkeyes let me down this season as far as really contending for a conference title of playoff berth after their stellar campaign a year ago, but they’re the pick to win and cash in against their Week 12 conference rivals.

Pick: Iowa -10.5 Points

 

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Kansas State at Baylor

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 19, 2016
Where: McLane Stadium, Waco, Texas
TV: ESPN2
Odds: K-State -2.5

Analysis: The Kansas State (5-4 SU, 3-6 ATS) Wild cats put up a great effort but fell just short in their heartbreaking 43-37 loss against Oklahoma State on Saturday to snap their modest two-game losing streak. The Baylor Bears (6-3 SU, 2-7 ATS) were on the wrong end of a humbling 45-24 loss against Oklahoma on Saturday and saw quarterback Seth Russell lost for the season after he fractured his ankle.

The loss of Russell changes everything for me in this contest. With Baylor now starting an inexperienced signal-caller and K-State desperate to reach the six-win mark to become bowl eligible, I’m thinking the Wildcats will cover the college football betting line – by getting the big road win for the beloved Bill Snyder.

Kansas State has gone 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games against a team with a winning home record and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up loss. Conversely, Baylor is just 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games in the month of November. K-State gets it done despite being on the road!

Pick: Kansas State -2.5 Points