Now, let’s find out which two teams are looking like virtual locks to win their respective conference title tilts.
Analyzing The Week 14 College Football Lock Picks Conference Championship
Western Michigan Broncos (12-0) at Ohio Bobcats (8-4)When: Friday, December 2, 2016
NCAAF Odds: Western Michigan -19 / Total: 58
The Broncos (12-0 SU, 9-3 ATS) finished the regular season unbeaten and comes into this matchup off an emphatic 55-35 smackdown over Toledo on Tuesday while covering the spread as an 8-point favorite. The Ohio Bobcats (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS) got past Akron 9-3 last Tuesday despite failing to cover the spread as a 12.5 point favorite.
Maybe it’s me, but I have absolutely no idea why 56 percent of the betting public is expecting Ohio to cover the spread as nearly three-touchdown underdogs when they are clearly severely overmatched in this contest. Western Michigan has scored at least 34 points in 10 straight games while topping the 50-point plateau twice in their last four games. Conversely, Ohio has been limited to 20 points or less in four of their last six games while scoring 14 points or less in two of those contests.
Western Michigan has gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning record and a blistering 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following an SU win. While Ohio has gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record, the Bobcats are also 1-6 ATS in their last seven meetings against the Broncos while the favorite in this series has gone 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
The Broncos pounded the hell out of the Bobcats 49-14 last season and I’m fully expecting another similar blowout. Western Michigan is simply too good on both sides of the ball for Ohio to keep up with in this contest.
Western Michigan 42 Ohio 21
Colorado Buffaloes (10-2) at Washington Huskies (11-1)When: Friday, December 2
NCAAF Odds: Washington Huskies -7.5 / Total: 58
The Colorado Buffaloes (10-2 SU, 10-2 ATS) got past dangerous Utah 27-22 this past Saturday though they failed to cover the 10.5-point spread just as I expected. The Washington Huskies (11-1 SU, 6-6 ATS) have won two straight and pounded the hell out of in-state rival Washington State 45-17 last Saturday as quarterback Jake Browning completed 21 of 29 passes for 292 yards and three touchdowns.
For this huge Pac-12 championship pairing, I’m going to urge you to roll with the 49 percent of public bettors that like Washington to get it done and punch their ticket to the four-team College Football Playoff.
For me, Washington is clearly the better team on both sides of the ball and should win this matchup by 10 points at the very least. The Huskies have a quarterback that doesn’t run the ball over in Jake Browning and a pair of running backs that may be the best tandem in the country. Throw in some lock-down defense and some desperation to reach the playoffs and it’s easy to see the Huskies getting the big win and ATS cover.
Colorado is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 conference games, but Washington is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games in the month of December and 4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 100 rushing yards in their previous game. With the Favorite in this Pac-12 rivalry going 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and the Buffaloes going 0-6 ATS in the last six meetings, I say Washington wins and covers the spread!
Washington 35 Colorado 21