Week 5 College Football Michigan Vs Wisconsin Winning Predictions
Posted by Eric Williams on Wednesday,September 28, 2016 7:32, EDT in
The fourth-ranked Michigan Wolverines will host the eighth-ranked Wisconsin Badgers in a huge Week 5 matchup that could turn out to be one of the best games of the entire 2016 season.
Not only will college football bettors across the globe be treated to what promises to be a knock-down, drag-out affair when these longtime conference rivals throw down on Saturday, but you’ll also have a chance to cash in as this matchup is offering as much value as any on the Week 5 docket. Now, let’s find out where that value lies as well at the latest betting odds.
Analyzing The Week 5 College Football Wolverines Vs Badgers Winning Predictions
When: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 3:30 PM
Where: Michigan Stadium
TV: ABC
Live Stream: ABC Live Stream
NCAAF Odds: Michigan Wolverines -10.5
Bet The Wisconsin Badgers at +10.5 Because…
The Wisconsin Badgers are rock-solid on both sides of the ball! Wisconsin (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) made a huge statement by throttling No. 8 Michigan State 30-6 in its Week 4 Big Ten battle to cover the spread as a 3.5-point road underdog as running back Corey Clement rushed 22 times for 54 yards and two touchdowns and quarterback Alex Hornibrook completed 16 of 26 passes for 195 yards with one touchdown and one interception.
For the season, Hornibrook is completing 67.4 percent of his passes for 378 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions while Clement leads the rushing attack with 251 yards and five touchdowns. The Wisconsin Badgers have a chance to beat a third top-10 team this season and snag back-to-back road victories.
Defensively, Wisconsin has been even better than Michigan in ranking seventh in points allowed (11.8 ppg). Linebacker T.J. Watt, the younger brother of Houston Texans superstar defensive end J.J. Watt, has 4.5 sacks. Wisconsin has compiled a near-perfect 5-1 ATS mark in its last six games while the total has gone Under in four of Wisconsin’s L/5 games
Bet The Michigan Wolverines at -10.5 Because…
They’re playing at home and have an elite defense! Michigan (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) rolled all over Penn State in its 49-10 Week 4 beatdown to cover the college football betting line as an 18-point home favorite as running back De’Veon Smith rushed 12 times for 107 yards and one score and fellow back Karan Higdon rushed nine times for 81 yards and two scores.
Quarterback Wilton Speight completed 21 of 34 pass attempts for 189 yards and one touchdown and the Wolverines limited the Nittany Lions to 191 total yards while forcing two turnovers. For the season, Speight is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 875 yards with nine touchdowns and one interception.
Defensively, Michigan is ranked a stupendous 13th in points allowed (13.8 ppg). The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in its last five games and the total has gone Over in each of Michigan’s last five games.
Expert Prediction and Pick
I know Michigan is playing at home and has an elite defense, but the fact of the matter is that, on paper, the Wolverines aren’t actually better than their Big ten rivals in this contest. I love the way Wisconsin is playing defense this season and the way that quarterback Alex Hornibrook has taken control of the offense the last two games.
The Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their L/5 games against a team with a winning record and 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. More importantly, the Badgers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five road games against Michigan and 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine meetings against the Wolverines overall.
Not only do the Badgers cover the college football betting line, but they do so by winning outright!
My Pick: Wisconsin 24 Michigan 21
