2016 Denver Broncos Season Win Total Prediction

Posted by Jordan Walterss on July 21, 2016 in

Unfortunately, there’s really nowhere to go but down for the 2016 Denver Broncos. They of course rode the NFL’s best defense last year to a fairly surprising Super Bowl title, but that defense lost a few key pieces in free agency and the Broncos now have a huge question mark at QB. The Broncos have a wins total of 9 on NFL betting lines for the coming season.

Taking a Closer Look at the 2016 Denver Broncos Season Win Total Prediction

Total Win/Loss Odds Overview

Behind Peyton Manning, likely the greatest regular-season quarterback in NFL history, the Broncos put together a run over the past four years that included four consecutive AFC West titles, two Super Bowl trips and a title in Super Bowl 50. But there will be a Super Bowl hangover without him. That said, the Broncos do have enough talent to find their way into the postseason again and win another division title. Another Super Bowl? Doubtful.

Why Betting On The Over?

That defense will still be terrific led by Super Bowl MVP Von Miller, who just got a record-breaking contract. He got six years and $114.5 million that includes a record $70 million guaranteed. It makes Miller the highest-paid non-quarterback in NFL history based on guaranteed money, as well as the highest-paid player in Denver franchise history.

Miller has 60 sacks in five seasons and played the key role on last season's league-leading defense. He reached what Coach Gary Kubiak called a “dominant level” of play in a postseason run that included five sacks, two forced fumbles and an interception in the team’s three postseason games. His sack and forced fumble on Panthers quarterback Cam Newton in Super Bowl 50 created the Broncos’ first touchdown, as teammate Malik Jackson recovered the fumble in the Panthers’ end zone. Jackson is gone now.

The Broncos still have a good group of receivers and likely will run more this year after re-signing C.J. Anderson to a big deal after the Dolphins tried to steal him away. Anderson’s regular season numbers slightly decreased in 2015, but that can be partly attributed to the Broncos offensive deficiencies as a whole. His 152 carries for 720 yards might not have been enough to earn another trip to the Pro Bowl, but it was his 54 carries for 234 yards in the playoffs that was good enough to help the Broncos win their third Super Bowl. He’s now the true starter for the first time in his career.

Why Betting On The Under?

It’s all about the quarterbacks. Denver closed out the offseason program with Kubiak announcing the competition is a dead heat between Mark Sanchez and Trevor Siemian. One of them must step forward and clearly win it. The Broncos don’t need Manning circa 2013 under center, but they do need a guy to smoothly run the offense and stay away from the turnovers and sacks. Of the three quarterbacks currently on Denver’s roster, including first-round rookie Paxton Lynch, Sanchez boasts the only NFL starting experience.

“The only way that they establish themselves and take the team over is if you somehow give them the opportunity to do that," Kubiak said. “As a coach, if you’re making decisions before they ever step on the field and don’t give them equal opportunity to prove themselves, I don’t believe in that.”

There are early reports that Siemian actually could win the Week 1 job. Siemian, an undrafted free-agent signing from Northwestern last year, has yet to attempt a regular season pass in the NFL. He also posted just 27 touchdowns compared to 24 interceptions in four college seasons.

My Betting Prediction

Unless that defense plays like the 1985 Chicago Bears, this team is going to take a fall. Go under on NFL lines.