2016 NFL MVP Free Picks

Posted by Joe Solari on Thursday,July 28, 2016 3:36, EST in

With Tom Brady suspended for the first four games of the 2016 season and J.J. Watt rehabbing after going under the knife recently, we are poised to see a bit of some shakeup in the odds to win the 2016 NFL MVP. Nine of the last 10 league MVP titles have been won by quarterbacks, so don’t be surprised to see our favorites’ section dominated by QBs. But as due diligence from our part, we will look at players from other positions in the smart and longshot NFL MVP online betting futures. With that being said, here are our top 2016 NFL MVP candidates.

Analyzing The 2016 NFL MVP Free Picks

 

 

Favorite NFL MVP Picks 2016: The Quarterbacks

Unless the NFL MVP voting is rigged in 2016, we don’t expect Brady to make the final list of MVP candidates this year, owing to the suspension that will take down his numbers and influence. This leaves us with reigning MVP Cam Newton, Green Bay’s QB Aaron Rodgers, Pittsburgh’s QB Ben Roethlisberger, the NFC East duo of Tony Romo (Dallas) and Eli Manning (NY Giants) plus the NFC West duo of Russell Wilson and Carson Palmer as the top names of the pile.

Now, Newton will do his dual-threat magic, and that will keep him in the conversation, but it’s hard to see the Panthers’ QB match up to his 45 total TDs from 2015 now that everyone will be paying extra attention to him.

For Wilson, Seattle’s defense will help him avoid mistakes, but the absence of Marshawn Lynch could limit his overall offensive efficiency in 2016, so caution is advised when picking him.

Rodger and his Packers, well, we all know his pedigree and the return of Jordy Nelson (plus an improved defense) will make him better. But more importantly, Rodgers and his Green Bay team have a favorable schedule in 2016, and that could easily bloat his numbers, putting him in very solid contention for the 2016 NFL MVP Award.

Pittsburgh’s Big Ben is the other QB in a prime position to succeed greatly in the upcoming season, thanks to the plethora of offensive weapons in the team, none of them more important than Antonio Brown. But with a tough division constituting Andy Dalton and the Bengals along with Joe Flacco and the Ravens, Roethlisberger will have his work cut out for him. The same goes for Palmer in Arizona, as he boasts of stellar offensive targets, but will be playing in a tough division that includes Wilson and Seattle.

Romo (Dallas) and Manning (Giants) are interesting picks, as they have a good history of success but are coming off challenging 2015 seasons in the wild NFC East division. With that, they come with a lot of upsides as much as risks, just like Drew Brees of New Orleans, Andrew Luck of New Orleans and Mathew Stafford of Detroit.

Smart NFL MVP Picks 2016: Antonio Brown, Adrian Peterson and Rob Gronkowski

Brown (Steelers), Peterson (Vikings) and Gronk (New England) find themselves grouped here as smart picks because of their unique once-in-a-generation talents that put them above their counterparts in the league.

Brown has led the league in receptions over the past two year, including last year when he was just one of the two players in the league to post over 1,800 receiving yards. With Pittsburgh’s star RB Le’Veon Bell likely to face a suspension at the start of the season and WR Martavis Brown out for the whole year; Big Ben is likely to target #84 more than ever before. That should allow Brown, the No.4 player in NFL Network’s top-100 Players of 2016, to put up massive numbers and challenge for a first ever NFL MVP Award given to a receiver.

Like Brown, Gronk will be laboring against the history of no tight end ever winning the NFL MVP Award since it was established in 1957. As the No.1-ranked TE in the nation and Brady’s favorite target, Gronkowski is a sure bet to enjoy another big season. And even when Brady will be out, the fact that Gronk boasts of a huge catch radius and has been a dominant redzone player should keep him hot and effective in his 7th season.

For Peterson, the fact that he is the last and only non-quarterback player to win the NFL MVP over the past 10 years is proof enough of his MVP credentials. More than that, Peterson was the face of Minnesota’s offense last year with 11 TDs and a league-high 1,485 rushing yards, showing that he still got game. And with Minny’s run-blockers looking better than they have in over half a decade, we don’t need to tell you that the 2012 NFL MVP could be on his way to his second NFL MVP honors.

 

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Smart NFL MVP Picks 2016: The Defensive Stars

Should Watt be able to suit up in Week 1 and stay healthy, his contention for the NFL MVP Award will most likely stay as hot as has been the case for the couple of seasons. Across the defensive board, look out for dominant defensive players like Super Bowl 50 MVP Von Miller, NFL’s No.1-ranked linebacker Luke Kuechly, Oakland’s DE Khalil Mack, Arizona’s standout S/CB Tyrann Mathieu and Kansas City’s Justin Houston to stay in the 2016 NFL MVP betting conversations.

2016 NFL MVP Predictions

With so many players from several positions to choose from, it’s almost feels sacrilegious to single out one of them as my pick. But if I had my back pressed against the wall, I’d go for Green Bay’s QB Aaron Rodgers, a two-time NFL MVP, one-time Super Bowl MVP and five-time Pro Bowler to win it all. My reasons? One, I am big Green Bay fan, and Two, the Packers have addressed key needs in the team and have the softest schedule in the league. That said, all the best in whoever you choose as your 2016 NFL MVP Pick.

MY 2016 NFL MVP Winning Pick: Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay