2016 San Francisco 49ers Season Win Total Prediction

Posted by Jordan Walterss on Tuesday,July 26, 2016 8:56, EST in

Training camp is a time for optimism for every team in the NFL, but if we are being honest, the San Francisco 49ers look like the least-talented team in the NFC. They are more likely to get the first overall pick in the 2017 NFL Draft than make the playoffs this year. San Francisco has a wins total of 5.5 on NFL lines.

Analysis on the 2016 San Francisco 49ers Season Win Total Prediction

Total Win/Loss Odds Overview

After Jim Harbaugh’s departure to Michigan following 8-8 season and first missed playoffs in four years in late 2014, 49ers were even worse last season under first-year coach Jim Tomsula. Promoted from defensive line coaching spot, he was one-and- done before Chip Kelly was hired.

The rebuilt 49ers figure they have more depth than last season and having the league’s toughest strength of schedule will put that theory to the test, and early. A short week to start the season — opening at home on Monday Night Football against the Rams, followed by trips to Carolina and Seattle — could be an early-season killer, just like last year.

Kelly will take what he learned in Philadelphia and likely be a better coach with the Niners. But in a very tough division, that may not show up for a couple years, until he can get good play out of the quarterback position and be competitive on defense in a very good defensive division.

Why Bet On The Over?

The 49ers did get some good news this week. After a one-year hiatus, offensive lineman Anthony Davis is aiming to return to the NFL. The onus now falls on the NFL to allow Davis’ reinstatement and the 49ers to clear a spot on their 90-man roster should they want to retain his rights. Davis is currently on the reserve/retired list. Davis, 26, started 71 games in five seasons for the 49ers before he walked away. While San Francisco has needed help at right tackle since Davis’ departure, it’s unclear whether the team plans to keep him upon reinstatement.

The 49ers’ run-first offense was derailed early in the 2015 season when Carlos Hyde suffered a stress fracture in his foot in a Week 5 loss to the New York Giants. Hyde wound up playing on the injury in the next two games, but the pain was too much and it limited his production. After the injury, he averaged just over three yards per carry on 31 attempts before giving the foot time to heal. Hyde didn’t go on injured reserve until Dec. 11, almost six weeks after his last game against the Seahawks. If Hyde can stay healthy, he has the skill set to thrive Kelly, who runs a similar offense to what Hyde played in at Ohio State under Urban Meyer.

Why Bet On The Under?

The big question during the offseason was whether QB Colin Kaepernick would be traded. He wasn’t, and after multiple surgeries, the Niners’ former starter said he is ready to get his job back. The only problem is that Blaine Gabbert is standing in his way. At his zenith, which was a mere two offseasons ago, Kaepernick was dubbed as one of the greatest quarterbacks in league history. After three surgeries — left shoulder, right thumb, left knee — and a trade request that fell on deaf ears, this is likely a make-or-break season for him.

Gabbert has a good grasp of Kelly’s offense, and many in the organization see him as a better fit than Kaepernick, whose passing acumen has been questionable at times. Kaepernick is clearly the better athlete and has a new attitude following his tumultuous 2015.

Last season, the 49ers defense allowed 2,020 rushing yards (fourth most in the NFL) and 20 rushing touchdowns (tied for the most in the league). This season, the Niners’ run defense could be even worse. Their best run-stuffing defensive lineman, Ian Williams, who started 16 games at nose tackle last season, is injured and probably won’t participate in training camp or the preseason. He’s not sure thing for Week 1, either.

My Betting Prediction

The 49ers might not be favored in a single game. Definitely go under on NFL lines here.