2017 NFL Season Win Total Over/Under Picks For NFC West

Posted by Eric Williams on Thursday,May 25, 2017 11:45, EST in

Can Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West again in 2017 while improving their chances of reaching Super Bowl 52? Can the Arizona Cardinals get back to being a double-digit winner after failing to do so a year ago?

Will Jared Goff actually look like an NFL quarterback in 2017 for the Los Angeles Rams and last but not least, how will all of those draft picks help the rebuilding San Francisco 49ers? If you need answers on what’s going down in the NFC West in 2017, then you’re about to get them! Find out more about the updated NFL betting odds here.

2017 NFL Season Win Total Over/Under Picks For NFC West

 

 

NFC West

Seattle 10.5 Wins

Home: 49ers, Rams, Cardinals, Falcons, Eagles, Redskins, Texans, Colts
Away: 49ers, Rams, Cardinals, Cowboys, Giants, Packers, Jaguars, Titans

Analysis: The Seattle Seahawks (10-5-1) have been perennial double-digit winners ever since Russell Wilson became their starting quarterback in 2012 and they’ll open the 2017 regular season looking like one of the top contenders to represent the NFC in Super Bowl 52 in my opinion.

I know the Seahawks need to improve an offense that ranked a modest 18th in scoring (221. ppg) and uninspiring 25th in rushing (99.4 ypg), but Seattle is still elite defensively and showed it by finishing the 2016 season ranked fifth in total defense and third in points allowed (18.2 ppg).

After opening with a road loss at Green Bay, I like Seattle to beat San Francisco at home and Tennessee on the road in a tougher-than-expected showdown. Seattle then beats Indianapolis at home and the Rams on the road before their Week 6 bye. A road loss against the Giants will be followed by tough home wins over Houston and Washington and a road loss at Arizona.

Then Seattle will squeak past Matt Ryan and the Falcons at home in Week 11 before winning in Frisco, at home against Philadelphia, at Jacksonville and at home against the Rams. Seattle could fall in Dallas in Week 16 but they’ll close out the 2016 campaign by beating Arizona at home to finish at either 12-4 or 13-3 and well over their 10.5-win Over/under total.

Pick: Over 10.5 Wins

Arizona 7.5 Wins

Arizona 7.5 Wins

Home: Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Cowboys, Giants, Buccaneers, Jaguars, Titans
Away: Seahawks, Rams (in London), 49ers, Lions, Eagles, Redskins, Texans, Colts

Analysis: With the Arizona Cardinals winning 10 games or more in each of the three seasons prior to 2016, I believe it’s more likely than not that Arizona (7-8-1) will get back to being a legitimate playoff contender in 2017.

Arizona finished the 2016 regular season ranked a stellar sixth in scoring (26.1 ppg) as veteran quarterback Carson Palmer threw for more than 4,200 yards, but Arizona’s defense fell off in a big way as the former top five unit fell to 14th in points allowed last season (22.6 ppg).

Still, I like the Cardinals to win double-digit games in 2017 after adding two defensive players in the draft that will see playing time right away in linebacker Hassan Reddick and safety Budda Baker. The Cardinals have arguably the best running back in the game today in the versatile David Johnson (1,239 rushing yards) and a still-productive No. 1 wideout in ageless veteran Larry Fitzgerald.

I like Arizona to record home wins over all three of their NFC West division rivals in addition to beating the Giants, Buccaneers, and Jaguars. I also like Carson Palmer and company to bag road wins against the Rams (in London), 49ers,Eagles, Redskins and Colts to finish the 2017 season with 11 wins, although I think 10 is probably more like it. Either way, I like the Cards to top their modest win total odds for the upcoming 2017 regular season.

Pick: Over 7.5 Wins

L.A. Rams 5.5 Wins

Home: Seahawks, 49ers, Cardinals (in London), Saints, Redskins, Eagles, Texans, Colts
Away: Seahawks, 49ers, Cardinals, Cowboys, Giants, Vikings, Jaguars, Titans

Analysis: The Los Angeles Rams (4-12) will have a completely different look in 2017 after hiring 31-year-old head coach Sean McVay to lead them in a new direction. Not only that, but 2016 No. 1 overall draft pick Jared Goff will start from the opening bell after making just seven starts last season and throwing more interceptions (7) than touchdown passes (5). The Rams also need to get more productivity out of gifted running back Todd Gurley after he was limited to just 885 rushing yards and 3.2 yards per carry last season after rushing for 1,106 yards and averaging 4.1 yards per carry as a rookie in 2015.

Unfortunately, the Rams have a really far way to go to get back t respectability after ranking dead last in scoring last season (14.0 ppg) and an equally discouraging 23rd in points allowed (24.6 ppg). In 2017, I’ve got L.A. getting a road upset in Jacksonville in Week 7 while beating San Francisco at home in their regular season finale to finish with two victories. I guess it’s possible L.A. could pull off another upset or two, so I’ll be nice and toss the Rams another victory just for the hell of it. Either way, they don;t reach five wins to top their 2017 win total over/under odds.

Pick: Under 5.5 Wins

San Francisco 4.5 Wins

Home: Seahawks, Rams, Cardinals, Cowboys, Giants, Panthers, Jaguars, Titans
Away: Seahawks, Rams, Cardinals, Bears, Eagles, Redskins, Texans, Colts

Analysis: John Lynch and the San Francisco 49ers (2-14) may have pulled a ‘fast one’ against the foolish Chicago bears, but they still have a far way to go to get back to being respectable after finishing the 2016 regular season ranked a pitiful 27th in scoring (19.3 ppg) and dead last in points allowed (30.0 ppg).

The good news is that the Niners have a whole new mindset with Lynch taking over and hiring Atlanta offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan to lead the Niners in a new direction. Frisco added two elite playmakers by drafting defensive end Solomon Thomas with the third overall pick in the draft and former Alabama linebacker Reuben Foster with the 31st pick in the first round, despite the fact that everyone knows he was a top five talent.

Right now though, the Niners are scheduled to start veteran Brian Hoyer at quarterback with Matt Barkley and rookie C.J. Bethard serving as backups and that’s just scary. I have Frisco beating the Rams at home in Week 3, possibly beating Chicago on the road in Week 13 and Jacksonville at home in Week 16 to finish with three victories, although I think the Niners could get as many as five wins at most. Right now, I’m thinking 4-12 sounds about right.

Pick: Under 4.5 Wins