2018 NFL MVP Odds: Complete Breakdown and Best Picks

2018 NFL MVP Odds: Complete Breakdown and Best Picks

Eric Williams : Monday,July 9, 2018 3:52, EDT

NFL Training Camps start in late July. NFL future betting has already begun in earnest. One of the more popular future bets is on NFL MVP. Check out a breakdown of this year’s NFL MVP odds.

2018 NFL MVP Odds: Complete Breakdown and Best Picks

The breakdown includes the Top 5 betting interests and Top 5 Underdogs to win this year’s NFL MVP.

Top 5 NFL MVP – The Favorites

  • Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers        +400
  • Philadelphia QB Carson Wentz     +450
  • New England QB Tom Brady          +500
  • New Orleans QB Drew Brees          +750
  • Houston QB DeShaun Watson       +1200

What do the above odds tell us? It tells us that the winner of the 2018 NFL Regular Season MVP Award will be a quarterback. The key thing to remember about the above odds is that there’s a knock on every favorite.

Both Rodgers and Wentz head into the season off injuries that derailed them last season. Wentz might not even be healthy enough to start ahead of Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles. Rodgers is a legit contender, but Green Bay has said they’re going to rush the football ala New Orleans, with two running backs carrying the offensive load.

That also means Drew Brees is probably a play against. Brees only threw for 23 TDs last season. He threw for less than 4,340 yards.

What’s wrong with Tom Brady? Nothing, really. The only problem for Terrific Tom is that no player has won back-to-back NFL MVP Awards since Peyton Manning did it in 2008 and 2009.

That leaves the best bet this year from the list of favorites to be Houston QB DeShaun Watson. In addition to the +1200 odds, Watson offers another great advantage. He’s easily the single most important offensive weapon on his team. He can rush and throw for TDs. He also has a great WR target in DeAndre Hopkins, and a fantastic offensive line.

If he keeps his turnovers down and comes back from the injury at full strength, DeShaun could win the NFL MVP.

2018 NFL MVP Betting Pick: DeShaun Watson

Top 5 NFL MVP – The Dogs

Is Garropolo a safe bet to win the 2018 NFL MVP award?

  • San Francisco QB Jimmy Garoppolo    +1500
  • Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins                     +1600
  • Atlanta QB Matt Ryan                                 +1600
  • Seattle QB Russell Wilson                         +1600
  • Carolina QB Cam Newton                          +2000

Even the Top 5 underdogs to win the NFL MVP are quarterbacks. That tells us the emphasis on the QB position. Of the dogs, who has the best shot of winning the NFL MVP?

Atlanta Falcons QB Matt Ryan won the NFL MVP back in 2016. He spent last season familiarizing himself with a new offense. The Falcons spent their Round 1 picks on Alabama WR Calvin Ridley. Ridley might be the answer to Ryan’s woes from last season.

The Falcons should bounce back this season and become a playoff team again. Ryan has the best shot of the second five to win the 2018 NFL Regular Season MVP.

2018 NFL MVP Betting Pick: Matt Ryan