NFL Week 3 Over/Under Top Picks.

Top NFL Week 3 Over/Under Picks

Written by on September 17, 2018

We are getting the new week rolling by immediately looking ahead to NFL Week 3 odds and predictions. We have already covered out SU and ATS picks, so it makes sense that we should also take some time to look at the early point totals. As is always the case, these numbers may shift a little in either direction as the week progresses, so if you plan on wagering later in the week, be sure to take note of the live odds before you place your bets. There are a few point totals that jump out at me this morning, so let’s get right to those games to see if we can pick some winners that will give out bankroll a nice little boost.

NFL Week 3 Over/Under Top Picks

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets (UNDER 39)

I’ll confess that the low nature of the point total in this one makes me a little nervous, but there are a couple of trends that are leaning me in the direction of the UNDER. The first of those trends is with the Jets, who have seen 4 of their last 6 games fall UNDER the total. That is a rather convincing stat, but it becomes even more so when you look at the Cleveland Browns, and specifically what they have done when playing at home, as they are this weekend. In their last 14 games at home, the Browns have seen the total go UNDER 11 times.

Latest NFL Week 3 Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets’ last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cleveland’s last 14 games at home

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs (OVER 55 ½)

After watching the Kansas City Chiefs through the opening two weeks of the season, I may just be tempted to play the OVER with them every single week for the remainder of the season. Patrick Mahomes has been brilliant in his first season as the starting QB, throwing 10 TD passes in his first two games of the year. As explosive as the Chiefs offense has been, they still need those points given that the defense has given up 65 points through those 2 games. I think we see another shootout here, with the point total quite comfortably going OVER.

Latest NFL Week 3 Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 5 games at home

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons (UNDER 53)

You look at this match-up and automatically think of two explosive offenses going head to head, which might lead you heavily in the direction of the over. It’s certainly a fair assumption, yet one that has not been the trend for these two teams in their most recent meetings in Atlanta. The Falcons are slight favorites for their matchup against the Saints in NFL Week 3. In the last 9 games between these two played in the ATL, the UNDER has hit 7 times. Furthermore, 6 of the last 8 games that the Falcons have played at home have gone the same way. I am on the UNDER with this one.

Latest NFL Week 3 Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans’s last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
  • Total has gone OVER in 14 of Atlanta’s last 20 games at home

Green Bay Packers vs Washington Redskins (OVER 47 ½)

As long as Tom Brady continues to suit up on Sunday’s, he will be considered the best QB in the league, but it’s more than fair to suggest that Aaron Rodgers is in the conversation. He delivered an amazing Week 1 comeback versus the Bears and was brilliant again in Week 2 in a tie with the Vikings. We have a good QB match-up here, with Rodgers going head to head with Alex Smith, which should produce some points. 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two have gone over, but perhaps more importantly, each of Green Bay’s last 5 road games has gone OVER the point total.

Latest NFL Week 3 Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay’s last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay’s last 6 games when playing Washington
  • Total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games at home