While most of us love to bet on the individual games each week in the NFL season, there is also a lot of fun to be had in wagering on individual players. There is certainly a real risk in taking on individual player prop bets, as a couple of off games or an injury can derail your wager quite quickly.
That said, those types of things need to play a role in how you wager. If you are looking at a player who has had injury issues in the past, going the UNDER on their prop bet might be the way to go. Let’s look at some of the NFL player props odds and choose an OVER and UNDER play for each.
2019 NFL Season Players Props Odds – July 15th
Regular Season Passing Yards
All told, playoffs included, it was Patrick Mahomes who threw the most passing yards last season, although the regular season total went to Ben Roethlisberger. In the course of the regular season. Mahomes threw for 5,097 yards, which makes his O/U this year of 4,650 ½ looks like a bit of a steal. The question here, though, is whether Mahomes can recapture the magic of last season. A lot of his stats came in the early part of the season when he was an unknown commodity. He will not be that this year, so let’s go UNDER.
The Las Vegas Raiders were an absolute disaster last season, but despite the circus, QB Derek Carr still managed to throw for over 4,000 yards. This coming season, he is listed with an O/U of 4,100 ½, which I believe is a steal. He will have Antonio Brown to throw to this season, which means he should see an upward tick in production. Take the OVER on Carr.
Regular Season Rushing Yards
There are some rookie QB’s who will be asked to hold a clipboard and stand on the sidelines, while there are others that we know will start. Kyler Murray of the Arizona Cardinals falls into the latter category, and while he is a QB, he is known for taking off and running regularly. With that in mind, we are looking at his O/U of 435 ½ rushing yards and seeing a definite OVER possibility. He will be forced to scramble a lot, which is why I love this bet.
It’s tough to know what to expect from the Dallas Cowboys this season. Will they continue to pound the rock with Ezekiel Elliott, or will they be looking for more from Dak Prescott? Elliott led the league with 1,434 yards on 304 attempts last season. I don’t see him getting the ball as much this year, which is why I am leaning towards the UNDER 1,380 ½.
Regular Season Receiving Yards
Last season was a down year for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but despite that, they got some serious input from Mike Evans, who delivered 1,524 yards, good enough for 3rd in the regular season receiving yards category. I see a bit of a drop off in production this season, and while I think he will have another solid year, I am looking at the UNDER 1,350 ½ yards.
A lot of people are forecasting doom and gloom in Pittsburgh this coming season with Bell and Brown now plying their trade elsewhere. This is still a dangerous team, though, and none more so than JuJu Smith Schuster. He is now the #1 receiver on this team, so look for Big Ben to hit him a ton. With that in mind, I am taking Smith Schuster to go OVER the 1,435 ½ mark, which he almost passed last year with AB on the team.