Can Baker Mayfield lead the Cleveland Browns to the big home win over Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks? Will Sam Darnold out-duel Dak Prescott to lead the New York Jets to the big upset over the visiting Dallas Cowboys? Could Deshaun Watson outgun strong=armed counterpart Patrick Mahomes to help Houston upset Kansas City when they meet in Week 6?
If you’re looking for some early expert NFL betting predictions, then look no further. You’re going to love the trio of Week 6, 2019 regular season picks that you’re about to get!
2019 NFL Week 6 Must-Bet Games
Seattle Seahawks at Cleveland Browns
- When: Sunday, October 13, 2019 at 1:00 PM ET
- Where: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
- TV: FOX
- NFL Week 6 Odds: Cleveland -1
While NFL fans everywhere are apparently expecting a big leap forward out of Cleveland after the Browns went 7-9 in their first season under rookie quarterback Baker Mayfield, I’m thinking Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks are the team that’s really set to take another step forward after going a surprising 10-6 to reach the postseason for the fifth time in six seasons since Wilson became the team’s starting quarterback in 2012.
Yes, I know the Cleveland Browns made some nice offseason acquisitions that were highlighted by the addition of veteran wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr., but Seattle also made a series of nice offseason moves, even if they didn’t get the same attention as OBJ’s arrival in Cleveland.
Seattle finished eighth in scoring (26.8 ppg) and 11th in points allowed (21.7 ppg) in 2018 while Cleveland has several more issues to address on both side of the ball after finishing 20th in scoring (22.4 ppg) and 21st in points allowed (24.5 ppg) last season. The Seattle Seahawks have gone 3-2 ATS in their last five road dates as an underdog of 2-points or less while also going a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a road underdog no matter the spread. I say keep it simple and back the more complete and more experienced Seahawks behind their superstar quarterback in a game they shouldn’t even be underdogs in!
Pick: Seattle +1
Dallas Cowboys at NY Jets
- When: Sunday, October 13, 2019 at 4:25 PM ET
- Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
- TV: CBS
- NFL Week 6 Odds: Dallas -2
Dallas went 10-6 a year ago to win the NFC East and record just their third playoff win since way back in 1996. The New York Jets may have found their franchise signal-caller in strong-armed former USC star Sam Darnold, but the longtime AFC East resident still have quite a way to go to get back to respectability after going a dismal 4-12 in their final year under former head coach Todd Bowles.
While the Cowboys are looking to take another step forward and have a solid roster that looks pretty good on both sides of the ball, the Jets are rebuilding (again) as they get set for Year 1 of the Adam Gase era. Unfortunately, I still have no idea why New York chose Gase after he failed miserably with AFC East rival Miami and I’m just not sure he’s the guy to help New York improve a defense that finished 29th in points allowed (27.6 ppg), although he should be able to help the young Darnold in his maturation process.
Maybe it’s me, but I’m stunned that the Cowboys are just 2-point road favorites, seeing ads how they are completely and utterly better than the Jets on both sides of the ball and, believe it or not – at head coach as well. New York should be able to improve on its pitiful SU and ATS records from a year ago, but they won’t do either in this contest as the Cowboys roll to the dominating win!
Pick: Dallas -2
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs
- When: Sunday, October 13, 2019 at 1:00 PM ET
- Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
- TV: CBS
- NFL Week 6 Odds: Kansas City -7
While Kansas City and their high-powered offense led the league in scoring last season (35.3 ppg) the Chiefs were pretty awful when it came time to stop the opposition a year ago. After giving up a generous 26.3 points per game to finish 24t in points allowed, Kansas City’s biggest offseason needs were clearly on the defensive side of the ball.
While Houston finished 11th in scoring (25.1 ppg) and a stellar fourth in points allowed (19.8 ppg), the Texans couldn’t seal the deal when it mattered most as they fell way short of their Super Bowl aspirations while getting bounced out of the playoff in the wild card round by falling to division rival Indianapolis at home no less.
While these two AFC Super Bowl hopefuls will look to improve on opposite sides of the ball this season, I’m thinking Deshaun Watson, J.J. Watt and the rest of the battle-tested Texans are going to find a way to challenge the Chiefs down to the wire while cover a point spread that I believe is at least a few points too high.
If Houston doesn’t finally live up to its lofty expectations, then I’m expecting head coach Bill O’Brien to fail to survive another year in the Lone Star State. Still, though, I like the Texans to cover the chalk here to improve on their nearly unblemished 20-1 ATS in their last three road games as an underdog of seven points or less.
Pick: Houston +7
