There is no easy path to the NFL playoffs, but winning the division means at least getting one home game in the postseason. 2024 MyBookie Sportsbook NFL Odds, American Football NFL Lines | Tampa Bay Buccaneers Postseason Betting Analysis
This is where things get a little tricky, though, as not all divisions in football are created equal. While some teams need to win 11 or even 12 games to secure a division crown, others can get by with 8 or 9 wins. Divisional strength plays a major role in which teams get in and which miss out, but does the team that wins those weaker divisions find themselves at a bit of a disadvantage heading into the playoffs? We will certainly find that out this Wild Card Weekend, as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers head into the playoffs as the #4 seed, courtesy of winning the South with a 9-8 record. It’s certainly not ideal but having a game at home might help the cause. Let’s take a closer look at the Bucs postseason chances.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles Odds
Regular Season Recap
While we should all know better, many of us still make the mistake of writing a team off after watching a few weeks of the season, forgetting that there is still time to turn the ship around. That is exactly what the Buccaneers did this season after looking dead and buried at one point. Their saving grace is that with the weakness of the NFC South, they were never really that far out of first.
They opened the season strong, winning 3 of their first 4 games, but the wheels came off hard, as they then lost 6 of their next 7. Things looked pretty damn bleak for the Bucs at that point, but they deserve credit for rallying and finishing strong, winning 5 of their last 6 games, with a 4-game winning streak coming in the midst of that run.
They had to win in Week 18 to get in, which they did with a less than impressive 9-0 win over the Panthers.
Bet on the Buccaneers to Win in the Wild Card Game against Eagles
Buccaneers Injuries
Tristan Wirfs | OT | Questionable |
Baker Mayfield | QB | Questionable |
K.J. Britt | LB | Questionable |
Josh Hayes | S | Questionable |
Mike Greene | DE | Injured Reserve |
Buccaneers Last 5
Week 18 @ Panthers | W9-0 |
Week 17 vs Saints | L23-13 |
Week 16 vs Jaguars | W30-12 |
Week 15 @ Packers | W34-20 |
Week 14 @ Falcons | W29-25 |
Stats, Trends, and Odds
It was a bit of a comeback season for QB Baker Mayfield, who threw for over 4,000 yards, tossing 28 TD passes in the process. He needed to be good, as the running game was a total nightmare, with the Bucs averaging just 88 YPG on the ground, which put them last in the league in that category. Their 20 PPG scored had them down in the bottom half, but the D was solid, allowing just 19 PPG, which was good for 7th overall in the regular season.
As always, home field advantage in the playoffs is always a nice thing to have, but you do have to wonder if it means that much to the Buccaneers. Tampa was just 4-4 in their own building this season, with one of those losses coming at the hands of their opponent this weekend, the Philadelphia Eagles. That game ended in a 25-11 loss for the Bucs.
All things considered, the Buccaneers have to be viewed as a longshot to make a deep run, never mind just getting by the Wild Card Round. The bookies seem to agree, as they have them in at odds of +3300 to win the conference. They are in huge longshot territory to win the Super Bowl, currently sitting at odds of +6600. I don’t see a lot of money going their way this postseason.
Buccaneers’s Key Quarterbacks
Baker Mayfield
#6 QB |
YDS 4,044 |
TD 28 |
INT 10 |
QBR. 54.2 |
Questionable |
Kyle Trask
#2 QB |
YDS 0 |
TD 0 |
INT 0 |
QBR. 1.1 |
Active |
Bet on the Buccaneers to Win in the Wild Card Game against Eagles
Odds to Win 2024 NFC Championship
NFC Team | Odds |
---|---|
San Francisco 49ers | -130 |
Dallas Cowboys | +275 |
Philadelphia Eagles | +750 |
Detroit Lions | +900 |
Los Angeles Rams | +1600 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +3300 |
Green Bay Packers | +3300 |
NFC Lines to Win |
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Odds After Free Agency Week 1
Previous Betting News
Not sure if you heard, but someone named Tom Brady signed with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in NFL free agency. To say that has changed the outlook of the 2020 Bucs is understating things just a bit. Here’s an overview of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and their NFL Odds as it stands.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Odds After Free Agency Week 1
2019 recap
Tampa Bay finished 7-9 in Coach Bruce Arians’ first season. Jameis Winston led the NFL with 5,109 passing yards and was second with 33 touchdown passes but also led the league by far with 30 picks – the first-quarterback to ever have a 30-TD, 30-interception season. Fittingly, Winston’s final pass as a Buccaneer was a pick-six in a Week 17 28-22 overtime home loss to Atlanta. The game ended abruptly when Falcons defensive back Deion Jones broke in front of intended receiver Cameron Brate and skipped up the sideline to set off an end-zone celebration.
“It smells as bad as it could possibly smell,” Arians said of his team missing out an opportunity to finish .500 after a 2-6 start. The Bucs have missed the playoffs 12 years in a row, surpassed only by the Cleveland Browns. Winston is still on the market as a free agent after this writing as the Bucs are moving ahead with Tom Brady. The Bucs have never signed one of their starting quarterbacks to a second contract.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offseason moves
Brady walks into a pretty good situation as the Bucs have arguably the best receiving duo in the NFL in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, who both topped 1,000 yards a year ago. Evans missed the final few games of last season due to a strained hamstring but still had 67 catches for 1,157 yards and eight scores.
The 26-year-old has been spectacular since being drafted as the No. 7 overall pick in 2014, joining Randy Moss as the only players in NFL history to record over 1,000 receiving yards through the first six seasons of their career. Evans also broke Tampa Bay’s previous franchise record for career receptions (430) with 462. Godwin was a breakout star in 2019, finishing third in the NFL in receiving yards with 1,333 and also tied for fourth in touchdowns (nine) despite missing his final two games with a strained hamstring.
The Bucs are a bit questionable at running back with Ronald Jones and Peyton Barber. Brady has leaned heavily on his running backs since turning 40 in 2017. Over that span, he has completed an NFL-high 364 passes to running backs. Buccaneers RBs have only caught 3 TD passes over that same span, tied for the fewest in the NFL.
The Bucs kept star pass-rusher Shaquil Barrett off the market by slapping the franchise tag on him. Barrett led the NFL with 19.5 sacks in 2019, setting a new single-season franchise record in his first year with the team. Barrett finished the season strong, with seven sacks in his last five games, including another three-sack game in the season finale against Atlanta that allowed him to pass Arizona’s Chandler Jones for the NFL sack title.
In all, Barrett finished with 58 tackles, 19 tackles for loss, 37 quarterback hits, one interception, two passes defensed and six forced fumbles to go with those 19.5 sacks. Those 37 QB hits tied him with Green Bay’s Za’Darius Smith for the league lead in that category as well.
The Bucs used the “non-exclusive” franchise tag on Barrett, meaning he can negotiate with other teams but Tampa Bay retains a right to match any contract offer. If Barrett does sign with another team and the offer is not matched, that team must send two first-round draft picks to the Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay got some protection for Brady is signing free agent offensive lineman Joe Haeg, formerly of the Colts, to a one-year, $2.3 million contract. The 2016 fifth-rounder appeared in all 16 games for the Colts last year.
The team also resigned Jason Pierre-Paul to a two-year deal. Despite playing in just 10 games with eight starts last year, Pierre-Paul produced 8.5 sacks, second only to Barrett’s league-leading 19.5 among Buccaneer defenders. Pierre-Paul missed the first six games of 2019 due to a neck injury suffered in a spring car accident.
2020 opponents
Home: Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, New Orleans Saints, Green Bay Packers, Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Chargers, Los Angeles Rams, Minnesota Vikings.
Away: Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, New Orleans Saints, Chicago Bears, Denver Broncos, Detroit Lions, Raiders, New York Giants.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds to win Super Bowl 55
The Bucs are +1200 Odds to win the Super Bowl in their own stadium next February. No team has ever reached a Super Bowl held in its own stadium.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2018 NFL Betting Guide
Previous Betting News
The 2016 season was a very good one for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with many people taking this team as a potential NFL Betting dark horse last season. The promise of two years ago never panned out, though, as the Bucs slipped to a 5-11 record in a vastly improved NFC South. The question now is whether Jameis Winston and crew can get back to where they were a couple of years back, or whether they are going to continue to slide.
Coach Dirk Koetter is probably on a very short leash and will be starting the season on the hot seat. The bad news for the coach is that the Bucs have a brutal schedule in the opening weeks of the 2018 NFL season. Let’s take a look at some of their biggest match-ups of the coming season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2018 NFL Betting Guide
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Key Players
Top Games in 2018 Season
Week 2 vs Philadelphia Eagles
After getting the season started with a visit to New Orleans, things really start to get tough for the Buccaneers. Week 2 will see them host the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles, a team with the potential to be even stronger than they were last season.
This is the sort of early test that can go a long way towards showing us what a team is all about. Will the Buccaneers be able to rise up and take a real shot at the champs, or will they buckle under the weight of playing a superior opponent? If it’s the former, it could give this team a huge confidence boost that carries them forward the rest of the way.
Week 3 vs Pittsburgh Steelers
It’s out of the frying pan and into the fire for the Bucs as they go from playing the best team in the NFC to a Monday night game against arguably the best team in the AFC. Further compounding the issue for Tampa Bay is the fact that the Steelers very often play their best football in prime time.
They have a ridiculously good record in Monday night games, which does not bode well for the Bucs. The one bonus for Tampa is that both of these early season games are at home, and you have to feel that they will be happy with a split given the quality of the competition.
Week 16 at Dallas Cowboys
The start of the season is tough for the Buccaneers, and it will finish how it began, with a pair of games that will test the true mettle of this team. The Bucs will head to Dallas a couple of days before Christmas hoping that they are still in the playoff picture at that point.
If Tampa is to be in the hunt for postseason football, these are the types of games that they are going to need to win. While this is undoubtedly a big one, it is the final game of the season that may prove to be the most important.
Week 17 vs Atlanta Falcons
The Buccaneers were the odd man out in what was a very good NFC South last season. Much like last year, most of the divisional games are going to come in the second half of the season, which means that the positioning can change very quickly.
The Falcons are the favorites and may have clinched a playoff spot by this point, but the Bucs may very well be alive and in need of a win in this one. This could well prove to be the game that decides who is in and who is out in the South.
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