There are some great NFL odds matchups in Week 13 of the NFL season, potential playoff previews or games where those on the fringes of a wild-card spot can either help their case or start planning for 2018. Then there’s 49ers-Bears. Four wins combined, holmes! The Bears are rare NFL betting favorites at MyBookie.
49ers at Bears Week 13 Odds, Prediction & NFL Betting Pick
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) November 30, 2017
When: Sunday, 1 PM ET
Where: Solider Field, Chicago
Radio: KNBR 680 AM (San Francisco) / WBBM 780 AM (Chicago )
Stream Option: NFL Live
Opening NFL Betting Lines: Bears -3.5 (40)
- Partly Cloudy: 10°C/50°F
- Humidity: 57%
- Precipitation: 0%
- Wind: 9 mph SSE
- Cloud Cover: 46%
- Type of Stadium: Open
In 2016 in Chicago in Week 13, the Bears beat the 49ers 26-6. Jordan Howard ran for 117 yards and a career-high three touchdowns. Matt Barkley went nearly the entire first half without a completion. But he led a touchdown drive near the end of the second quarter and finished 11 of 18 for 192 yards.
The 49ers used Colin Kaepernick and Blaine Gabbert at QB and totaled 6 passing yards. Six! Kaepernick completed just 1 of 5 passes for 4 yards and was sacked five times. He also ran for 20 yards on six attempts before Gabbert replaced him in the fourth quarter. Gabbert was 4 of 10 for 35 yards and sacked for a safety near the end of the game. Neither team completed a pass in the first quarter — something that hadn’t happened in an NFL game since the Jets and Patriots did it on Nov. 13, 1988.
Why Bet On San Francisco?
The Niners have just one victory but there’s reason for their fans to watch this game: the first start as a 49er by QB Jimmy Garoppolo, the expected future of the team under center. It’s perfect it comes in Chicago as Jimmy G is from there and went to Eastern Illinois. Many Bears fans wanted Chicago to trade for him during last year’s draft.
Garoppolo made his Niners debut in a loss to Seattle last Sunday but in relief. With 1:07 left in the 24-13 defeat, 49ers rookie quarterback C.J. Beathard suffered a left leg injury during a big hit as he attempted a pass, forcing him to depart. Beathard also appeared to slam the back of his helmet on the turf as he was whipped backward to the ground. Garoppolo promptly scrambled for 4 yards, threw a 9-yard completion to receiver Aldrick Robinson and then evaded pressure before throwing a 10-yard touchdown pass to wideout Louis Murphy as time expired. It was the first touchdown the 49ers scored against the Seahawks in two meetings this season.
Week 13 will mark Garoppolo’s third-career NFL start. He owns a 2-0 record with 496 combined passing yards, no picks and a quarterback rating of 119.0 in his two starts for the Patriots. His last was Week 2 last season against the Dolphins.
For the Niners and Garoppolo, the next five games will serve as a litmus test in dictating his future with the team. The team traded a 2018 second-round draft pick for Garoppolo on Halloween. GM John Lynch acknowledged recently that his scouting staff has shuffled the deck in terms of draft priorities with quarterbacks falling down the list. That wouldn’t have happened if the Niners didn’t have at least some level of belief in Garoppolo heading toward 2018.
Why Bet On Chicago?
The Bears traded up from No. 3 to No. 2 with San Francisco in this year’s draft to take Mitchell Trubisky, and he has largely had a rough rookie season – although there’s very little talent around him. The Bears were destroyed last week in Philadelphia, 31-3, their fourth straight loss.
Chicago had just 140 yards and zero first downs in the first half. Trubisky completed 17-of-33 passes for 147 yards and two interceptions. Trubisky has thrown off target on a league-worst 26 percent of pass attempts, contributing to a league-low 52.8 percent completion percentage this season. Trubisky’s Total QBR of 22 ranks last in the NFL in 2017, and only three players have had a lower QBR through seven career starts.
Chicago’s run game was non-existent vs. Philly, producing just six yards on 14 carries. That’s the second-fewest rushing yards in franchise history. Trubisky led the Bears with 12 yards on the ground on four attempts. The lone bright side was Chicago’s defense forced three Eagles turnovers, the most since Week 7 against the Carolina Panthers.
This week, the Bears claimed OLB Lamarr Houston off waivers from the Texans. The Texans waived him Tuesday to clear a roster spot for Brian Cushing, who is back from a 10-game PED suspension. This will be Houston’s second stint with Chicago after playing there from 2014-2016. He also went to camp with the Bears this summer but was released with an injury settlement prior to Week 1. Houston, however, appeared in just 26 games (10 starts) over the span of three years — Houston was credited with 70 tackles, nine sacks and two forced fumbles.
Entering Week 12 the Bears rank 29th in offense (8th rushing and 31st passing) and 12th in defense (16th against the run and 12th versus the pass). The 49ers rank 21st in offense (23rd rushing and 17th passing) and 28th in defense (30th against the run and 26th versus the pass).
In six home games, the Bears have gone 4-1-1 ATS, which is the fourth-best mark in the NFL.
Latest NFL Betting Trends
- San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games
- San Francisco is 2-23 SU in the last 25 games
- The total went OVER in 14 of San Francisco’s last 21 games on the road
- Chicago is 1-4 SU in the last 5 games
- Chicago is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 games at home
- The total went UNDER in 4 of Chicago’s last 6 games at home
Expert Prediction & NFL Betting Pick for Week 13
Chicago has never covered in six tries as a favorite under John Fox. Take the Niners.