The Chicago Bears haven’t been more than a touchdown NFL odds favorite on the road in quite a long time, but that’s the case on Sunday as the Bears make their first visit in eight years to the Buffalo Bills, which can’t get out of its own way on offense and is on a short week.
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.@RoquanSmith1 on help up front from teammates @The_Dream99 and Eddie Goldman: “They do a darn good job.”#DaBears pic.twitter.com/rvSfQRUZmg
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) 30 de octubre de 2018
- When: Sunday, 1 PM ET
- Where: New Era Field, Buffalo
- TV: Fox
- Radio: SiriusXM/NFL
- Live Stream: NFL League Pass
- NFL Week 9 Betting Lines: Chicago Bears -9 (Total 37.5)
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Weather Forecast
- Mostly Cloudy: 9°C/48°F
- Humidity: 64%
- Precipitation: 0%
- Cloud Cover: 74%
- Wind: 8 mph S
- Stadium Type: Open
Last Meeting
These teams met Week 1 of the 2014 season in Chicago and the Bills won 23-20 in overtime – both teams have changed a ton since then. Dan Carpenter won it following Fred Jackson’s 38-yard OT run – neither are in the NFL any longer. Jay Cutler was Chicago’s QB and threw for 349 yards and two TDs but was picked twice. Chicago’s Matt Forte ran for 82 yards and had 87 receiving. Cutler and Forte are out of the NFL. EJ Manuel completed 16 of 22 passes for 173 yards for Buffalo.
Why Bet on Chicago?
The Bears ended a two-game skid Sunday with an easy 24-10 win over the Jets even though star pass rusher Khalil Mack (right ankle) and No. 1 receiver Allen Robinson (groin) missed the game. Mitchell Trubisky completed 16-of-29 passes for 220 yards and two touchdowns. Trubisky got most of his yards on a 70-yard screen against an all-out blitz. He back shouldered Anthony Miller for his second TD. Trubisky now has 13 touchdowns over the last month.Tarik Cohen rushed five times for 40 yards and caught a 70-yard touchdown. Cohen went untouched on a screen for his touchdown in the first quarter. He had a quiet second half, but it was another solid game for Cohen, who goes over 60 yards receiving in four straight games. Jordan Howard had 22 carries for 81 yards and a touchdown.
The bad news was the team’s best offensive linemen, Kyle Long, suffered what is likely a serious injury. As of this writing, it’s expected to be 6-8 weeks but could be longer. Bryan Witzmann replaced Long after he was injured in a pile-up late in the fourth quarter. But Eric Kush, who was inactive against the Jets because of stingers in his neck, and rookie James Daniels are expected to be the Bears’ starting guards with Long out.
It’s unclear who will replace Long on the right side, but, as a second-round pick, Daniels certainly possesses the athleticism and upside to do so. Daniels played his first full game this season against the Jets after rotating at left guard with Kush for three consecutive games.
Will Mack return this week? Remember, he starred collegiately at Buffalo but the Bears might want to rest him again vs. an opponent they should beat. Even without Mack, the Bears throttled the Jets and rookie quarterback Sam Darnold, limiting New York to just 207 total yards and 2.4 yards per rushing attempt. Buffalo is worse on offense than the Jets.
Why Bet on Buffalo?
The Bills are laughable on offense and showed that Monday in a 25-6 home loss to the Patriots. Devin McCourty sealed the win with 5:54 remaining by intercepting Derek Anderson’s pass over the middle intended for Charles Clay and taking it to the end zone. Two plays before the pick, Bills tight end Jason Croom’s diving one-handed touchdown catch was negated following a video review. Replays clearly showed Croom never had possession in attempting to make the 25-yard catch, which would have made it a one-score game.Anderson completed 22-of-39 passes for 290 yards, no touchdowns, and the one interception. It was an improvement from the previous game when Anderson tossed no touchdowns with three picks against the Colts. Anderson then got crushed with a hit to the midsection on his final drive and had to leave for the locker room before Nathan Peterman came on to throw the final two passes.
Peterman is expected to be the Bills’ Week 9 starter as Anderson has been diagnosed with a concussion. Peterman has attempted 81 career passes. According to Pro Football Reference’s Play Index, Peterman’s 11.11 interception percentage is ninth-worst all time for a player with at least that number of throws. It’s the worst INT rate since Randy Hedberg for the 1977 Bucs. The Bills were hoping to return to rookie QB Josh Allen, but Allen (elbow) has been ruled out for Week 9 and has yet to resume throwing.
Buffalo did add a receiver on Tuesday in WR Terrelle Pryor. Pryor, who averaged 16.8 yards on 14 Jets receptions this season, should see immediate snaps for the Bills’ pathetic offense. Shoot, he might be the backup QB after starring there in college at Ohio State. At worst, Pryor would add another option at wide receiver for Buffalo, whose wideouts — led by Kelvin Benjamin and Zay Jones — have averaged an NFL-low 93 receiving yards per game this season.
Although RB LeSean McCoy led the Bills with six catches for 82 yards on Monday night, he entered the game ranked 34th in the NFL in yards per carry (3.87) this season and 37th since the start of the 2017 season (3.95). His most recent touchdown — rushing or receiving — came in Week 15 of last season.
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Bears vs Bills NFL Week 9 Betting Trends
- Bears are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
- Bears are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 road games
- Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record
- Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November
- Bears are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago’s last 7 games when playing Buffalo
- Bills are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 5 games
