Best NFL Picks to Bet Straight Up in Week 4

Best NFL Picks to Bet Straight Up in Week 4

Written by on September 26, 2017

If you’re looking for some NFL picks to ‘keep it simple’ and take the guesswork out of making often difficult ATS wagers and want simple straight up picks on some of this week’s quickly-approaching match-ups, then you should know that several Week 5 pairings fit that description perfectly.I encourage you to check the latest NFL Odds and my expert analysis for SU picks on three Week 5 contests, you’re going to have a great opportunity to cash in with a trio of winning straight-up picks.

Best NFL Picks to Bet Straight Up in Week 4

Expert Analysis on NFL Week 4 ATS Betting Picks

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

When: Thursday, September 28, 2017, 8:25 PM ETWhere: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WisconsinNFL Odds: Green Bay -7Total: 45.5

Analysis

I’m going to urge you to back Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers to take down the NFC North division rival Chicago Bears at home in Week 4 despite the fact that Chicago pulled off one of the most impressive wins in Week 3.The Bears stunned Pittsburgh to pick up a fantastic 23-17 win on Sunday as second-year running back Jordan Howard scored on a 19-yard touchdown run in overtime to lift Chicago to victory. Howard ran for 138 yards and two touchdowns to lead Chicago to its first win of the season.Still, after seeing Aaron Rodgers completed 28-of-42 passes for 313 yards and three touchdowns to lift the Packers to a 27-24 victory over Cincinnati in overtime as Mason Crosby drilled the game-winning 27-yard field goal to cap off the win, I can’t see the Bears getting the outright completed win to upset Green Bay.The Packers have won two straight against the Bears and beat Chicago 26-10 the last time they hosted their division rivals at Lambeau Field. More importantly, as it stands right now, the Bears just don’t have enough offense to keep pace with Rodgers and the Packers.Green Bay will load up the box to keep Jordan Howard from running wild while forcing Mike Glennon to beat them through the air, which, he just won’t be able to do.

Latest NFL Betting Trends for Week 4

  • Bears are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on the road
  • Bears are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago’s last 6 games on the road
  • Packers are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games
  • Packers are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Green Bay’s last 10 games
NFL Picks: Green Bay Wins Outright

New Orleans Saints at Miami Dolphins

When: Sunday, October 1, 2017, 9:30 AM ETWhere: Wembley Stadium, LondonNFL Odds: New Orleans -2.5Total: 50

Analysis

The New Orleans Saints pounded the Carolina Panthers 34-13 to get their first win of the season after dropping their first two games of the regular season against Minnesota and New England. Now, New Orleans looks like one of the best NFL Picks to take down the Jay Cutler-led Miami Dolphins after they failed to show up in their pitiful 20-6 loss against the lowly New York Jets on Sunday after narrowly squeaking past San Diego 19-17 in its Week 2 opener.New Orleans is averaging 24.3 points per game while Miami is putting just 12.5 points per contest on the board after two games. While the Saints are allowing 26.0 points per game defensively to Miami’s 18.5 points per contest allowed, for me, this contest mostly boils down to the fact that the Saints have a future Hall of Fame leader in Drew Brees while Miami has a cry-baby quitter of a starting quarterback in Jay Cutler.Drew Brees and the Saints are one of the Best NFL Picks to Bet Straight Up in Week 4.For reference, this past weekend, Brees completed 22 of 29 passes for 220 yards and three touchdowns against Carolina while Cutler was wildly inconsistent in going 26 of 44 for 220 yards with one touchdown and one interception against the Jets.In the end, I simply can’t bring myself to back a Cutler-led team over one that is led by future a future Hall of Fame signal-caller in Drew Brees. New Orleans has won two straight over Miami and four of the last six meetings overall and despite their struggles getting out of the gate this season, the Saints should easily be able to outscore the offensively-inept Dolphins in this one.

Latest NFL Betting Trends for Week 4

  • Saints are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games on the road
  • Saints are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 5 games on the road
  • Dolphins are 6-12-1 ATS in their last 19 games at home
  • Dolphins are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games at home
NFL Picks: New Orleans Wins Outright

Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Jets

When: Sunday, October 1, 2017, 1:00 PM ETWhere: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New JerseyNFL Odds: Jacksonville -3.5Total: 39.5

Analysis

The Jacksonville Jaguars looked absolutely phenomenal in their stunning 44-7 blowout win over Joe Flacco and the Baltimore Ravens in Week 3 and are the easy pick to beat the Jets in Week 4, even if New York did stun Miami in their 20-6 Week 3 win against their longtime AFC East division rivals.Jacksonville got a stellar performance out of enigmatic quarterback Blake Bortles against Baltimore in London this past weekend as the generally mediocre signal-caller completed 20 of 31 passes for 244 yards and four touchdowns. More importantly, the Jaguars played ferocious defense in shutting down the Ravens and harassing veteran quarterback Joe Flacco into two costly interceptions while using their blossoming rushing attack to keep the ball away from Baltimore and win the time of possession battle by almost 10 minutes.The best reason to back the Jags in Week 4, however, is the fact that the franchise clearly has a credible plan on how to win games moving forward after hiring two-time Super Bowl-winning head coach Tom Coughlin as VP of football operations and his subsequent hiring of head coach Doug Marrone.

Latest NFL Betting Trends for Week 4

  • Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Jaguars are 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville’s last 7 games
  • Jets are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Jets are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets’ last 5 games
NFL Picks: Jacksonville Wins Outright
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