The Thursday night game this week likely won’t have much offense as both the Dolphins and Ravens are near the bottom of the NFL in total yards and points scored per game. Plus, Miami won’t have its starting quarterback, either. Thus Baltimore is favorite in the NFL odds, as the Ravens stand as a -3.5 point favorite for Thursday night.
How to Bet Dolphins at Ravens Week 8 NFL Odds & Pick
— NFL (@NFL) October 23, 2017
When: Thursday, 8:25 PM ET
Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore
TV: CBS/NFL Network
Radio: 560 WQAM (Miami) / 97.9 FM (Baltimore)
Stream Option: NFL Live
Opening NFL Odds: Ravens -3.5 (38)
- Clear: 14°C/57°F
- Humidity: 53%
- Precipitation: 2%
- Wind: 2 mph SSW
- Cloud Cover: 2%
- Type of Stadium: Open
The Ravens lead 8-6 and have covered seven straight games vs. the Dolphins. Last year it wasn’t even close as Baltimore won 38-6 at home in Week 13. Miami entered that one on a six-game winning streak. Joe Flacco had one of his best games ever with 381 yards and four touchdowns on a team-record 36 completions. Baltimore built a 24-0 halftime lead behind Flacco, who went 27 for 34 for 258 yards and three scores before intermission. Miami didn’t score until Ryan Tannehill threw a touchdown pass in the fourth quarter following a fumble recovery that started the drive at the Baltimore 8. Tannehill went 29 for 40 for 226 yards and three interceptions.
- Total Meetings: 14
- First Meeting: October 19th, 1997. Memorial Stadium. Baltimore, Maryland
- Last Meeting: December 14th, 2016. M&T Bank Stadium. Baltimore, Maryland
- All-Time Series: Baltimore Ravens 8-6-0
- Largest Margin of Victory: Baltimore 38-6 (2016)
- Longest Win Streak: Baltimore 5 (2008-2014)
- Current Win Streak: Baltimore 1 (2016)
Why Bet On Miami’s NFL Odds?
The Dolphins (4-2) won’t have starting QB Jay Cutler and that’s actually probably a good thing. In Sunday’s comeback win over the Jets, Miami’s third win in a row, Cutler left in the third quarter with cracked ribs. He’s likely to miss 2-3 weeks. Entering the game, Cutler had ranked in the bottom 25th percentile of the NFL’s starting quarterbacks in passing yards, passing touchdowns, and passer rating. When he absorbed a blow from Jets outside linebacker Jordan Jenkins on the fourth play of the third quarter, the Dolphins trailed 21-14.
Backup Matt Moore replaced Cutler and led the Dolphins from a 14-point deficit in the fourth quarter against the Jets. Moore threw for 188 yards, two touchdowns and an interception. Moore is expected to get his first start of the season Thursday against Baltimore while Miami also examines its short-term backup options. Cutler hasn’t been very good this season and Moore was 2-1 as a starter in the regular season last year when Tannehill was hurt.
“He did this last year, and I don’t know, it just feels like we didn’t really skip a beat,” Coach Adam Gase said. “So it’s easy for us to kind of go again. Matt’s a very easy guy to call plays for because you never really hear him say, ‘I don’t like that,’ or ‘I don’t like this.’ He just kind of says the play and then rolls.”
Will Moore have receiver DeVante Parker? He will test his injured ankle on Tuesday ahead of Thursday Night Football. That will determine if Parker plays against the Ravens or misses his third straight game. Kenny Stills has been picking up the slack in Parker’s absence.
- Average Score For: 15.33
- Total Yards: 261.84
- Pass Yards: 180.17
- Rush Yards: 81.67
- Average Score Against: 18.67
- Total Yards: 308.16
- Pass Yards: 225.83
- Rush Yards: 82.33
Why Bet On Baltimore’s NFL Odds?
The Ravens have been inept offensively most of this season and Flacco has a better QB rating only than Browns rookie DeShone Kizer. On Sunday, Baltimore lost for the fourth time in five games, 24-16 in Minnesota. Flacco completed 27-of-39 passes for 186 yards and a touchdown. He took five sacks and fumbled three times, although all three were recovered by the Ravens. The good news is Flacco ultimately avoided turnovers. The bad news is he averaged under five yards per pass attempt, and the Ravens’ passing game has continued to struggle mightily all year.
Baltimore had gone nine full quarters and an overtime period without an offensive touchdown before reaching the end zone on the final, meaningless play of the game. Before that score, the Ravens’ only points against the Vikings came off three long Justin Tucker field goals (48, 57, 47 yards). The Ravens’ offense managed just 214 total yards and was held to 6-of-16 on third downs.
Flacco’s No. 1 WR this week could be unknown Chris Moore. He caught 2-of-8 targets for 36 yards and a touchdown in Baltimore’s Week 7 loss to the Vikings. Breshad Perriman (concussion), Mike Wallace (concussion), and Jeremy Maclin (shoulder) are all banged up, so Moore’s opportunities have increased. Those three could all miss the Dolphins game. The only healthy receivers by the end of the Minnesota game were Moore, Michael Campanaro and recently signed Griff Whalen. That trio had combined for 12 catches for 104 yards and no touchdowns entering this game.
- Average Score For: 18.57
- Total Yards: 277.57
- Pass Yards: 157.43
- Rush Yards: 120.14
- Average Score Against: 21.14
- Total Yards: 334.58
- Pass Yards: 189.29
- Rush Yards: 145.29
Latest NFL Betting Trends
- Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
- Miami is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami’s last 7 games
- Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
- Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games
Expert Prediction & Pick for Week 8
I’m not loving taking Miami on the road, but the Ravens have no receivers to speak of. So take the points in the NFL odds.