How to Bet Seahawks at Jaguars NFL Odds & Week 14 Analysis

How to Bet Seahawks at Jaguars NFL Odds & Week 14 Analysis

Written by Jordan Walters on Friday,December 8, 2017 7:43, EDT

Because the Jacksonville Jaguars are much better than expected and Seattle being Seattle, this game was flexed a a 1 p.m. ET kickoff to a 4:25 start. As a result, the Dallas Cowboys and Giants game, originally slotted for 4:25, was moved to the Seahawks-Jags initial slot. It’s a low betting total in the NFL odds for an expected defensive battle.

How to Bet Seahawks at Jaguars NFL Odds & Week 14 Analysis

When: Sunday, 4:25 PM ET
Where: EverBank Field
TV: Fox
Radio: 710 ESPN (Seattle) / 1010 XL (Jacksonville)
Stream Option: NFL Lines
Opening NFL Odds: Jaguars -2.5 (39.5)

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 12°C/54°F
  • Humidity: 33%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Wind: 8 mph NW
  • Cloud Cover: 0%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Last Meeting

In 2013, Jacksonville was one of the NFL’s worst teams and the Seahawks one of the best. Seattle beat the Jags early that year, 45-17. Russell Wilson had four touchdown passes with his team as a 19-point favorite. Wilson left with 3:54 left in the third and finished 14 of 21 for 202 yards. The Seahawks forced Jacksonville into three turnovers. They sacked Jacksonville Chad Henne four times. Henne is now the backup to Blake Bortles.

Why Bet on Seattle?

You perhaps bet shouldn’t against Russell Wilson when he’s playing an AFC team. In his past 10 games against the AFC, Wilson has gone 9-1 straight-up. On the other hand, as good as the Seahawks have been against the AFC, the Jaguars have almost been that bad against the NFC. Since drafting Blake Bortles in 2014, the Jags have gone 2-12 both straight-up and ATS against the NFC, including 1-6 at home.

The Seattle Seahawks have won seven of their past nine games, including last week’s 24-10 win over Philadelphia. Wilson threw three touchdown passes, including one in the fourth quarter. Wilson has 15 fourth-quarter touchdown passes this season, tied with Eli Manning (15 in 2011) for the most in a single season.

Since 2012, Wilson’s first season, the Seahawks are an NFL-best 20-5 (.800) in regular-season games played in December/January. In those games, Wilson has 50 touchdown passes and a 104.1 passer rating, the highest mark among active quarterbacks over that span.

Wilson this year is the team’s leading rusher, is on pace to set career highs in nearly every passing category, and has thrown or rushed for all but one of Seattle’s touchdowns this season. He should be the NFL MVP right now. Tight end Jimmy Graham has become a red zone machine, catching nine touchdown passes over the past eight games.

Defensively, LB Bobby Wagner has 41 tackles over the past four games, giving him 113 this season. Wagner’s tackle total ranks second in the NFL, while his 85 solo tackles are a league high, and his 12 tackles for loss are tied for the most in the league by a non-pass rusher (defensive end or 3-4 outside linebacker).

The Hawks got out of last week’s win over Philadelphia without suffering any injuries of note. Two players to watch are Dion Jordan (neck) and Nazair Jones (ankle), important rotational players along Seattle’s defensive line. Jordan’s chances of playing Sunday at Jacksonville seem much better than Jones’ based on what coach Pete Carroll has said about their respective situations.

Why Bet on Jacksonville?

The Jaguars, who defeated Indianapolis 30-10 last week, are 8-4 and enter Week 14 tied with Tennessee for first place in the AFC South. Jacksonville can clinch a playoff berth this week with a win combined with other scenarios.

Jacksonville defensive end Calais Campbell leads the AFC with a career-high 12.5 sacks, the most in a single season in franchise history. The Jaguars lead the NFL with 45 sacks and Campbell has recorded at least a half-sack in nine of the team’s 12 games. The Jaguars defense lead the NFL in points allowed, yards allowed, passing yards allowed and sacks. The Seahawks led the NFL in points allowed from 2012-2015 and still rank as one of the NFL’s best defenses.

Are the Jaguars a safe bet in Week 14?

Wide receiver Marqise Lee (knee) and cornerback Jalen Ramsey (ankle) did not practice this week but are expected to play against Seattle. The bigger concern is Smith, who has made progress in the concussion protocol but still has not been fully cleared. He’s the Jaguars’ fastest linebacker and would be a big part of the plan to keep Wilson from doing too much damage on scrambles. Wilson destroyed Philadelphia with his legs last week. When Smith missed last week’s victory over the Colts with a concussion sustained the previous week at Arizona, it marked the first time a Jaguars defensive starter had missed a game last season

The Seahawks’ offensive line has struggled to protect Wilson and that figures to be a matchup advantage for the Jaguars. While Wilson’s mobility could negate that advantage, the Jaguars’ nickel linebackers – Smith (if he plays) and Myles Jack – are two of the NFL’s fastest players in pursuit. The Jaguars rank 15th in rushing yards allowed by opposing quarterbacks (154 yards) but they’ve given up the fewest rushing first downs to a quarterback in the league (seven). They’re one of five teams that have not allowed a quarterback to rush for a touchdown.

Latest NFL Odds Trends

  • Seattle is 2-3-1 ATS in the  last 6 games
  • Seattle is 7-2 SU in the  last 9 games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games
  • Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in the  last 6 games
  • The total went UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville’s last 6 games

Expert Prediction & NFL Odds Pick for Week 14

I honestly prefer a total bet here – under – than the side, but I’d give the 2.5 points with the Seahawks having that long trip across country.