The Cleveland Browns are naturally one of the three winless teams left along with the San Francisco 49ers and New York Giants. So, it’s not strange to not see them as the usual favorites in the NFL lines. The difference being that those two teams could each have about three victories. The Browns are underdogs in the NFL Week 6 odds on Sunday against Houston.
How To Bet Cleveland at Houston NFL Week 6 Odds & Game Info
Hue Jackson has named Kevin Hogan the starting QB
— Cleveland Browns (@Browns) October 11, 2017
When: Sunday, 1 PM ET
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston
Radio: ESPN 850 WKNR (Cleveland) / KILT 610AM (Houston)
Stream Option: NFL Live
Opening NFL Week 6 Odds: Texans -9.5 (44.5)
- Partly Cloudy: 31°C/88°F
- Humidity: 57%
- Precipitation: 2%
- Wind: 4 mph N
- Cloud Cover: 32%
- Type of Stadium: Retractable
The Texans have won five of the past six between the two. They last met in Week 11 of the 2014 season in Cleveland, a 23-7 Houston win. Texans star defensive player JJ Watt scored on a short TD reception, recorded a strip sack, made five tackles — three for a loss — recovered a fumble and hurried Cleveland QB Brian Hoyer into several bad throws. Ryan Mallett threw a pair of TD passes and finished with 211 yards for Houston. Neither Mallett nor Hoyer are still with those teams.
Latest NFL Week 6 Odds Trends
- Cleveland is 2-12-1 ATS in the last 15 games
- Cleveland is 0-5 SU in the last 5 games
- The total went UNDER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 5 games
- Houston is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 games at home
- Houston is 2-4 SU in the last 6 games
- The total went OVER in 5 of Houston’s last 7 games
Why Bet On Cleveland?
Not sure you should ever bet on Cleveland (0-5), which is 1-20 under coach Hue Jackson. Last week, the Browns lost 17-14 at home to the Jets. Browns backup QB Kevin Hogan threw two touchdown passes, a 21-yarder to rookie tight end David Njoku and a 41-yarder to Duke Johnson in the final two minutes to pull the Browns within 17-14. Cleveland tried an onside kick, but Jets linebacker Julian Stanford recovered it and Josh McCown knelt three times to run out the clock.
Hogan was in the game because Jackson pulled ineffective starter DeShone Kizer, a rookie who is the lowest-rated QB in the NFL. It’s expected that Hogan will start this one. Hogan, in his second year from Stanford, played far better than Kizer on Sunday, going 16-for-19 and leading the offense to 14 second-half points. Hogan’s year of experience in the offense shows in his quick decision-making and ability to get rid of the ball. He has taken advantage of his opportunities from preseason through Sunday, completing 26 of 38 passes (68.4 percent) for 377 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions, a rating of 104.8. Hogan would be the franchise’s 28th starting QB since 1999.
One bright spot from the Jets loss was No. 1 overall pick Myles Garrett having two sacks in his NFL debut. Garrett missed the Browns’ first four games with a high ankle sprain.
- Average Score For: 15.40
- Total Yards: 320.6
- Rush Yards: 89.20
- Passing Yards: 231.40
- Average Score Against: 24.80
- Total Yards:304.8
- Rush Yards: 76.60
- Passing Yards: 228.20
Why Bet On Houston?
The Browns traded out of the No. 12 spot in this year’s draft, sending it to Houston for the Texans’ first-round pick and their first-rounder next year. The Texans took Clemson QB Deshaun Watson, and he already looks like a star with 12 TD passes, second in the NFL.
In Sunday night’s 42-34 loss to Kansas City, Watson passed for 261 yards with five touchdowns and no interceptions for a 119.8 passer rating. He Watson became the fourth rookie quarterback in NFL history to pass for five touchdowns in a single game and the third to accomplish the feat without throwing an interception. Watson, who was 22 years, 24 days old on Sunday, became the third youngest quarterback in NFL history with five touchdown passes in a single game, trailing only Matthew Stafford and Jameis Winston. Watson has the most touchdown passes by a rookie quarterback in his team’s first five games of a season, surpassing the Titans’ Marcus Mariota, who had nine TD passes in his team’s first five games in 2015.
However, the news wasn’t all good Sunday. Watt, a three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year, was lost to a season-ending tibial plateau fracture. He fell to the ground while engaged in a block on the Chiefs’ opening drive. Also, he missed the last 13 games of the 2016 regular season because of a back injury. So perhaps his body is breaking down. In addition, starting outside linebacker Whitney Mercilus will be out for the remainder of the season with a torn pectoral muscle.
Thus it will be up to former No. 1 overall pick Jadeveon Clowney to carry the defense. Last season, Clowney had six sacks and 52 tackles (both career highs) in his healthiest year since he entered the NFL in 2014. Through five games this season, the outside linebacker has three sacks, a forced fumble and two fumble recoveries.
- Average Score For: 28.80
- Total Yards: 344.6
- Rush Yards: 140.60
- Passing Yards: 204
- Average Score Against: 26
- Total Yards: 323.2
- Rush Yards: 101.80
- Passing Yards: 221.40
- Total Meetings: 8
- First Meeting: October 20th, 2002. Cleveland Browns Stadium. Cleveland, Ohio
- Last Meeting: November 16th, 2014. FirstEnergy Stadium. Cleveland, Ohio
- All-Time Series: Houston Texans 5-3-0
- Largest Margin of Victory: Houston 30-12 (2011)
- Longest Win Streak: Houston 3 (2008-2014)
- Current Win Streak: Houston 3 (2008-2014)
Expert Prediction & NFL Week 6 Odds Pick
The Browns are simply terrible. Houston will miss Watt and Mercilus at some point — just not this week. Take Houston before the spread gets to double digits.