NFL Betting Lines & Expert Analysis for Falcons vs. Patriots in Week 7

NFL Betting Lines & Expert Analysis for Falcons vs. Patriots in Week 7

Written by on October 20, 2017

Winning the Super Bowl is tough, but getting back there and winning it in back to back seasons is tougher still. The New England Patriots have proven again and again that they have the ability to overcome injuries and re-tool when salary cap issues arise, which is why they have been the most successful team in the league over the past decade, and once again, according to the NFL Betting Lines for Week 7, favorites to beat the Atlanta Falcons.They came into this campaign with many people believing that they may even go unbeaten, but they have found life a little tougher than usual this season. The same can be said for the team that the Patriots beat to win the Super Bowl last season, as the Atlanta Falcons are not getting anywhere near their performances of last year.It’s always fun to see a match-up that features the teams who appeared in the last Super Bowl, but rather than being a novelty game, this is one where both teams could really use a win. They are both involved in tight division races right now, and further losses could put them into a spot of bother. The Patriots are a 3-point home favorite, and the point total for this one has been set at 56 ½.

NFL Betting Lines & Expert Analysis for Falcons vs. Patriots in Week 7

  • When: Sunday, October 22 at 8:30 PM EST
  • Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro
  • TV: NBC
  • Radio: 92.9 FM (Atlanta) / 98.5 FM (New England)
  • Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
  • NFL Betting Lines: New England Patriots -3 (Over/Under at 56.5 points)

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 16°C/60°F
  • Humidity: 76%
  • Precipitation: 4%
  • Cloud Cover: 49%
  • Wind: 5 mph SSW
  • Stadium Type: Open

Denver at LA Chargers Week 7 Odds, Game Info & NFL Betting Pick

Recent Head to Head (Last 7 Games)

  • Record: New England Patriots lead 5-2
  • Score: Atlanta Falcons 24.29 / New England Patriots 24.57
  • Rush Yards: Atlanta Falcons 97.14 / New England Patriots 115.14
  • Pass Attempts: Atlanta Falcons 33 / New England Patriots 40.43
  • Completion Percentage: Atlanta Falcons 59.74 / New England Patriots 62.54
  • Passing Yards: Atlanta Falcons 251.86 / New England Patriots 291.71
  • Total Yards: Atlanta Falcons 349 / New England Patriots 406.85
  • Turnovers: Atlanta Falcons 1.14 / New England Patriots 1.86

Why bet on the Atlanta Falcons?

The Atlanta Falcons come into this game with a 3-2 record, but it’s fair to suggest that they are more than a little lucky to have that mark. A goal-line stand in the opening week of the season saved them from losing to the Chicago Bears, and an iffy call on the Lions led the Falcons to a nervy win over Detroit. Atlanta has now lost back to back games against the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins, neither of whom can be classed as elite, and they only managed to put up 17 points in each of those outings.Losing Kyle Shanahan as the OC may have been bigger than anyone expected, as this offense, which was far and away the best in the league last season, has been sputtering. That said, the Patriots D has been brutal this season, so perhaps this is the game that Matt Ryan and company need to get back on track. Atlanta is 5-1 SU in their last 6 road games, and are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 away from home.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Average Score For: 24.20
  • Total Yards: 378.8
  • Rush Yards: 121.00
  • Passing Yards: 257.80
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 21.80
  • Total Yards: 312.4
  • Rush Yards: 102.00
  • Passing Yards: 210.40

Why bet on the New England Patriots?

The New England Patriots have always relied heavily on the services of Tom Brady, but they are leaning on him this year to bail out the defense. It seems hard to believe that the Patriots are among the worst defensive units in the league, and it has only been their ability to score points on offense that has allowed them to sit at 4-2 through the first 6 weeks of the season, which is why they are slight favorites at the NFL Betting Lines for Week 7.The NFL Betting Lines for Week 7 back the Patriots.Regardless of the state of the defense, New England is still a very tough team to beat at home, going 19-5 SU in their last 24 games in Foxboro. They are also 10-5 ATS in their last 15 home games and have totally dominated the Falcons, regardless of where they play them. Another thing to consider here is how things go when Super Bowl opponents meet up again the season after the big game. The team that won the Super Bowl has gone 4-1 SU and ATS in those last 5 meetings.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Average Score For: 28.67
  • Total Yards: 412.5
  • Rush Yards: 102.67
  • Passing Yards: 309.83
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 26.50
  • Total Yards: 440.66
  • Rush Yards: 115.83
  • Passing Yards: 324.83

Latest NFL Betting Lines Trends for Week 7

  • Falcons are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Falcons are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 19 of Atlanta’s last 24 games
  • Patriots are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Patriots are 14-2 SU in their last 16 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England’s last 10 games

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

While I think this one might turn into a bit of a shootout, I still think it will fall below the 56 ½ points on the board. I like the Patriots to come away with the win in this one, and I also like them to cover.Score: Atlanta Falcons 23 – New England Patriots 30
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