Bills vs Patriots 2019 NFL Week 16 Lines, Analysis & Prediction

Bills vs Patriots 2019 NFL Week 16 Lines, Analysis & Prediction

Written by on December 18, 2019

Often, Bills-Patriots is one of the worst games of the NFL Season. New England has dominated their AFC East foes in the past. But this season, the Bills look like a playoff-bound team. Buffalo hopes to secure a playoff spot with a win over their rivals in Week 16. Will the Bills take the next step? Will the Patriots show they remain a Super Bowl favorite for a reason? Keep reading for NFL odds, analysis and a free pick for Bills vs Patriots!

Bills vs Patriots 2019 NFL Week 16 Lines, Analysis & Prediction

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 21 at 4:30 pm ET
  • Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
  • TV: NFL Net
  • ATS Odds: Patriots -6
  • Over/Under Total Odds: 38 ½

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: -6°C/22°F
  • Humidity: 78%
  • Precipitation: 10%
  • Wind: 3 mph SW
  • Cloud Cover: 46%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why the Buffalo Bills are a good bet +6?

Since Cleveland beat Buffalo 19-16 on Nov. 10, the Bills have rocked it. Buffalo is 5-1 both SU and ATS. The lone loss happened against Super Bowl favorite Baltimore. The Ravens beat the Bills 24-17. But even in the loss, the Bills played well. They had a chance to tie the game on the final drive. Buffalo has no fear. They believe they’re better than New England. 6 points are a gift.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Total Yards: 336.1
  • Passing Yards: 201.2
  • Rushing Yards: 134.9
  • Points Scored: 20.8
Defense:
  • Total Yards: 291.9
  • Passing Yards: 190.5
  • Rushing Yards: 101.4
  • Points Allowed: 15.9

Why the New England Patriots are a good bet -6?

New England had looked horrible in back-to-back losses versus Houston and Kansas City. Although they beat Dallas in Week 12, they didn’t look great in that win, either. But the Patriots turned it around in Week 15. New England put a 34-13 beating onto the Cincinnati Bengals. The Patriots dominated the Bengals on the road. Now back on track, the Pats can do on Saturday what they always do. Beat the Bills SU and ATS.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Total Yards: 349.9
  • Passing Yards: 248.1
  • Rushing Yards: 101.8
  • Points Scored: 26.6
Defense:
  • Total Yards: 268.4
  • Passing Yards: 170.3
  • Rushing Yards: 98.1
  • Points Allowed: 12.9

NFL Week 16 Betting Trends for Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

  • Bills are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 road games
  • Buffalo is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall
  • Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 versus the AFC East
  • Under is 4-0 in Bills last 4 games following an ATS win
  • Patriots are 42-19-2 ATS in their last 63 home games
  • New England is 48-23 ATS in their last 71 games overall
  • Patriots are 1-5 ATS versus a team with a winning record
  • Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games versus the AFC East

Bills vs Patriots Final NFL Betting Analysis

Even though New England looked great against the Cincinnati Bengals, let’s not get ahead of ourselves. The Patriots battled a team that allows 158 rushing yards and 25.6 points per game on average.

Cincinnati is one of the worst teams in the NFL. Buffalo is one of the best. New England’s suffering offense should fall back to earth versus a Bills’ D that gives up 15.9 points per. Not only that but the Bills head into this off a 17-10 win against Pittsburgh. Buffalo will shock New England with a stunning moneyline victory on Saturday.

NFL Free Pick: Bills moneyline

 

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