Broncos vs Bengals NFL Week 13 Lines & Betting Analysis

Broncos vs Bengals NFL Week 13 Lines & Betting Analysis

Written by on November 28, 2018

Andy Dalton and the struggling Cincinnati Bengals have seen their hopes of reaching the playoffs this season take a significant hit in recent weeks and now, the AFC North playoff hopefuls are desperate heading into Week 13.

However, Cincinnati will be facing a team that is equally desperate to improve its chances of reaching the playoffs when they host Von Miller and the Denver Broncos in a suddenly intriguing Week 13 matchup of fringe playoff hopefuls.

Will Dalton and the Bengals snap out of the funk they’ve been in to take care of business at home or will Miller and the Broncos shut down Dalton and company to extend their recent winning ways?

Let’s find out right now.

Broncos vs Bengals NFL Week 13 Lines & Betting Analysis

When: Sunday, December 2, 2018 at 1:00 PM ETWhere: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OhioTV: CBSRadio: Denver / CincinnatiLive Stream: NFL LiveNFL Week 13 Odds: Denver -5 / Total: 44

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 13°C/55°F
  • Humidity: 72%
  • Precipitation: 1%
  • Wind: 14 mph SW
  • Cloud Cover: 21%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On Denver?

Why should you consider betting on Denver in this Week 13 showdown? There are a handful of great reasons. First, the Broncos are playing their best football in weeks, having beaten two legitimate Super Bowl contenders the last two weeks. Von Miller and company were impressive in shutting down Philip Rivers to beat the Chargers 23-22 two weeks ago before backing that up with an even more impressive 24-17 win over Pittsburgh on this past weekend.

Nose tackle Shelby Harris recorded a two-yard pick-six on Ben Roethlisberger and Case Keenum tossed two TD passes with no picks in the win.

“I got to prove to everyone that I have the best hands on the team,” Harris said of his first career interception. Denver picked off Roethlisberger twice and recovered a pair of fumbles in the win. The Broncos are ranked 19th in scoring and 13th in points allowed while averaging and giving up an identical 22.9 points per game on both sides of the ball.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 22.91
  • Total Yards: 366.09
  • Pass Yards: 241.36
  • Rush Yards: 124.73
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 22.91
  • Total Yards: 389.27
  • Pass Yards: 266.18
  • Rush Yards: 123.09

Why Bet On Cincinnati?

 

Why should you bet on the Bengals in this Week 13 matchup? There are a few good reasons. First, the Bengals are playing at home in this contest and the home team wins more often than not in the NFL. Next, the Ravens are completely and utterly desperate. Cincinnati has lost three straight games including their humbling 35-20 home loss to Cleveland as a 1-point underdog on Sunday. The Bengals fell into a 28-7 hole at the half they could never come back from.

“It hurts,” Bengals receiver Tyler Boyd said. “It hurts a lot.”

The Bengals are ranked 12th in scoring (25.1 ppg) and dead last in points allowed (31.5 ppg).

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 25.09
  • Total Yards: 333.19
  • Pass Yards: 239.64
  • Rush Yards: 93.55
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 31.55
  • Total Yards: 439.63
  • Pass Yards: 292.36
  • Rush Yards: 147.27

Broncos vs Bengals NFL Week 13 Betting Trends

  • Denver is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games
  • Denver is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver’s last 6 games
  • Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Broncos vs Bengals

Hmmm…I wonder why a convincing 71 percent of public bettors are backing the Broncos as solid, 5-point road favorite. Maybe it’s because Denver is back to playing lock-down defense that shut down two veteran quarterbacks in Philip Rivers and Ben Roethlisberger the last two weeks.

Or, maybe it’s because Cincinnati looks like a team that has completely and utterly quit in what will surely be head coach Marvin Lewis’ final season. The Bengals have been limited to 21 points or less in each of their last three games while Denver has scored 23 points or more in five of their last six games.

Cincinnati has gone 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last four home games. Conversely, Denver has gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Week 13 matchups. The broncos win and cover as Von Miller and the broncos defense stars again.

NFL Week 13 Pick: Broncos 28 Bengals 20

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