Buccaneers vs Bears NFL Week 4 Spread & Betting Analysis

Written by on September 25, 2018

A couple of 2-2 teams clash on Sunday, Sep. 30 when the Chicago Bears host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Chicago’s excellent defense will try to slow down the Bucs top-ranked offense. Who wins in a classic battle between a great defense and great offense? Check out NFL Week 4 odds, analysis, and a free pick for Bucs at Bears!

Buccaneers vs Bears NFL Week 4 Spread & Betting Analysis

When: Sunday, Sep. 30 at 1:00 pm ETWhere: Soldier Field, Chicago, ILTV: FOXRadio: Tampa Bay / ChicagoLive Stream: NFL LiveATS Odds: Chicago -2.5 (-110)Over/Under Total Odds: Off (-110)

Weather Forecast

  • Overcast: 14°C/58
  • Humidity: 62%
  • Precipitation: 10%
  • Wind: 9 mph E
  • Cloud Cover: 91%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why are the Buccaneers a good bet at +2.5?

Sounds crazy but the Buccaneers are tops in the NFL in yards per game. Bucs average over 473 yards per. That’s nuts because before the season started most every NFL analyst felt that Tampa Bay might field the worst offense in the NFL.

Because they can move the football, it’s difficult to blowout the Buccaneers. Their offense gives them a shot no matter what the score is. Tampa’s offense should score points against the Bears’ defense, making them the play at +2.5.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 34
  • Total Yards: 473.3
  • Pass Yards: 400.7
  • Rush Yards: 72.7
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 30.3
  • Total Yards: 433.3
  • Pass Yards: 362.7
  • Rush Yards: 70.7

Why are the Bears a good bet at -2.5?

Are the Bears a safe bet in NFL Week 4?Chicago plays a classic keep away game on offense. The Bears prefer to rush the ball, chew up clock, and rest it’s defense for the fourth quarter. So far, the strategy has worked because Chicago is 2-1 this season.

If the Bears can employ their strategy, they should easily beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers because Chicago’s got the best defense Tampa’s faced this season. Da Bears look like a solid play.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 21
  • Total Yards: 293.7
  • Pass Yards: 178
  • Rush Yards: 115.7
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 18.3
  • Total Yards: 289
  • Pass Yards: 223.7
  • Rush Yards: 65.3

Buccaneers vs Bears NFL Betting Trends

  • Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Tampa Bay is 5-11 SU in the last 16 games
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games
  • Chicago is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Chicago is 7-16 SU in the last 23 games
  • The total went UNDER in 5 of Chicago’s last 6 games

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Final NFL Betting Analysis for Buccaneers vs Bears

Chicago might employ a different strategy in this game than what they usually do. Tampa’s very good against the rush because they’re awful against the pass. Not only that but starting quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick threw 3 interceptions in the 27-30 loss to Pittsburgh on Monday night.

The Bears should put more pressure on Fitzpatrick on Sunday than the Steelers did in Tampa’s Week 3 game. Pressure should force Fitzpatrick into bad throws. Chicago might want to force Tampa into a shootout because the more Fitzpatrick throws the football, the better Chicago might fare.

Chicago’s the play because they can force Tampa Bay’s offensive strategy by moving the football against Tampa’s terrible pass defense.

NFL Football Week 4 Pick: Bears -2.5
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