Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos: Line and Betting Trends for Week 15

Written by on December 15, 2020

Oddsmakers give the Buffalo Bills (10-3) a decent chance to keep their three-game winning streak intact, as they are favored by 6.5 points in a matchup with the Denver Broncos (5-8) on Saturday, December 19, 2020 at Empower Field at Mile High. The game’s point total is set at 50.0.

Game Info

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 19, 2020
  • Game Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NFL Network
  • Location: Denver, CO
  • Stadium: Empower Field at Mile High
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Betting Information

Bills vs Broncos Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Bills -6.5 -115 -105 50.0 -110 -110 N/A N/A

Bills Betting Insights

  • Most of Buffalo’s games this year — nine out of 13 — have hit the over (69.2%).
  • Buffalo has put together an 8-5 record against the spread this season.
  • The Bills have a split ATS record of 1-1 when favored by at least 6.5 points.
  • The Broncos defense has allowed 26.7 points per game this season, close to the same amount as the 27.6 the Bills have scored.
  • When they meet or outpace their scoring average this season, Buffalo is 5-1 and 5-1 against the spread.
  • When the Denver defense allows 26.7 points or fewer this year, the Broncos have accumulated a 2-3 overall record and a 5-0 record against the spread.
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Broncos Betting Insights

  • Just seven of Denver’s 13 games this year have gone over the point total (46.2% of its opportunities).
  • Denver has put together an 8-5 record against the spread this season.
  • The Broncos have averaged 4.9 fewer points per game this season (19.8) than the Bills have allowed (24.7).
  • In games where Denver scores at least 19.8 points this season, they are 4-2 overall and 5-1 against the spread.
  • When Buffalo allows opposing offenses to put 24.7 points or fewer on the scoreboard this year, they are 7-0 overall and 5-2 against the spread.
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Computer Picks

Computer picks for Bills vs Broncos
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Bills (-6.5) Under (50) Bills 28 Broncos 21

Total Facts

  • In 53.8% of their opportunities this season (seven of 13 chances), the Bills and their opponents have combined to put up more than this matchup’s point total of 50.0 points.
  • In five of 13 opportunities (38.5%) this season, Denver has combined with its opponents to score at least 50.0 points.
  • These teams average a combined 47.4 points per game, 2.6 fewer points than the over/under of 50.0 set for this matchup.
  • Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 51.4 points per game, 1.4 more than the over/under in this game.
  • The average point total for Bills games this year is 2.3 more points than the total of 50.0 in this matchup.
  • The average point total for the Broncos this season is 3.5 points lower than this game’s over/under.
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Bills vs Broncos: Last 5 Meetings

Buffalo holds an edge against Denver in the past five meetings between these two squads, recording a 4-1 record in those games. The Bills are 1-0 against the spread in those games against the Broncos. Buffalo has had the scoring advantage in those five matchups, scoring 133 points while Denver notched 80.

Bills vs Broncos: Last Five Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
11/24/2019 Bills Bills -3.5 37 -200 +175 424-134 BUF 20-3 BUF
9/24/2017 N/A Bills N/A N/A N/A N/A 366-272 DEN 26-16 BUF
12/7/2014 N/A Broncos N/A N/A N/A N/A 415-306 BUF 24-17 DEN
12/24/2011 N/A Bills N/A N/A N/A N/A 40-14 BUF
12/21/2008 N/A Broncos N/A N/A N/A N/A 30-23 BUF

Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)

  • Buffalo has gone 3-0 against the spread and 3-0 overall in their last three contests.
  • Buffalo has hit under the total two times in their last three outcomes.
  • The Bills average total over the last three games is 2.3 points fewer than the 50.0 over/under given for this matchup.
  • Denver has gone 2-1 against the spread and 1-2 overall in their last three outcomes.
  • The under has been familiar to Denver. They have failed to reach the total two times in their last three games.
  • The Broncos total over the last three games is 6.3 points fewer than the 50.0 total listed for this matchup.

Injury Report

Bills: WR John Brown: Out (Ankle), CB Taron Johnson: Questionable (Concussion), OT Cody Ford: Out (Knee), SS Jaquan Johnson: Questionable (Ankle), TE Tommy Sweeney: Out (Foot), CB Cam Lewis: Out (Wrist), OLB Del’Shawn Phillips: Out (Quadriceps), WR Isaiah Hodgins: Out (Shoulder), CB Dane Jackson: Questionable (Knee)

Broncos: DE Jurrell Casey: Out (Bicep), OLB Von Miller: Out (Ankle), K Brandon McManus: Out (Illness), NT Mike Purcell: Out (Foot), CB A.J. Bouye: Out (Suspension), RB Melvin Gordon III: Questionable (Shoulder), DT Darius Kilgo: Out (Illness), CB Bryce Callahan: Out (Foot), C Graham Glasgow: Questionable (Toe), QB Jeff Driskel: Out (Illness), OT Garett Bolles: Questionable (Illness), TE Jake Butt: Questionable (Hamstring), WR Courtland Sutton: Out (Knee), CB Duke Dawson Jr.: Out (Knee), CB Kevin Toliver II: Out (Knee), SS Trey Marshall: Questionable (Shin), TE Noah Fant: Questionable (Illness), TE Austin Fort: Out (Knee), DE Jonathan Harris: Out (Illness), WR Tyrie Cleveland: Questionable (Illness), TE Albert Okwuegbunam: Out (Knee (acl)), LB Justin Strnad: Out (Wrist), CB Essang Bassey: Out (Knee)


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