With Ryan ‘Quiet’ Can Bills Pull Off NFL Odds Upset Over Banged-Up New England?

Posted by Daniel Strum on Monday,November 23, 2015 10:45, EDT in

With Rex Ryan now ‘quieted’ by Buffalo’s humbling 40-32 Week 2 loss against New England, the Buffalo Bills will look to pull off the Week 11 upset over their banged-up division rivals when they square off on Monday night at Gillette Stadium. Now let’s find out which one of these Super Bowl 50 hopefuls will win and cash in!

Buffalo @ New England NFL Odds Game & TV Information

When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, November 23, 2015
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
TV: ESPN
NFL Odds: New England -7.5
Over/Under: 48

Buffalo Bills

The Bills have won two straight games and seek to close the gap on their AFC East-leading Patriots while simultaneously recording their first three-game winning streak since 2011. The Bills handed the New York Jets a humbling 22-17 loss in Week 10 to cash in as a 2.5-point road dog just as I predicted.

Quarterback Tyrod Taylor completed 17 of 27 passes for 158 yards and one touchdown while running back LeSean McCoy rushed for 112 yards on 19 carries while adding five receptions for an additional 47 yards.

Bills vs Jets NFL Odds

Defensively, the Bills picked off Jets quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick twice and forced two fumbles while winning the time of possession battle by over seven minutes. “I know we have improved as a football team,” said Ryan, whose club has won three of four on the road. “How much have we improved? We are going to find out on Monday.”

Despite trailing the Patriots by four games coming into this contest, the Bills have hope of catching their AFC East rivals.
“(The Patriots) haven’t won yet, so we have to keep fighting,” linebacker Preston Brown said. “You never know what’s going to happen in the NFL.” For the season, Taylor has completed 70.5 percent of his passes for 1,436 yards, with 11 touchdowns and four interceptions. LeSean McCoy leads the rushing attack with 528 yards and two touchdowns.

The Bills are ranked sixth in scoring (25.7 ppg)and 15th in points allowed (23.0 ppg).

New England Patriots

The Patriots got past the New York Giants in their 27-26 Week 10 win on a last second 54-yard-field goal, but failed to cover the spread as a 7-point road favorite. More importantly, the Pats

A rash of injuries continued to plague New England as wide receiver Julian Edelman, who had a team-leading 61 catches, broke a bone in his foot Sunday and is expect to be sidelined 6-to-8 weeks. “You wish you could just plug somebody else in but it’s impossible,” New England quarterback Tom Brady said. “Julian Edelmans aren’t just sitting out on the street anywhere, they’d be playing for another team.”

Tom Brady vs Bills NFL Odds

Brady, who has thrown a league-high 24 touchdown passes, lit up the Bills for 466 yards and three touchdowns in New England’s first matchup against the Bills this season, but now, the future Hall of Famer will be without Edelman and wide receiver Dion Lewis. For the season, Brady has completed 67.8 percent of his passes for 3,043 yards with 24 touchdowns and three interceptions.

The Patriots are ranked first in scoring (33.7 ppg) and an equally impressive fourth in points allowed (18.8 ppg).

Buffalo @ New England NFL Odds Game Analysis:

I’m going to get right to the point by saying that I really like the Buffalo Bills to show up and give the New England Patriots all they can handle and then some in this meaningful Week 11 matchup.

The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against a team with a winning home record and a consistent 5-1 ATS in their last six games against their AFC East division rivals.

While the Patriots have gone 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an SU win and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games against their AFC counterparts, the Bills are also 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against their AFC counterparts.

Last but not least, the road team in this long rivalry is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 meetings while the underdog has gone 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.

56 percent of the betting public likes Tom Brady and company to bring home the bacon, but I don’t! I can’t believe I’m writing it, but the New England Patriots are ripe for an upset right now!

My Pick: Buffalo 28 New England 24